2024 yearender: Rifts split wide open — old conflicts take centre stage
Hindustan TimesDuring the election campaign, Donald Trump claimed that if he was in power, neither would Russia have attacked Ukraine nor would Hamas have attacked Israel. In 2024, the complexion and contours of the war in Ukraine and West Asia continued to change, influencing global geopolitics like never before. On Ukraine, from suggesting that he could end the war with just a phone call, Trump has woken up to the enormous human tragedy and acknowledged the strategic complexity in getting both sides to agree, claiming it is a more difficult situation than West Asia, while underlining the need for a deal urgently. It is also true that Israel, this year, has also scored major military and strategic successes, killing Hamas’s leadership and degrading Hamas’s military strength, weakening Hezbollah dramatically before striking a ceasefire deal to its north, and engaging in two direct clashes with Iran and conducting a high profile assassination in Tehran, all of which has exposed Iran’s deficits. No side can win decisively -- the West, even Trump probably, won’t allow a takeover of Kyiv and Ukraine can’t get back all it has lost since 2014.