Coronavirus impact: Barclays pegs India's current account surplus at $20 bn this fiscal, first-time in 14 years
FirstpostAs imports continue to plunge due to the coronavirus-driven disruptions globally, India may end the current fiscal with a record surplus of about $20 billion or 70 bps of the GDP, says a report Mumbai: As imports continue to plunge due to the coronavirus-driven disruptions globally, India may end the current fiscal with a record surplus of about $20 billion or 70 bps of the GDP, says a report. In fact, the steadily slowing economy has ensured that imports are also falling along with exports, leading to improvements in the external position since the first half of FY19, with the current account deficit narrowing to $27 billion in FY2019 from $66 billion in FY2018, driven largely by a smaller trade deficit. “Our current account tracker points to a small current account deficit of $3 billion in Q1, followed by successive ‘unwelcome’ surpluses, mirroring subdued economic activity. It also forecasts $8 billion in the current account surplus in the second quarter of FY2021, the first since the first quarter of FY2007.