Economic growth seen slipping in April-June on weak consumer demand, private investment; more stimulus expected: Poll
5 years, 4 months ago

Economic growth seen slipping in April-June on weak consumer demand, private investment; more stimulus expected: Poll

Firstpost  

In spite of a windfall dividend to the government of nearly $21 billion from the central bank, the room for aggressive stimulus is limited due to slower growth in tax receipts, analysts say. New Delhi: India’s economy likely expanded at its weakest pace in more than five years in April-June, a Reuters poll showed, as consumer demand and private investment weakened at a time global trade frictions have dampened business sentiment. “Economic growth is collapsing,” said Sunil Sinha, principal economist at India Ratings, the Indian arm of Fitch, noting that April-June likely was the fifth straight quarter of slowing since 8.1 percent in the first three months of 2018. “India’s economic slowdown could continue for next 2-3 years as the economy faces serious structural issues of a slowdown in consumer demand and decline in manufacturing growth,” Sinha said.

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History of this topic

The week in charts: GDP estimate, Nadella’s plan, ₹100 crore homes
4 days, 10 hours ago

The week in charts: GDP estimate, Nadella’s plan, ₹100 crore homes

Live Mint  

The first advance estimates released on Tuesday forecast India's growth at 6.4%, the slowest in four years. Services dominance India’s services exports surpassed goods exports, reaching $35.7 billion—about $3 billion more than goods--in November 2024, preliminary data showed. India’s share in global services exports has steadily grown, reaching 4.2% by 2023, while its share in goods exports has remained flat …

India’s economy projected to grow 6.6% in 2025, driven by private demand, investment: UN
4 days, 19 hours ago

India’s economy projected to grow 6.6% in 2025, driven by private demand, investment: UN

Live Mint  

The Indian economy is projected to expand by 6.6 per cent in 2025, primarily supported by robust private consumption and investment, according to a United Nations report. It also said that the near-term outlook for South Asia is expected to remain robust, with growth projected at 5.7 per cent in 2025 and 6.0 per cent in 2026, “driven by strong …

Decoding India’s growth slowdown
Trending News
5 days, 8 hours ago

Decoding India’s growth slowdown

The Hindu  

The first advance estimates of India’s Gross Domestic Product in 2024-25, released by the National Statistics Office this week, shows a decline in the real GDP growth rate to 6.4% from 8.2% registered in 2023-24. The annual growth rates of real gross fixed capital formation in public and private sectors During the 10 years of the United Progressive Alliance rule, …

​Growth chill: On the economy
6 days, 16 hours ago

​Growth chill: On the economy

The Hindu  

The National Statistics Office has confirmed emerging fears about the economy’s evidently sluggish trajectory through this year in its first Gross Domestic Product estimates for 2024-25. While the election-focused first quarter hit public capital spending, the second quarter was marred by weak demand and still underwhelming public capex, dragging GDP growth to a seven-quarter low of 5.4%. The NSO’s projection …

DC Edit | Fall in consumption signals economic slump lies ahead
6 days, 16 hours ago

DC Edit | Fall in consumption signals economic slump lies ahead

Deccan Chronicle  

The Indian economy is likely to record the slowest growth in the last four years at 6.4 per cent in the next financial year 2024-25, according to the first advance estimates released by the government on Tuesday. The growth in the manufacturing sector, constrained by weak exports and slowing global demand, is expected to muted at 5.3 per cent from …

Watch: Indian economy: what to expect in 2025?
1 week, 4 days ago

Watch: Indian economy: what to expect in 2025?

The Hindu  

At the start of 2024, there was a lot of excitement about the Indian economy - the country was one of the fastest growing economies in the world and there was anticipation that India will become a $4 trillion economy in 2024-25 and become the world’s third-largest economy by 2027. However, the latest data from the National Statistics Office showed …

Want growth? Just teach India better, keep everyone healthy and yes, drop those EV subsidies
1 week, 5 days ago

Want growth? Just teach India better, keep everyone healthy and yes, drop those EV subsidies

New Indian Express  

Our current year's budget was presented in July and expected to build on the 8.2% growth in GDP of the previous year. If our economic growth continues on the present trajectory, we are not likely to remain the most attractive FDI destination for long, thereby putting pressure on INR exchange rate. Will large businesses, driven by quarterly performance, be willing …

India Sees Economic Growth at 6.5% for the Year Through March
2 weeks, 5 days ago

India Sees Economic Growth at 6.5% for the Year Through March

Live Mint  

-- India expects the economy to grow at around 6.5% in the year through March, against 8.2% a year before, after the economy slowed unexpectedly in the July-September quarter. “We expect the economy to grow at around 6.5% in real terms in financial year 2024-25,” the Department of Economic Affairs said in its monthly economic review for November. “India’s growth …

India’s high-frequency indicators recovering in Q3, to lift GDP in H2: RBI December Bulletin
Trending News
3 weeks ago

India’s high-frequency indicators recovering in Q3, to lift GDP in H2: RBI December Bulletin

Live Mint  

Mumbai: Several high-frequency indicators for the third quarter of the current financial year show that the Indian economy is recovering from the slowdown in momentum witnessed in the previous three months ended September, according to a paper in the Reserve Bank of India’s monthly bulletin. The recovery in Q3 of FY25 is being driven by strong festival activity and sustained …

Will India's economic growth pick up pace? Nirmala Sitharaman answers
4 weeks, 1 day ago

Will India's economic growth pick up pace? Nirmala Sitharaman answers

India Today  

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Tuesday said that India’s economy will see healthy growth in the coming quarters despite the lower-than-expected GDP numbers for the second quarter. India’s GDP growth for the July-September quarter fell sharply to 5.4% from 6.7% in the previous quarter, marking an 18-month low, as per data released by the National Statistics Office in November. However, …

India’s Private Sector Hits 4-Month High in December: PMI Data
4 weeks, 2 days ago

India’s Private Sector Hits 4-Month High in December: PMI Data

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: Showing the resilience in India's economy with solid momentum, the India's private sector growth hit four-month high at the fastest pace in December, helping the economy on a positive note at the end of the year, underpinned by sturdier demand in both services and manufacturing along with a record jobs growth, a private survey showed on Monday. As …

India's economy ends 2024 with solid momentum as business growth hits 4-month high, PMI shows
4 weeks, 2 days ago

India's economy ends 2024 with solid momentum as business growth hits 4-month high, PMI shows

The Hindu  

India's private sector output grew at the fastest pace in four months, preliminary readings from a survey showed, helping the economy end 2024 on a positive note underpinned by sturdier demand in services and manufacturing and record jobs growth. Asia's third-largest economy grew a softer 5.4% last quarter, but easing inflation is expected to spur demand among private sector firms, …

Govt confident of economic rebound despite global challenges, says Piyush Goyal
1 month ago

Govt confident of economic rebound despite global challenges, says Piyush Goyal

Live Mint  

New Delhi: Despite global uncertainties owing to supply-chain disturbances following the Red Sea crisis, union commerce and industry minister Piyush Goyal has said he was confident that India's economic growth would be back on track by the end of the fiscal year. Speaking at Times Network’s India Economic Conclave on Thursday, Goyal said, "There was an election in the first …

Indian economy set for resilient growth in 2025; urban consumption, infra investment to be key: S&P
1 month ago

Indian economy set for resilient growth in 2025; urban consumption, infra investment to be key: S&P

Firstpost  

In its India outlook for 2025, S&P also retained India’s growth forecast for current fiscal at 6.8 per cent, followed by 6.9 per cent growth in 2025-26 S&P Global Ratings on Tuesday said the Indian economy is set for “resilient growth” in 2025 and projected inflation pressure to recede which will lead to “modest” easing of the monetary policy by …

December quarter will make up for poll-induced growth slowdown: Nirmala Sitharaman
1 month, 1 week ago

December quarter will make up for poll-induced growth slowdown: Nirmala Sitharaman

Live Mint  

New Delhi: India’s economic growth decelerated in the September quarter because of the general election earlier in the year and not a systemic issue, finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman said on Friday, expressing confidence that growth in the December quarter would make up for the lost momentum. Speaking at the India Japan Forum 2024 in the capital, a closed-door meeting between …

India’s GDP growth shocker: Bad news can be good too
1 month, 1 week ago

India’s GDP growth shocker: Bad news can be good too

Live Mint  

India’s growth in gross domestic product of 5.4% in the three months ended 30 September, or the second quarter of 2024-25, was a shocker. It’s the lowest level seen since the third quarter of 2022-23 and a sharp drop from 8.1% growth in the same period last year and also from 6.7% in the first quarter of 2024-25. Given the …

India’s growth slowdown: Yes, RBI does need to respond
1 month, 1 week ago

India’s growth slowdown: Yes, RBI does need to respond

Live Mint  

The Indian economy is in the midst of a cyclical slowdown. The Indian government is still in the process of getting public finances back into shape after the pandemic shock, when it had to support economic activity even as tax collections collapsed. There is a compelling case for the monetary policy committee, which is meeting this week to decide its …

Congress criticises PM with 'voodoo economics' jibe over slowing GDP growth
1 month, 1 week ago

Congress criticises PM with 'voodoo economics' jibe over slowing GDP growth

India Today  

Congress on Tuesday took a dig at the central government over the GDP growth slowing to a near two-year low and said that Prime Minister Narendra Modi's "voodoo economic policies" put India in the middle of a vicious economic cycle of low growth, no jobs, low income and high prices. "Thanks to Narendra Modi and his voodoo economic policies, India …

At the root of slowdown: It’s politics, stupid
1 month, 2 weeks ago

At the root of slowdown: It’s politics, stupid

New Indian Express  

The murmurs and fears echoing in living rooms, bazaars and C-suites for weeks and months have come home to roost. On Friday, the ministry of statistics informed India that GDP growth in the July-September quarter, at 5.4 percent, has fallen from 8.1 percent in the same period last year—the slowest in nearly two years. The reality of a slowdown has …

India’s GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2, below RBI estimate: Govt data
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India’s GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2, below RBI estimate: Govt data

Hindustan Times  

NEW DELHI: India’s growth of gross domestic product slowed to a seven-quarter low during July-September quarter of 2024-25, data released by the ministry of statistics and programme implementation showed. India remains the fastest-growing major economy as China’s GDP growth in the July-September quarter this year was 4.6%. The economy expanded 5.4% in the quarter ending September 2024 from a year …

India's GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2 2024-25: Govt data
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India's GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2 2024-25: Govt data

Hindustan Times  

India's Gross Domestic Product growth slowed down to 5.4% during the second quarter of the financial year 2024-25 due to the falling growth rate in manufacturing, consumption, and mining. India's GDP growth slows to 5.4% in Q2 2024-25, govt data shows In comparison, the GDP growth rate was 8.1% in the second quarter of 2023-24, according to government data released …

India’s GDP growth: The first half faltered, but economy seen rebounding in the second
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India’s GDP growth: The first half faltered, but economy seen rebounding in the second

Live Mint  

Two consecutive quarters of disappointing economic growth have left economists pinning their hopes on a rebound in the second half of the fiscal year. Some economists, however, expect India’s FY25 GDP growth to be lower than the Reserve Bank of India’s 7.2% outlook because of the disappointing economic growth in the first two quarters of the fiscal year. “Government will …

India's Q2 GDP slows to 5.4%, hits 18-month low on weak consumption
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

India's Q2 GDP slows to 5.4%, hits 18-month low on weak consumption

India Today  

India’s GDP growth for the July-September quarter fell sharply to 5.4%, marking an 18-month low, as per data released by the National Statistics Office on Friday. Manufacturing growth decelerated significantly to 2.2%, compared to 14.3% in the same quarter last year and 7% in the previous quarter. The weaker-than-expected GDP growth raises concerns about the sustainability of economic recovery, particularly …

India’s GDP growth likely moderated to 6.5% in Q2, says Icra
Trending News
1 month, 3 weeks ago

India’s GDP growth likely moderated to 6.5% in Q2, says Icra

Live Mint  

New Delhi: India’s GDP growth is likely to have slowed marginally to 6.5% in the second quarter of FY2025 from 6.7% in the previous quarter, primarily due to heavy rainfall, weak corporate margins, and subdued exports, according to rating agency Icra. While government capital expenditure and healthy kharif sowing provided a lift, their impact was offset by disruptions caused by …

S&P Foresees Steady 6.5-7 Percent Growth for India Until 2027
2 months ago

S&P Foresees Steady 6.5-7 Percent Growth for India Until 2027

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi: S&P Global Ratings on Thursday projected the Indian economy to grow between 6.5-7 per cent annually in the three fiscal years till March 2027 as infrastructure spending and private consumption drive growth momentum. “Good economic growth prospects will continue to support banks' asset quality, while healthy corporate balance sheets, tighter underwriting standards and improved risk management practices will …

India's Growth Outlook: A Beacon of Stability Despite Temporary Slowdown
2 months, 3 weeks ago

India's Growth Outlook: A Beacon of Stability Despite Temporary Slowdown

Deccan Chronicle  

India's growth outlook remains steady despite a temporary slowdown in momentum in the second quarter of 2024-25. The country's aggregate demand is expected to shrug off the slowdown due to the pick-up in festival demand and consumer confidence. Domestic manufacturing and services PMI have shown signs of improvement, while rural demand is expected to get a boost from the improved …

India growth slows to 6.7% on lower consumer spending
4 months, 2 weeks ago

India growth slows to 6.7% on lower consumer spending

Hindustan Times  

India's economic growth slowed to 6.7 percent on-year in the April-June quarter, official data showed Friday, as lower government outlays and lacklustre consumer spending weighed on the world's fifth-largest economy. India growth slows to 6.7% on lower consumer spending Friday's reading still places the world's most populous country among the fastest-growing major economies globally. Year-on-year gross domestic product grew at …

At 4%, India's core sector growth slowest in 20 months: Govt data
5 months, 2 weeks ago

At 4%, India's core sector growth slowest in 20 months: Govt data

Business Standard  

Electricity generation saw a 7.7 per cent increase, which was lower than the 13.7 per cent growth in May but higher than the 4.2 per cent growth in June 2023. “With the onset of the monsoon, electricity growth reverted to single digits after two months, although it remained healthy at 7.7 per cent. Given the dip in core sector growth, …

Up 4%, core sectors’ growth at 20-month low in June
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Up 4%, core sectors’ growth at 20-month low in June

The Hindu  

Growth in India’s eight core sectors slipped to a 20-month low of 4% in June from an upgraded 6.4% rise in May, with most sectors barring coal recording a sharp decline in output growth, steel production at a seven-month low, and refinery products slipping into contraction for the first time in five months. However, electricity generation slipped to a four-month …

How weak consumption growth is holding back the Indian economy's potential
5 months, 2 weeks ago

How weak consumption growth is holding back the Indian economy's potential

Hindustan Times  

Ashlesh —34-year-old former data entry operator at a small firm in Ghaziabad, and originally from the village of Ambar Nagar in Balrampur, in Uttar Pradesh — immediately wanted to make it big in life the day after he had lost his job. ‘As if there is no effect of the high growth here,” Ashlesh said, echoing concerns shared by Amit …

China's economic growth sharply below forecast in last quarter as consumer demand weakens
6 months ago

China's economic growth sharply below forecast in last quarter as consumer demand weakens

India TV News  

China’s economy grew at a slower-than-forecast 4.7 per cent annual rate in the last quarter, the government said on Monday. The world's second-largest economy grew 4.7 per cent in April-June, official data showed, its slowest since the first quarter of 2023 and missing a 5.1 per cent analyst forecast in a Reuters poll. United Nations' projections for India The United …

India to remain fastest growing Asia-Pacific economy in 2024, predicts Moody's
7 months ago

India to remain fastest growing Asia-Pacific economy in 2024, predicts Moody's

India TV News  

Moody's latest Ratings revealed that India is poised to maintain its position as the Asia-Pacific region's top-performing economy in 2024, continuing the robust growth driven by domestic factors seen last year. India to remain fastest growing economy: World Bank Earlier this week, a Work Bank report stated that India will remain the fastest-growing major economy recording a steady growth of …

India's industrial output's year-on-year growth increases to 5% in April 2024
7 months ago

India's industrial output's year-on-year growth increases to 5% in April 2024

Hindustan Times  

The Index of Industrial Production grew by 5% for April 2024, compared to 4.6% growth during the same month of the previous year. IIP tracks activity in manufacturing, mining, and electricity generation IIP shows the performance of the industrial sector. The IIP figure for April 2024 stood at 147.7 compared to 140.7 in the same month last year, according to …

India’s Modi urged to set ‘ambitious’ economic agenda after poll humbling
7 months ago

India’s Modi urged to set ‘ambitious’ economic agenda after poll humbling

Al Jazeera  

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and his Bharatiya Janata Party campaigned on India’s sizeable economic expansion in the lead-up to the country’s recent national elections. Despite strong headline economic growth, nearly half of India’s population is still employed in the relatively unproductive agricultural sector – a share that rose during Modi’s second term, from 42.5 percent in 2018-19 to 45.8 …

India’s economic boom won’t be derailed by its election shock
7 months, 1 week ago

India’s economic boom won’t be derailed by its election shock

CNN  

New Delhi CNN — Narendra Modi has declared victory in India’s election but he’ll need the support of smaller parties to govern, a shock result that could make it harder for him to pass major economic reforms. India boomed during Modi’s first two terms as prime minister, leapfrogging the United Kingdom to become the world’s fifth biggest economy and growing …

GDP growth impresses, but rural demand remains a worry
7 months, 2 weeks ago

GDP growth impresses, but rural demand remains a worry

New Indian Express  

India’s economic growth seems to be going gangbusters. Ending nearly a decade-long wait, real GDP growth crossed the 8 percent mark, touching 8.2 percent in 2023-24. Provisional data released by the National Statistics Office also showed that the gross value added—net of subsidies and taxes, and hence considered a better measure of economic activity—grew by 7.2 percent. Agriculture and allied …

India’s State Sector Is Thriving. That’s a Problem
7 months, 2 weeks ago

India’s State Sector Is Thriving. That’s a Problem

Live Mint  

-- Ten years ago, when Narendra Modi — then chief minister of business-friendly Gujarat state — rode an electoral wave to the prime ministership in New Delhi, many expected that he would be far more supportive of the private sector than previous Indian leaders. The minister in charge of India’s state petroleum companies, for example, says that the Modi administration …

Modest rebound: On IIP data
8 months ago

Modest rebound: On IIP data

The Hindu  

India’s factory output growth slowed to 4.9% in March from a downgraded 5.6% uptick in February, despite benevolent base effects from the previous year when the Index of Industrial Production had shrunk 1.9%. Production growth was strongest for capital goods as well as infrastructure and construction goods for the second straight year — not surprising given the ramp up in …

India's Index of Industrial Production growth slows to 4.9% as mining sector sees decline
8 months ago

India's Index of Industrial Production growth slows to 4.9% as mining sector sees decline

Deccan Chronicle  

New Delhi:With the poor performance, mostly in the mining sector, India’s industrial output slowed marginally to 4.9 per cent in March this year as compared to the previous month. The factory output measured in terms of the index of industrial production or IIP was 5.6 per cent in February 2024, while it saw a growth of 1.9 per cent in …

India's April business growth at near 14-year high, PMIs show
8 months, 3 weeks ago

India's April business growth at near 14-year high, PMIs show

Hindustan Times  

By Anant Chandak India's April business growth at near 14-year high, PMIs show BENGALURU, - India's business activity expanded at its fastest pace in nearly 14 years this month thanks to robust demand, according to a survey released on Tuesday that also showed easing input inflation and positive jobs growth. HSBC's flash India Composite purchasing managers' Index, compiled by S&P …

Indian economy projected to grow 6.5% in 2024: UNCTAD
8 months, 4 weeks ago

Indian economy projected to grow 6.5% in 2024: UNCTAD

The Hindu  

India’s economy is projected to grow by 6.5% in 2024, according to a report by the UN which noted that multinationals extending their manufacturing processes into the country to diversify their supply chains will have a positive impact on Indian exports. “The expansion in 2023 was driven by strong public investment outlays as well as the vitality of the services …

ADB pegs India’s GDP growth at 7% in 2024-25, 7.2% next year
9 months ago

ADB pegs India’s GDP growth at 7% in 2024-25, 7.2% next year

The Hindu  

India’s economy is expected to remain robust over the next two years even though headline growth in the country’s Gross Domestic Product is forecast to slow from 7.6% in 2023-24 to 7% this year before improving to 7.2% in 2025-26, the Asian Development Bank said. “In India, growth is forecast to remain strong as rising consumption complements continued investment growth,” …

On-target growth: 8% plus in 2023-24?
9 months, 2 weeks ago

On-target growth: 8% plus in 2023-24?

Live Mint  

Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman has hinted that India’s economy will see gross domestic product expand 8% or more in the three months ended 31 March. “Hopefully, the fourth quarter… will also have 8% or above 8%, resulting in 2023-24 having an average growth in GDP of 8% or over 8%," she said at a Mint summit on Saturday. Further, for …

Fin Ministry Attributes India's Growth Amid Global Slowdown To Strong Investment And Demand
9 months, 3 weeks ago

Fin Ministry Attributes India's Growth Amid Global Slowdown To Strong Investment And Demand

ABP News  

Robust investment activity and strengthening private consumption demand is driving growth in the Indian economy amidst the sluggish global growth, according to the Finance Ministry’s monthly review released on Friday. The strong demand is evident from indicators like burgeoning air passenger traffic and sale of passenger vehicles, rising digital payments, improved consumer confidence and expectations of a normal monsoon, the …

The march of prudence
11 months, 1 week ago

The march of prudence

Live Mint  

They underline fiscal rectitude, continuation of the great Indian build-out and abstinence from a consumption-driven steroidal push. The first advance estimate from the National Statistical Office has pegged India’s gross domestic product growth at a better-than-expected 7.3% for the current fiscal, in line with the strong economic performance reflected in the high-frequency data. In the milieu, budgetary capex is estimated …

Riding high on the growth momentum
1 year ago

Riding high on the growth momentum

Hindustan Times  

The Indian economy’s growth continues to surprise: The recently released advance estimate of Gross Domestic Product by the National Statistical Office showed that the economy will grow 7.3% in the current fiscal year 2023-24, slightly higher than last year’s 7.2% increase. India’s growth rate has kept a 7% handle for the last two years, but the world’s GDP growth has …

Positive GDP Surprise: Growth in Private Consumption Remains Critical
1 year ago

Positive GDP Surprise: Growth in Private Consumption Remains Critical

News 18  

The government’s first advance estimate of the Gross Domestic Product for the current fiscal, which will end in March, has been a positive surprise for most economists. Rajani Sinha, the Chief Economist of CARE Ratings, said MOSPI’s projection of the GDP “seems to be relatively optimistic, surpassing the RBI’s estimate of 7% and our own projection of 6.8 per cent”. …

Sprinting when world is limping
1 year, 3 months ago

Sprinting when world is limping

Hindustan Times  

With a 6.3% growth in 2023-24 and 2024-25, India will continue to be the fastest growing major economy in the world, the International Monetary Fund said in its World Economic Outlook on October 10. Unless the situation in West Asia really flares up after Hamas’s attack on Israel and energy prices increase significantly, inflation is unlikely to be a major …

India shows an impressive 7.8% economic growth in April-June quarter
1 year, 4 months ago

India shows an impressive 7.8% economic growth in April-June quarter

Associated Press  

NEW DELHI — India’s economy registered impressive growth of 7.8% in the first quarter of the current financial year, attributed to good performance by the agriculture and financial sectors, according to official data released on Thursday. India’s agriculture sector recorded growth of 3.5% in three months, up from 2.4% in the April-June quarter last year, according to the data released …

Growth in India is expected to slow to 6.3% in FY2023: World Bank
1 year, 7 months ago

Growth in India is expected to slow to 6.3% in FY2023: World Bank

The Hindu  

Growth in India is expected to slow to 6.3 % in FY 2023/24, a 0.3 percentage point downward revision from January, the World Bank said Tuesday but noted there is an unexpected resilience in private consumption and investment and robust growth in the services. “Growth in India is expected to slow further to 6.3 % in FY 2023/24, a 0.3 …

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