New earthquake probability model may help better predict the next big one
2 years, 1 month ago

New earthquake probability model may help better predict the next big one

Daily Mail  

A new model claims to predict when and where the next major earthquake may strike - just days after a 7.8 magnitude quake rocked Turkey and Syria, killing at least 19,000 people. Developed by a team of seismologists and statisticians at Northwestern University, the model takes into account previous earthquakes' specific order and timing rather than just relying on the average time between past earthquakes. Pictured is an image taken February 9 over Hatay, Turkey 'Considering the full earthquake history, rather than just the average over time and the time since the last one, will help us a lot in forecasting when future earthquakes will happen,' said Seth Stein, William Deering Professor of Earth and Planetary Sciences in the Weinberg College of Arts and Sciences. The new model takes into account previous earthquakes' specific order and timing rather than just relying on the average time between past earthquakes.

Syria Turkey Model Predict Magnitude Occur Tectonic Plates Big Earthquakes  occur  big  earthquakes  major  quake  better  probability  magnitude  predict  earthquake  plates  average  turkey  model  help

History of this topic

Experts warn a mega quake will trigger a devastating 100ft-high tsunami, cause carnage for seven million people and destroy 140,000 square miles. Here they share the key actions needed to improve your
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Experts warn a mega quake will trigger a devastating 100ft-high tsunami, cause carnage for seven million people and destroy 140,000 square miles. Here they share the key actions needed to improve your

Daily Mail  

Not far off the coast of the Pacific Northwest, a crack exists in the Earth’s crust. For this is the ‘Big One’ – the long-anticipated earthquake that could one day bring devastation to the continent. At a magnitude 9, it’s been predicted the eruption of the Cascadia Subduction Zone – a so-called megaquake – could kill 14,000 people and severely …

US officials warn nearly 75% of America is at risk of EARTHQUAKES after uncovering hundreds more fault lines... is YOUR area a danger zone?
1 year, 2 months ago

US officials warn nearly 75% of America is at risk of EARTHQUAKES after uncovering hundreds more fault lines... is YOUR area a danger zone?

Daily Mail  

Scientists updated the National Seismic Hazard Model with new data Scientists have discovered that 75 percent of the US - home to hundreds of millions of Americans - is at risk of damaging earthquakes. The US Geological Survey released the latest National Seismic Hazard Model that included 350 newly discovered fault lines since the previous model in 2018 - bringing …

Will we ever be able to predict earthquakes?
2 years, 1 month ago

Will we ever be able to predict earthquakes?

BBC  

Will we ever be able to predict earthquakes? Since 1970, only three earthquakes of magnitude 6 or larger have hit the region, and many geologists believed the region was "overdue" for a large earthquake. Turkey quake rescue effort saves man's life after five days under rubble Watch the video above to see how one rescue worker saved a man buried …

A glance at the world’s deadliest quakes in past 25 years
2 years, 1 month ago

A glance at the world’s deadliest quakes in past 25 years

Associated Press  

The magnitude 7.8 earthquake that struck Turkey and war-torn Syria on Monday has killed more than 20,700 people in the two countries. Here are some of the world’s deadliest earthquakes in the past 25 years: ___ — Feb. 6, 2023: In Turkey and Syria, a magnitude 7.8 earthquake kills more than 20,700 people. — Sept. 28, 2018: A magnitude 7.5 …

Why is it so hard to predict earthquakes?
2 years, 1 month ago

Why is it so hard to predict earthquakes?

Al Jazeera  

An earthquake, in the simplest terms, is when the earth shakes. “The broad idea about the cause being the buildup of strain has been around for a long time,” Tim Wright of the UK-based Centre for Observation and Modelling of Earthquakes, Volcanoes and Tectonics explained, “but only over the last 20 years have we had the technology to measure that …

No, we still can’t predict earthquakes (despite what some on Twitter may say)
2 years, 1 month ago

No, we still can’t predict earthquakes (despite what some on Twitter may say)

Salon  

The world is still reeling from the devastating series of earthquakes that struck Syria and Türkiye this week, injuring more than 68,000 people and killing over 15,000 at the time of this writing. Frank Hoogerbeets, a self-proclaimed earthquake predictor, went somewhat viral this week after posting a map with a series of red circles over the exact area where the …

Can earthquakes be predicted? What Dutch researcher said about Turkey, Syria on 3 February
2 years, 1 month ago

Can earthquakes be predicted? What Dutch researcher said about Turkey, Syria on 3 February

Firstpost  

The death toll is mounting in Turkey and Syria which has hit by a devastating 7.8 earthquake on Monday. AP The Turkey quake ‘prediction’ Dutch researcher rank Frank Hoogerbeets, who works at Solar System Geometry Survey, a Netherlands-based institute that monitors geometry between celestial bodies related to seismic activity, had “predicted” the quake on 3 February, three days ago. An …

Strong earthquakes may increase in 2018, predict US scientists
7 years, 4 months ago

Strong earthquakes may increase in 2018, predict US scientists

India TV News  

If a prediction by two US scientists were true then the world could see an increase in the number of strong earthquakes in 2018 and the next few years, a media report said. Roger Bilham of the University of Colorado and Rebecca Bendick of the University of Montana, who presented their research at the annual conference of the Geological Society …

Big earthquakes can produce destructive temblors on nearby faults, new study finds
8 years, 6 months ago

Big earthquakes can produce destructive temblors on nearby faults, new study finds

LA Times  

UC San Diego has found evidence that large earthquakes can quickly produce powerful and potentially dangerous aftershocks on nearby faults, an insight that could aid experts planning for how to deal with seismic hazards in California. In addition, the team from UC San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography made note of a 7.0 earthquake in the Indian Ocean that generated …

Scientists Are Developing A Way To Warn You An Earthquake Is Starting
9 years, 1 month ago

Scientists Are Developing A Way To Warn You An Earthquake Is Starting

Huff Post  

A research geophysicist with the United States Geological Survey looks at a series of images that illustrate the seismic waves of an earthquake. The understanding of seismic waves is key for building an earthquake early warning system. A reliable West Coast early-warning system could cost roughly $38 million to build and $16 million per year to maintain and run, according …

Will we ever… predict earthquakes?
12 years, 6 months ago

Will we ever… predict earthquakes?

BBC  

Will we ever… predict earthquakes? Susan Hough from the United States Geological Survey says the 1970s witnessed a heyday of earthquake prediction “But the pendulum swung,” says Hough, who wrote a book about the practice called Predicting the Unpredictable. In an email to me, he wrote: “All serious scientists know there are no prospects in the immediate future.” Finding fault …

The Fraudulent Business of Earthquake and Eruption Prediction
12 years, 11 months ago

The Fraudulent Business of Earthquake and Eruption Prediction

Wired  

Imagine this conversation: Me: I can predict the outcome of soccer matches! I've been watching the clouds and when they take a certain form, I claim I can predict when a goal is going to be scored -- and I've been right many times before! Hopefully not many, but if you look at the internet, you'll find a number of …

Satellite project to predict earthquakes will 'help save lives'
14 years, 1 month ago

Satellite project to predict earthquakes will 'help save lives'

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. "As stress builds up in the Earth prior to …

Predicting quakes
15 years, 5 months ago

Predicting quakes

The Hindu  

This is with reference to your editorial “Prediction gets tougher “. I quite agree with your observation on the inadequacy of the “elastic rebound theory” to explain the occurrence of earthquake cycle around the globe. The energy input could be due to floods, rains, earthquakes, artificial sources such as underground /under-sea nuclear explosions, dams/ reservoirs, etc. Once a particular fault …

Prediction gets tougher
15 years, 5 months ago

Prediction gets tougher

The Hindu  

Despite years of unrelenting efforts, predicting earthquakes — the holy grail of seismology — has only got tougher. A series of high magnitude earthquakes that struck different parts of the globe in recent years has made scientists realise that rocks respond to strain and seismic waves in a far more dynamic manner than was originally assumed. But the occurrence of …

Discover Related