EXPLAINER: Why US inflation is so high, and when it may ease
3 years, 3 months ago

EXPLAINER: Why US inflation is so high, and when it may ease

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Inflation is starting to look like that unexpected — and unwanted — houseguest who just won’t leave. Economists at Wells Fargo have joked grimly that the Labor Department’s CPI — the Consumer Price Index — should stand for “Consumer Pain Index.’’ Unfortunately for consumers, especially lower-wage households, it’s all coinciding with their higher spending needs right before the holiday season. “A sizeable chunk of the inflation we’re seeing is the inevitable result of coming out of the pandemic,’’ said Jason Furman, an economic adviser in the Obama White House now at the Harvard Kennedy School. “The demand side of the U.S. economy will continue to be something to behold,’’ says Rick Rieder, chief investment officer for global fixed income at Blackrock, “and companies will continue to have the luxury of passing through prices.” Megan Greene, chief economist at the Kroll Institute, suggested that inflation and the overall economy will eventually return to something closer to normal. “But economists have to be very honest about defining transitory, and I think this could last another year easily.’’ “We need a lot of humility talking about how long this lasts,” Furman said.

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History of this topic

Is Trump’s fiscal daredevilry a ticking time bomb for the US economy?
2 days, 20 hours ago

Is Trump’s fiscal daredevilry a ticking time bomb for the US economy?

Firstpost  

Instead of making America great again, President Donald Trump’s economic and trade policies, ranging from tariffs to unfunded tax cuts and borrowings, appear to be driving the nation towards stagflation US President Donald Trump has promised to make America great again, but he appears to be unleashing a ticking time bomb on the US economy. Trump economic and trade policies, …

Stagflation, explained: What to know about the latest economic forecast
1 week, 2 days ago

Stagflation, explained: What to know about the latest economic forecast

CNN  

CNN — The Federal Reserve on Wednesday painted a picture of an economy reshaped dramatically by President Donald Trump and his economic policy. But many market observers felt Fed officials’ new economic forecasts nevertheless gave off whiffs of stagflation. According to officials’ latest median estimates, the US unemployment rate may hit 4.4% by year’s end. In a note to clients …

‘Stagflation’ risk puts Federal Reserve in tricky spot as it meets this week
1 week, 4 days ago

‘Stagflation’ risk puts Federal Reserve in tricky spot as it meets this week

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — When Federal Reserve officials last met in late January, things looked pretty good: Hiring was solid. But even a mild version — with the unemployment rising from its current low level of 4.1%, while inflation stayed stuck above the Fed’s 2% target — would pose a challenge for the central bank. One development likely to unnerve Fed officials …

'Stagflation' fears grow as US Fed prepares key interest rate decision
1 week, 5 days ago

'Stagflation' fears grow as US Fed prepares key interest rate decision

India Today  

When Federal Reserve officials last met in late January, things looked pretty good: Hiring was solid. But even a mild version with unemployment rising from its current low level of 4.1%, while inflation stayed stuck above the Fed's 2% target would pose a challenge for the central bank. One development likely to unnerve Fed officials is the sharp jump in …

Inflation vs Growth: What’s bothering US consumers the most ahead of US Fed policy meeting? Survey reveals..
1 week, 6 days ago

Inflation vs Growth: What’s bothering US consumers the most ahead of US Fed policy meeting? Survey reveals..

Live Mint  

Inflation vs Growth: US consumer sentiment plunged to a 2-1/2-year low in March 2025, and inflation expectations soared amid concerns that US President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs, which have ignited a trade war, would boost prices. The preliminary report shows that consumers’ expectations of annual US inflation climbed to 3.9 per cent from 3.5 per cent, the largest monthly jump …

Inflation is easing, but another alarm bell is ringing about the US economy
1 month ago

Inflation is easing, but another alarm bell is ringing about the US economy

CNN  

CNN — The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge cooled as expected in January; however, the good news came with another potential red flag for the US economic engine: Consumers pulled back their spending by the most in nearly four years. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index rose 2.5% in January from the year before, slowing from December’s 2.6% annual rate, …

Consumer confidence: Americans are souring on the economy. Inflation and tariffs are to blame
Trending News
1 month ago

Consumer confidence: Americans are souring on the economy. Inflation and tariffs are to blame

CNN  

Washington CNN — The American consumer is getting worried about the economy. Stephanie Guichard, senior economist, global indicators, at The Conference Board, said in a release that “consumers became pessimistic about future business conditions and less optimistic about future income.” The Fed and inflation fears For the Federal Reserve, it’s critical that Americans have faith that inflation will eventually return …

If Trump wants to fix the inflation crisis, he has a funny way of showing it
1 month ago

If Trump wants to fix the inflation crisis, he has a funny way of showing it

CNN  

CNN — Inflation appeared nearly defeated just a few months ago, but price hikes started accelerating again, led in particular by rising egg prices and fuel costs. The survey found that Americans are losing confidence in the economy, driven primarily by worries over Trump’s tariffs potentially boosting inflation. A new CNN poll released last Thursday similarly showed pessimism on the …

US economy: Is stagflation making a comeback amid Trump turbulence?
1 month, 1 week ago

US economy: Is stagflation making a comeback amid Trump turbulence?

Live Mint  

Might this be the year that stagflation returns to the US? It has been half a century: The last time the US economy had both excessively high inflation and unduly high unemployment was in the mid-1970s, with inflation rates reaching 12.2% in 1974 and unemployment at 8.5% in 1975. Kevin Hassett, one of Trump’s economic advisors, has suggested that the …

Jonathan Levin: Trump fanned the inflation fears that haunt his presidency now
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Jonathan Levin: Trump fanned the inflation fears that haunt his presidency now

Live Mint  

Inflation concerns may well have given Donald Trump the US presidency. The University of Michigan’s latest survey shows that consumers expect costs to rise 4.3% over the next year, the worst inflation expectations since 2023. In mid-2022, Powell even cited rising consumer inflation expectations as justification for delivering the biggest single policy-rate increase since 1994. Indeed, the latest Michigan survey …

Inflation is Trump’s problem now
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Inflation is Trump’s problem now

CNN  

New York CNN — President Donald Trump has a rhetorical style that can be hard to follow. The “Biden inflation” he’s referring to is the Consumer Price Index, which went up 3% year-over-year in January — the fastest pace since June. “Blame Biden” satisfies Trump’s need for a simple-to-understand villain, regardless of its accuracy. Trump’s economic agenda doesn’t have much …

U.S. consumer inflation unexpectedly up, Trump blames Biden
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

U.S. consumer inflation unexpectedly up, Trump blames Biden

Raw Story  

by Daniel AVIS U.S. consumer inflation unexpectedly accelerated last month, data showed Wednesday, in a moment of potential political peril for President Donald Trump, who quickly blamed the uptick on his predecessor Joe Biden. "The jump in consumer prices in January supports our view that the Fed will hold rates steady at least through of this year," Nationwide chief economist …

U.S. inflation picked up in December, though underlying price pressures ease slightly
2 months, 2 weeks ago

U.S. inflation picked up in December, though underlying price pressures ease slightly

LA Times  

A shopper in a grocery store in San Francisco. U.S. inflation picked up last month as prices rose for gas, eggs, and used cars, yet underlying price pressures also showed signs of easing a bit. Many economists and investors are worried that inflation has gotten stuck above the Fed’s 2% target, after a steady decline in prices in 2023 and …

CPI report: US stocks surge after latest inflation report shows progress on price hikes
2 months, 2 weeks ago

CPI report: US stocks surge after latest inflation report shows progress on price hikes

CNN  

CNN — Recently, progress on inflation appeared to be stuck or, at worst, reversing: A closely watched gauge of underlying price hikes — an index that excludes highly volatile categories — hadn’t budged for months. The closely watched core measurement of the Consumer Price Index slowed for the first time in months, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released …

CPI report: US stocks surge after latest inflation report shows progress on price hikes
2 months, 2 weeks ago

CPI report: US stocks surge after latest inflation report shows progress on price hikes

CNN  

CNN — Recently, progress on inflation appeared to be stuck or, at worst, reversing: A closely watched gauge of underlying price hikes — an index that excludes highly volatile categories — hadn’t budged for months. The closely watched core measurement of the Consumer Price Index slowed for the first time in months, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released …

Americans may have to actually brace for stagflation with Trump tariffs
3 months, 1 week ago

Americans may have to actually brace for stagflation with Trump tariffs

CNN  

New York CNN — Jamie Dimon, head of America’s largest bank, JPMorgan Chase — and commonly referred to as the ‘president of Wall Street’ — spent much of this past year warning that there’s an elevated risk that the US experiences 1970s-esque stagflation, which is when economic growth stagnates while inflation heats up. His prediction, however, has been pooh-poohed by …

US wholesale inflation surged higher in November
Trending News
3 months, 2 weeks ago

US wholesale inflation surged higher in November

CNN  

CNN — US wholesale inflation shot higher last month, an unwelcome sign that some prices could be heating up before they come down the pike to consumers. A closely watched gauge of underlying wholesale inflation grew more modestly and a chunk of November’s increase could be attributed to a spike in egg prices as a deadly bird flu ripples through …

US inflation rose for second straight month: What are the challenges for Trump now?
3 months, 2 weeks ago

US inflation rose for second straight month: What are the challenges for Trump now?

Firstpost  

President-elect Donald Trump has made tackling inflation and reducing the cost of living a cornerstone of his campaign. However, the recent uptick in inflation suggests the road ahead may be more complex than anticipated Inflation in the United States ticked up for the second consecutive month in November. The consumer price index, a key measure of inflation, rose to 2.7 …

Inflation heated up last month as consumer prices rose 2.7%, underscoring the slog ahead
3 months, 2 weeks ago

Inflation heated up last month as consumer prices rose 2.7%, underscoring the slog ahead

CNN  

CNN — Inflation heated back up again in November, but it likely wasn’t bad enough to keep the Federal Reserve from cutting rates next week. “We have some PTSD around egg prices from the pandemic and certainly lingering avian flu outbreaks; but those prices being up almost 40% year over year certainly is another thing people will look at in …

US consumer price increases accelerated last month with inflation pressures resilient
4 months ago

US consumer price increases accelerated last month with inflation pressures resilient

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Consumer price increases accelerated last month, the latest sign that inflation’s steady decline over the past two years has stalled in recent months. According to the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, consumer prices rose 2.3% in October from a year earlier, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. Yet excluding the volatile food and energy categories, so-called “core” prices also …

US inflation may have picked up in October after months of easing
Trending News
4 months, 2 weeks ago

US inflation may have picked up in October after months of easing

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Annual inflation may have risen in October for the first time in seven months, a sign that price increases might be leveling off after steadily cooling for more than two years. From September to October, core prices are expected to have risen 0.3% for a third straight month — a pace that, if sustained, would exceed the Federal …

Fed up with high prices? Here's where things stand with inflation
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Fed up with high prices? Here's where things stand with inflation

NPR  

Fed up with high prices? Here's where things stand with inflation toggle caption Justin Sullivan/Getty Images By the numbers, inflation in America continues in the same direction: Easing largely — but still sticky. "We both make decent wages, but with the way that inflation has increased, it's like our dollar just doesn't go as far," says Spangler, who helps manage …

Inflation hit a bump in October after slowing for six straight months
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Inflation hit a bump in October after slowing for six straight months

CNN  

CNN — The annual rate of inflation moved higher last month for the first time since March, as expected — but economists say the underlying trend remains favorable for another round of interest rate cuts. Consumer prices rose 0.2% last month and were up 2.6% from the year before, according to the latest Consumer Price Index data released Wednesday by …

Column: American economists and consumers got inflation wrong during its recent surge. They still do
6 months ago

Column: American economists and consumers got inflation wrong during its recent surge. They still do

LA Times  

Sen. JD Vance tried to blame the $4 price of a dozen eggs on Kamala Harris in this campaign video. The “strong policy response” Powell referred to was the Fed’s raising of short-term interest rates 11 times, a total of 5.25 percentage points, from March 2022 through July 2023. In November 2021, however, Powell told Congress that it was “probably …

US inflation reaches a 3-year low as Federal Reserve prepares to cut interest rates
6 months, 2 weeks ago

US inflation reaches a 3-year low as Federal Reserve prepares to cut interest rates

Politico  

For months, cooling inflation has provided gradual relief to America’s consumers, who were stung by the price surges that erupted three years ago, particularly for food, gas, rent and other necessities. A key reason for last month’s drop in overall inflation was the third decline in gas prices in the past four months: Average gas prices fell 0.6% from July …

US wholesale inflation picked up in June in sign that some price pressures remain elevated
8 months, 2 weeks ago

US wholesale inflation picked up in June in sign that some price pressures remain elevated

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Wholesale prices in the United States rose by a larger-than-expected 2.6% last month from a year earlier, a sign that some inflation pressures remain high. The Labor Department said Friday that its producer price index — which tracks inflation before it reaches consumers — rose 0.2% from May to June after being unchanged the month before. The increase …

Sticker shock: How the supermarket has become a potent symbol of inflation in America
8 months, 2 weeks ago

Sticker shock: How the supermarket has become a potent symbol of inflation in America

NPR  

Sticker shock: How the supermarket has become a potent symbol of inflation in America toggle caption Chase Castor for NPR For Ellie Currence, every trip to the grocery store brings a moment of sticker shock. "Everything is more expensive, which is a huge bummer because it's the essentials I need," says Currence, who lives in Belton, Mo., outside Kansas City. …

Anxiety over persistent inflation helps drive down US consumer sentiment for third consecutive month
9 months, 2 weeks ago

Anxiety over persistent inflation helps drive down US consumer sentiment for third consecutive month

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — U.S. consumer sentiment fell in June for the third straight month as Americans took a dimmer view of their own finances and worried about persistent inflation. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index, released Friday in a preliminary version, dropped to 65.6 this month from a final reading of 69.1 in May. AP AUDIO: Anxiety over persistent inflation …

US inflation cooled in May in a sign that price pressures may be easing
9 months, 2 weeks ago

US inflation cooled in May in a sign that price pressures may be easing

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Inflation in the United States eased in May for a second straight month, a hopeful sign that an acceleration of prices that occurred early this year may have passed. Consumer prices excluding volatile food and energy costs — the closely watched “core” index — rose 0.2% from April to May, the government said Wednesday. Fed officials, who will …

Inflation seems to be cooling again. Americans aren’t buying it
9 months, 4 weeks ago

Inflation seems to be cooling again. Americans aren’t buying it

CNN  

A version of this story first appeared in CNN Business’ Before the Bell newsletter. The Conference Board’s latest Consumer Confidence Index released Tuesday revealed that average 12-month inflation projections rose to 5.4%, and the share of consumers that expect higher interest rates in the year ahead climbed to 56.2%. Joe Raedle/Getty Images Wall Street will get its next look at …

U.S. Inflation Eased Last Month In The First Slowdown Of 2024
10 months, 1 week ago

U.S. Inflation Eased Last Month In The First Slowdown Of 2024

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING WASHINGTON — Consumer inflation in the United States cooled slightly last month after three elevated readings, likely offering a tentative sigh of relief for officials at the Federal Reserve as well as President Joe Biden’s re-election team. Instead, he stressed that the Fed’s policymakers need “greater confidence” that inflation is falling to their 2% target level before …

US inflation eased last month in the first slowdown of 2024
10 months, 1 week ago

US inflation eased last month in the first slowdown of 2024

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Led by lower food and auto prices, inflation in the United States cooled slightly last month after three elevated readings, likely offering a tentative sigh of relief for officials at the Federal Reserve as well as President Joe Biden’s re-election team. Instead, he stressed that the Fed’s policymakers need “greater confidence” that inflation is falling to their 2% …

High inflation is pinching, 'consumers more discriminating with every dollar', McDonald's says
10 months, 3 weeks ago

High inflation is pinching, 'consumers more discriminating with every dollar', McDonald's says

Hindustan Times  

Inflation remains a pressing concern for some of America's most prominent corporations, with rising prices impacting consumers and bottom lines. McDonald’s CEO, Chris Kempczinski, highlighted the ongoing challenges faced by consumers during the company's recent earnings call, noting that elevated prices are prompting individuals to be more discerning with their spending. Other firms, including 3M and Newell Brands, have also …

Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows price pressures stayed elevated last month
11 months ago

Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows price pressures stayed elevated last month

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — A measure of inflation closely tracked by the Federal Reserve remained uncomfortably high in March, likely reinforcing the Fed’s reluctance to cut interest rates anytime soon and underscoring a burden for President Joe Biden’s re-election bid. Friday’s inflation data showed that excluding volatile food and energy costs, “core” prices rose by an elevated 0.3% from February to March, …

US consumer sentiment ticks down slightly, but most expect inflation to ease further
1 year ago

US consumer sentiment ticks down slightly, but most expect inflation to ease further

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Consumers became slightly less optimistic about the economy this month, though they continue to expect inflation to cool further, a potential sign that price increases will keep slowing. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index, released Friday in a preliminary version, slipped to 76.5 in March, barely below February’s figure of 76.9. Friday’s consumer sentiment figure follows inflation …

US inflation up again in February in latest sign that price pressures remain elevated
1 year ago

US inflation up again in February in latest sign that price pressures remain elevated

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Consumer prices in the United States picked up last month, a sign that inflation remains a persistent challenge for the Federal Reserve and for President Joe Biden’s re-election campaign, both of which are counting on a steady easing of price pressures this year. Prices rose 0.4% from January to February, higher than the previous month’s figure of 0.3%, …

American consumers are pushing back against high inflation — and they are winning
1 year, 1 month ago

American consumers are pushing back against high inflation — and they are winning

The Hindu  

Inflation has changed the way many Americans shop. In a video released on Super Bowl Sunday, Mr. Biden denounced shrinkflation as a “rip-off.” Consumer pushback against high prices suggests to many economists that inflation should further ease. “That was the fear — that everybody would tolerate higher prices,” said Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY, who notes that it hasn't …

Consumer sentiment edges higher as economic growth accelerates and inflation fades
1 year, 1 month ago

Consumer sentiment edges higher as economic growth accelerates and inflation fades

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — A measure of consumer sentiment ticked higher this month, after soaring in December and January, underscoring that Americans are starting to feel better about the economy after several years of gloom. Still, consumer sentiment remains 6% below its long-run average after the worst spike in inflation in four decades pushed up the cost of groceries, rent, gas, and …

US consumer inflation falls to 3.1pc in January, but less than expected
1 year, 1 month ago

US consumer inflation falls to 3.1pc in January, but less than expected

Hindustan Times  

US consumer inflation cooled in January but at a slower rate than expected, resisting President Joe Biden's efforts to soothe families' cost of living concerns in an election year. U.S. President Joe Biden The closely watched Consumer Price Index rose 3.1 percent from a year ago last month, down from 3.4 percent in December, the Department of Labor said on …

US inflation slows but remains elevated in sign that price pressures are easing only gradually
1 year, 1 month ago

US inflation slows but remains elevated in sign that price pressures are easing only gradually

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Consumer inflation in the United States cooled last month yet remained elevated in the latest sign that the pandemic-fueled price surge is only gradually and fitfully coming under control. At his most recent news conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell singled out persistently high services prices as a concern and indicated the central bank’s policymakers would like to see …

Inflation slows but remains elevated, a sign price pressures are easing only gradually
1 year, 1 month ago

Inflation slows but remains elevated, a sign price pressures are easing only gradually

LA Times  

U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in January, further reducing the chances that Federal Reserve officials will start lowering interest rates soon. At his most recent news conference, Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell singled out persistently high services prices as a concern and indicated the central bank’s policymakers would like to see services inflation ease further before starting to …

Inflation slowed further in December as an economic ‘soft landing’ moves into sharper focus
1 year, 2 months ago

Inflation slowed further in December as an economic ‘soft landing’ moves into sharper focus

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge cooled further last month even as the economy kept growing briskly, a trend sure to be welcomed at the White House as President Joe Biden seeks re-election in a race that could pivot on his economic stewardship. Friday’s government report showed that prices rose just 0.2% from November to December, a pace …

Americans’ economic outlook brightens as inflation slows and wages outpace prices
1 year, 2 months ago

Americans’ economic outlook brightens as inflation slows and wages outpace prices

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — After an extended period of gloom, Americans are starting to feel better about inflation and the economy — a trend that could sustain consumer spending, fuel economic growth and potentially affect President Joe Biden’s political fortunes. A survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York found that Americans’ inflation expectations have reached their lowest point in nearly …

Americans’ economic outlook brightens as inflation slows and wages outpace prices
1 year, 2 months ago

Americans’ economic outlook brightens as inflation slows and wages outpace prices

LA Times  

A customer checks prices while shopping at a grocery store last week in Wheeling, Ill. A typical basket of groceries now costs 20% more than in February 2021, just before inflation began to take off. After an extended period of gloom, Americans are starting to feel better about inflation and the economy — a trend that could sustain consumer spending, …

The Federal Reserve could do what was thought impossible: Defeat inflation without a steep recession
1 year, 3 months ago

The Federal Reserve could do what was thought impossible: Defeat inflation without a steep recession

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — It was the most painful inflation Americans had experienced since 1981, when “The Dukes of Hazzard” and “The Jeffersons” were topping the TV charts. Confidence is growing among Federal Reserve officials and many economists that high interest rates and healed supply chains will soon defeat inflation. With inflation cooling, Powell said the 19 officials on the Fed’s policy …

Wholesale inflation in US slowed further last month, signaling that price pressures continue to ease
1 year, 3 months ago

Wholesale inflation in US slowed further last month, signaling that price pressures continue to ease

Associated Press  

Wholesale inflation in the United States was unchanged in November, suggesting that price increases in the economy’s pipeline are continuing to gradually ease. The Labor Department reported Wednesday that its producer price index — which tracks inflation before it reaches consumers — was flat from October to November after having fallen 0.4% the month before. Excluding volatile food and energy …

Retail inflation surges to 7.44% in July
1 year, 7 months ago

Retail inflation surges to 7.44% in July

The Hindu  

Retail inflation resurged in July to hit 7.44% from 4.87% in June, with consumers facing a sharp 11.5% spike in food prices. Wholesale prices Wholesale prices remained in deflationary mode for the fourth month in a row in July, but prices of food and primary articles spiked by over 7.5%, narrowing the overall price dip sharply to -1.36% from the …

Here's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy
1 year, 7 months ago

Here's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy

NPR  

Here's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy Enlarge this image toggle caption Brandon Bell/Getty Images Brandon Bell/Getty Images Inflation got a little higher last month — but not enough to set off alarms. Stocks rallied on the news, which bolstered hopes for a "soft landing," in which the Federal Reserve brings inflation under …

Americans continue to feel better about inflation and the economy
1 year, 8 months ago

Americans continue to feel better about inflation and the economy

CNN  

Washington, DC CNN — US consumers have been feeling a whole lot better this summer as inflation has continued to slow. Consumer sentiment tracked by the University of Michigan rose 11% in July from the prior month, reaching its highest level since October 2021, according to a final reading of the month’s data. “Overall, the sharp rise in sentiment was …

From inflation to mortgages: What last week’s data says about the economy
1 year, 8 months ago

From inflation to mortgages: What last week’s data says about the economy

CNN  

New York CNN — Last week would have been an ideal week to go on vacation if you’re an economist or, ahem, an economics reporter. Here’s what else we learned about the economy last week: Inflation is cooling, finally To quote Michael Scott in a favorite scene from “The Office” — “Oh my God! Everybody stay calm.” Inflation is really …

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