Question for Fed: Has it waited too long to fight inflation?
2 years, 11 months ago

Question for Fed: Has it waited too long to fight inflation?

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — With inflation surging, unemployment falling and wages rising, some economists are warning that the Federal Reserve may have waited too long to reverse its ultra-low-rate policies — a delay that could put the economy at heightened risk. While Powell has many defenders who applaud the Fed’s willingness to keep interest rates low to help reduce unemployment after the pandemic recession, Friday’s U.S. jobs report for December raised alarms. And, they argue, the Fed’s willingness to keep rates low, even as the economy recovered, helped support a faster pace of growth and hiring, particularly compared with the grindingly slow recovery after the 2008-2009 recession. Yet many economists argue that the Fed remains too optimistic about inflation and that the rate will stay well above the Fed’s 2% inflation target this year. All three economists on Saturday’s panel — Steinsson; Jason Furman, a Harvard economist and former top adviser to President Barack Obama; and Joseph Gagnon, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and former Fed economist — said they thought inflation, under the Fed’s preferred measure, would remain at least 3.5% by year’s end.

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History of this topic

Does the Fed even know what it’s trying to do?
4 days, 20 hours ago

Does the Fed even know what it’s trying to do?

Live Mint  

We might as well confront it head-on: What the Federal Reserve did this week doesn’t make any sense. The Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday cut the target range for the Fed funds rate by one-quarter percentage point, to 4.25% to 4.5%, its third consecutive rate reduction. Because the first, in September, was a “jumbo" half-percent cut, the central bank’s …

US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, signals slower cuts for 2025
Trending News
6 days, 5 hours ago

US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, signals slower cuts for 2025

India TV News  

The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter for the third consecutive time. Future outlook: Moderate reductions expected by 2025 Another quarterly outlook indicated only two rate cuts in 2025, with officials predicting government rates to reach 3.75 per cent-4 per cent by the end of that year. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman warned that inflation would remain …

Feds drop interest rates by another quarter-point easing burden for borrowers
Trending News
6 days, 6 hours ago

Feds drop interest rates by another quarter-point easing burden for borrowers

The Independent  

The latest headlines from our reporters across the US sent straight to your inbox each weekday Your briefing on the latest headlines from across the US Your briefing on the latest headlines from across the US SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. This year's Fed rate reductions have marked a …

US Federal Reserve lowers rates by a quarter point, signals two cuts for 2025
6 days, 9 hours ago

US Federal Reserve lowers rates by a quarter point, signals two cuts for 2025

Hindustan Times  

Federal Reserve officials lowered their benchmark interest rate for a third consecutive time, but reined in the number of cuts they expect in 2025, signaling greater caution over how quickly they can continue reducing borrowing costs. A majority of economists in a Bloomberg survey had expected the median rate estimate would point to three cuts next year. Bumpy Inflation Policymakers …

US Fed cuts interest rates but cautions for year ahead
Trending News
1 week ago

US Fed cuts interest rates but cautions for year ahead

Al Jazeera  

Slower progress on inflation translates into a slower pace of rate cuts, especially as economic growth is brisk. “Economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace” with an unemployment rate that “remains low” and inflation that “remains somewhat elevated”, the central bank’s rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee said in its latest policy statement on Wednesday. That is half …

Will the Fed keep cutting in 2025?
1 week, 1 day ago

Will the Fed keep cutting in 2025?

Live Mint  

Investors see an interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve this week as all but certain. Approaching neutral This week’s meeting is likely to deepen debates on two issues that could define where rates go over the next year: the location of the “neutral" rate of interest and the potential for policy changes by President-elect Donald Trump. “It looks like you’ve …

Federal Reserve is likely to slow its rate cuts with inflation pressures still elevated
1 week, 1 day ago

Federal Reserve is likely to slow its rate cuts with inflation pressures still elevated

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Americans hoping for lower borrowing costs for homes, credit cards and cars may be disappointed after this week’s Federal Reserve meeting. The Fed’s policymakers are likely to signal fewer interest rate cuts next year than were previously expected. Instead, inflation has become stuck at a higher level, yet the Fed after Wednesday’s meeting will likely have lowered its …

US Fed to play ‘cut-and-pause’ for meeting dual mandate of growth & inflation; Fewer rate cuts eyed in 2025: Experts
1 week, 3 days ago

US Fed to play ‘cut-and-pause’ for meeting dual mandate of growth & inflation; Fewer rate cuts eyed in 2025: Experts

Live Mint  

The US Federal Reserve will begin its deliberations for the latest monetary policy decisions on Tuesday, December 17, and will announce its new benchmark interest rate decision on December 18. The US central bank will conduct its two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting amid Wall Street bets that will likely stay on course towards delivering another rate cut even after …

Fed seen poised to cut rates this month, debate 2025 pause
2 weeks, 4 days ago

Fed seen poised to cut rates this month, debate 2025 pause

Live Mint  

* US job growth rebounds in November after October slowdown * Traders lift bets on Fed rate cut this month to 85% * Bowman, who dissented on September rate cut, urges caution * Hammack says it may be time to pause By Howard Schneider and Ann Saphir CHICAGO/PALO ALTO, California, Dec 6 - Federal Reserve officials appear on track to …

The US Fed needs a serious rethink at its next policy review
2 weeks, 6 days ago

The US Fed needs a serious rethink at its next policy review

Live Mint  

Next year, the US Federal Reserve will undertake an exercise with global implications: its periodic monetary policy framework review, at which it rethinks its approach to managing the world’s largest economy. By March 2022, interest rates were still near zero and the Fed was buying Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities to push down longer-term rates—while the US unemployment rate was 3.8% …

U.S. Fed officials see inflation fight as broadly on track
3 weeks ago

U.S. Fed officials see inflation fight as broadly on track

Raw Story  

The U.S. appears on track to hit its long-term target of two percent inflation despite a recent uptick, three Federal Reserve officials said Monday, with one indicating tentative support for another rate cut this month. "At present I lean toward supporting a cut to the policy rate at our December meeting," he said, noting that many people still expected inflation …

A top Fed official leans toward December rate cut but says it depends on economic data
3 weeks, 1 day ago

A top Fed official leans toward December rate cut but says it depends on economic data

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — A top Federal Reserve official said Monday that he is leaning toward supporting an interest rate cut when the Fed meets in two weeks but that evidence of persistent inflation before then could cause him to change that view. But he noted that there’s a risk that inflation “may be getting stuck above” the Fed’s 2% target, which …

Fed’s Waller says inclined at this point to cut rates in December
Trending News
3 weeks, 1 day ago

Fed’s Waller says inclined at this point to cut rates in December

Live Mint  

By Howard Schneider WASHINGTON, Dec 2 - Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Monday he was inclined to cut the benchmark interest rate at the Dec. 17-18 meeting as monetary policy remained restrictive enough to keep putting downward pressure on inflation, while the labor market was roughly in balance, something the Fed wants to maintain. "Policy is still restrictive …

Federal Reserve officials signal cautious path for rate cuts amid still-high inflation
4 weeks ago

Federal Reserve officials signal cautious path for rate cuts amid still-high inflation

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — With inflation still elevated, Federal Reserve officials expressed caution at their last meeting about cutting interest rates too quickly, adding to uncertainty about their next moves. Even if inflation continued declining to the Fed’s 2% target, officials said, “it would likely be appropriate to move gradually” in lowering rates, according to minutes of the November 6-7 meeting. Yet …

Powell says solid economy allows Fed to consider rate cuts ‘carefully’
1 month, 1 week ago

Powell says solid economy allows Fed to consider rate cuts ‘carefully’

Live Mint  

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said recent signs of economic health would allow the central bank to take its time in deciding how quickly to continue reducing interest rates. Before Powell’s remarks, investors in interest-rate futures markets expected the central bank to lower rates by a quarter point at that meeting and then to slow down the pace of cuts …

Powell says Fed will likely cut rates cautiously given persistent inflation pressures
1 month, 1 week ago

Powell says Fed will likely cut rates cautiously given persistent inflation pressures

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Chair Jerome Powell said Thursday that the Federal Reserve will likely cut its key interest rate slowly and deliberately in the coming months, in part because inflation has shown signs of persistence and the Fed’s officials want to see where it heads next. In his remarks Thursday, Powell suggested that inflation may remain stuck somewhat above the Fed’s …

US Fed rate cut: First inflation uptick in 7 months does little for Powell-led FOMC’s December plans; here’s why
1 month, 1 week ago

US Fed rate cut: First inflation uptick in 7 months does little for Powell-led FOMC’s December plans; here’s why

Live Mint  

The US Federal Reserve will likely stay on course towards delivering another interest rate cut in its December policy meeting even after the latest inflation print revealed that consumer prices rose for the first time in seven months. Wall Street analysts say that October's inflation data "will change little for the US Fed'' when the Federal Open Market Committee will …

Liberal economist Larry Summers issues frightening warning about inflation to Americans following Trump's election
1 month, 1 week ago

Liberal economist Larry Summers issues frightening warning about inflation to Americans following Trump's election

Daily Mail  

Liberal economist Larry Summers warned that inflation is still not fixed and that a Trump administration could make things even worse. Liberal economist Larry Summers warned that inflation is still not fixed and that a Trump administration could make things even worse Summers is worried that President-elect Donald Trump may only make 'Bidenflation' worse The central bank made a 25 …

Fed’s Powell: Rate cuts are still underway, but there’s no hurry
1 month, 1 week ago

Fed’s Powell: Rate cuts are still underway, but there’s no hurry

CNN  

Washington CNN — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Thursday that interest rates are still expected to decline further, but suggested they might not be that much lower over the next few months. Powell said in a moderated discussion that Fed economists may begin to assess Trump’s plans and how they could affect the economy more seriously as early as …

Trump enters just as the Fed is shifting its focus
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Trump enters just as the Fed is shifting its focus

Live Mint  

With its second consecutive interest-rate cut this year, the Federal Reserve is attempting to boost the odds of a soft landing. Alternatively, any resurgence in inflation could force the Fed to stop cutting rates, raising the odds that the economy faces a hard landing later in Trump’s term. Due in part to the Fed cutting rates with a solid economy, …

The Fed’s next moves are now anyone’s guess
1 month, 2 weeks ago

The Fed’s next moves are now anyone’s guess

Live Mint  

Take the Federal Reserve’s projections from September and throw them into the trash. The Fed cut rates by a quarter point on Thursday, as universally expected and following a half-point cut in September. Take for instance Fed policymakers’ longer-term economic projections released at their September meeting. But the chance that the Fed could cut rates by just a quarter point …

The Fed thinks inflation is vanquished
1 month, 2 weeks ago

The Fed thinks inflation is vanquished

Live Mint  

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is sticking with his view that inflation is all but vanquished. Mr. Powell delivered a surprisingly large, 50-basis point cut in September despite persistent above-target inflation and a strong labor market. Economic models tell Mr. Powell and colleagues that inflation will resume its downward drift eventually, and that if they don’t cut rates in the …

The US Federal Reserve must do two things right now
1 month, 2 weeks ago

The US Federal Reserve must do two things right now

Live Mint  

As US Federal Reserve officials deliberate monetary policy, they may wish to recall what happened when policymakers in past decades became overconfident in using demand management measures to ‘fine tune’ the economy. Its obsession with data dependency has seen it over-react to noisy historical data, lacking the more strategic forward-looking approach needed when using policy tools that operate with ‘long …

Jerome Powell-led FOMC to meet today: US election results, inflation to GDP— 5 key indicators to watch
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Jerome Powell-led FOMC to meet today: US election results, inflation to GDP— 5 key indicators to watch

Live Mint  

The US Federal Reserve will begin its deliberations for the latest monetary policy decisions today, November 6, and will announce its new benchmark interest rate decision on Thursday, November 7. In September's policy meeting, US Fed policymakers said they see the interest rate falling by another 50 bps by the end of this year, another full percentage point in 2025, …

Column: American economists and consumers got inflation wrong during its recent surge. They still do
2 months, 4 weeks ago

Column: American economists and consumers got inflation wrong during its recent surge. They still do

LA Times  

Sen. JD Vance tried to blame the $4 price of a dozen eggs on Kamala Harris in this campaign video. The “strong policy response” Powell referred to was the Fed’s raising of short-term interest rates 11 times, a total of 5.25 percentage points, from March 2022 through July 2023. In November 2021, however, Powell told Congress that it was “probably …

Employment worries rise for Fed as inflation challenge is ‘becoming history’
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Employment worries rise for Fed as inflation challenge is ‘becoming history’

Politico  

Friday’s inflation data will solidify Powell’s resolve to lower borrowing costs next month, a move that’s poised to bring some relief to businesses and consumers just weeks ahead of the November elections. The Commerce Department said Friday that the annual personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, was just 2.5 percent in July — a sign that …

Federal Reserve Chief Powell: 'The Time Has Come' To Start Cutting Interest Rates
4 months ago

Federal Reserve Chief Powell: 'The Time Has Come' To Start Cutting Interest Rates

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING JACKSON HOLE, Wyoming — With inflation nearly defeated and the job market cooling, the Federal Reserve is prepared to start cutting its key interest rate from its current 23-year high, Chair Jerome Powell said Friday. “The time has come for policy to adjust,” Powell said in his keynote speech at the Fed’s annual economic conference in Jackson …

US Fed’s Powell says ‘time has come’ to lower interest rates
4 months ago

US Fed’s Powell says ‘time has come’ to lower interest rates

Al Jazeera  

Fast rise in prices led the Fed to increase its benchmark policy rate from near zero to the highest range in a quarter of a century. The direction of travel is clear, and the timing and pace of rate cuts will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook and the balance of risks.” Referencing the two tasks that Congress has …

'The time has come' to lower interest rates: Fed Chair Jerome Powell
4 months ago

'The time has come' to lower interest rates: Fed Chair Jerome Powell

NPR  

'The time has come' to lower interest rates: Fed Chair Jerome Powell toggle caption Drew Angerer/Getty Images North America Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell says he's increasingly confident that inflation will soon be tamed, setting the stage for the central bank to start cutting interest rates next month. Speaking at one of the most closely-watched annual gatherings of global central …

Inflation likely stayed low last month as Federal Reserve edges closer to cutting rates
4 months, 1 week ago

Inflation likely stayed low last month as Federal Reserve edges closer to cutting rates

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. For months, cooling inflation has …

U.S. inflation slowed again in July, clearing the way for the Fed to begin cutting rates
4 months, 1 week ago

U.S. inflation slowed again in July, clearing the way for the Fed to begin cutting rates

LA Times  

A sale sign is displayed on a store clothes rack. Wednesday’s report from the Labor Department showed that consumer prices rose just 0.2% from June to July after dropping slightly the previous month for the first time in four years. At a news conference last month, Powell said that cooler inflation data this spring had strengthened the Fed’s confidence that …

Buckle up: Wall Street’s shaky July could be a preview for more sharp swings
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Buckle up: Wall Street’s shaky July could be a preview for more sharp swings

Associated Press  

NEW YORK — For more than a year, the U.S. stock market went in mostly one direction, up, and in mostly one manner, quietly. A bonanza around artificial-intelligence technology helped drive Big Tech stocks higher, while other areas of the market held up amid rising hopes for coming cuts to interest rates by the Federal Reserve. A measure of fear …

Powell says Federal Reserve is more confident inflation is slowing to its target
5 months, 1 week ago

Powell says Federal Reserve is more confident inflation is slowing to its target

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Chair Jerome Powell said Monday that the Federal Reserve is becoming more convinced that inflation is headed back to its 2% target and said the Fed would cut rates before the pace of price increases actually reached that point. “We’ve had three better readings, and if you average them, that’s a pretty good pace,” Powell said of inflation …

US inflation cools again, Fed may cut interest rates soon
5 months, 2 weeks ago

US inflation cools again, Fed may cut interest rates soon

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Inflation in the United States cooled in June for a third straight month, a sign that the worst price spike in four decades is steadily fading and may soon usher in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. “This confirms that there is very little chance of inflation re-accelerating and that it’s time for some rate cuts from …

US inflation cools again, potentially paving way for Fed to cut interest rates soon
5 months, 2 weeks ago

US inflation cools again, potentially paving way for Fed to cut interest rates soon

New Indian Express  

WASHINGTON: Inflation in the United States cooled in June for a third straight month, a sign that the worst price spike in four decades is steadily fading and may soon usher in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. In a better-than-expected report, consumer prices declined 0.1% from May to June after having remained flat the previous month, the Labor …

Powell stresses message that US job market is cooling, a possible signal of coming rate cut
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Powell stresses message that US job market is cooling, a possible signal of coming rate cut

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday reinforced a message that the Fed is paying growing attention to a slowing job market and not only to taming inflation, a shift that signals it’s likely to begin cutting interest rates soon. “We also have an employment mandate.” On Tuesday, when Powell addressed the Senate Banking Committee, he suggested that …

Federal Reserve minutes: Inflation is cooling, but more evidence is needed for rate cuts
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Federal Reserve minutes: Inflation is cooling, but more evidence is needed for rate cuts

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials at their most recent meeting welcomed signs that inflation is slowing and highlighted data suggesting that the job market and the broader economy could be cooling. Rate cuts by the Fed would likely lead, over time, to lower borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards as well as business borrowing, and could also …

Federal Reserve minutes: Inflation is cooling, but more evidence is needed for rate cuts
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Federal Reserve minutes: Inflation is cooling, but more evidence is needed for rate cuts

LA Times  

A May news conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell appears on a monitor on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange. Federal Reserve officials at their most recent meeting welcomed recent signs that inflation is slowing and highlighted data suggesting that the job market and the broader economy could be cooling. The minutes of the Fed’s June 11-12 …

Fed Chair Jerome Powell: US inflation is cooling again, though it isn't yet time to cut rates
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Fed Chair Jerome Powell: US inflation is cooling again, though it isn't yet time to cut rates

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Inflation in the United States is slowing again after higher readings earlier this year, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Tuesday, while adding that more such evidence would be needed before the Fed would cut interest rates. After some persistently high inflation reports at the start of 2024, Powell said, the data for April and May “do suggest …

Further rate rises look increasingly possible, but would they fix inflation?
6 months ago

Further rate rises look increasingly possible, but would they fix inflation?

ABC  

After 13 interest rate hikes that sent home loan repayments soaring, we still have an inflation problem. Two years of rate rises have failed to slow the economy down enough to get inflation back within the RBA's preferred range. According to the RBA governor, aggregate demand continues to outstrip supply even though a large number of households are under extreme …

US Fed holds interest rates and pencils at just one cut this year
6 months, 1 week ago

US Fed holds interest rates and pencils at just one cut this year

Hindustan Times  

The US Federal Reserve left its key lending rate unchanged on Wednesday and penciled in just one rate cut this year, down from the three expected in March after inflation stalled in the first quarter. Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images/AFP The Fed voted unanimously to keep its benchmark interest rate between 5.25 and 5.50 percent, and said that "modest" progress had been …

Federal Reserve sees some progress on inflation but envisions just one rate cut this year
6 months, 1 week ago

Federal Reserve sees some progress on inflation but envisions just one rate cut this year

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials said Wednesday that inflation has fallen further toward their target level in recent months but signaled that they expect to cut their benchmark interest rate just once this year. The policymakers’ forecast for one rate cut was down from their previous projection of three cuts, because inflation, despite having cooled in the past two months, …

Inflation eases in May, but major relief on interest rates not coming soon
6 months, 1 week ago

Inflation eases in May, but major relief on interest rates not coming soon

LA Times  

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell and his colleagues at the central bank have kept interest rates at a more than 20-year high to fight inflation. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates to the highest level in more than two decades to fight inflation, and on Wednesday policymakers said the fight wasn’t over. “But we don’t see ourselves as …

High US interest rates forever: Do not count on this scenario
6 months, 3 weeks ago

High US interest rates forever: Do not count on this scenario

Live Mint  

In spite of the highest Federal Reserve policy rates in two decades, the US economy grew about 2.5% last year, unemployment remains low and stocks are near all-time highs, leading many observers to conclude that the economy has become less interest-rate sensitive—and probably needs permanently high benchmark rates to prevent overheating. Once inflation had been beaten, economists assumed that policy …

An inflation gauge closely tracked by Federal Reserve rises at slowest pace this year
6 months, 3 weeks ago

An inflation gauge closely tracked by Federal Reserve rises at slowest pace this year

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — A price gauge closely tracked by the Federal Reserve cooled slightly last month, a sign that inflation may be easing after running high in the first three months of this year. Overall inflation increased 0.3% from March to April, the same as in the previous month, and 2.7% from a year earlier, also unchanged from March’s figure. Friday’s …

Inflation pressures lingering from pandemic are keeping Fed rate cuts on pause
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation pressures lingering from pandemic are keeping Fed rate cuts on pause

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Hopes for interest rate cuts this year by the Federal Reserve are steadily fading, with a stream of recent remarks by Fed officials underscoring their intention to keep borrowing costs high as long as needed to curb persistently elevated inflation. But with inflation remaining stubbornly above the Fed’s target level, Wall Street traders now expect just one rate …

Federal Reserve minutes: Policymakers saw a longer path to rate cuts
7 months ago

Federal Reserve minutes: Policymakers saw a longer path to rate cuts

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — After several unexpectedly high inflation readings, Federal Reserve officials concluded at a meeting earlier this month that it would take longer than they previously thought for inflation to cool enough to justify reducing their key interest rate, now at a 23-year high. But at a news conference just after the meeting, Chair Jerome Powell said it was “unlikely” …

US inflation eased last month in the first slowdown of 2024
7 months, 1 week ago

US inflation eased last month in the first slowdown of 2024

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Led by lower food and auto prices, inflation in the United States cooled slightly last month after three elevated readings, likely offering a tentative sigh of relief for officials at the Federal Reserve as well as President Joe Biden’s re-election team. Instead, he stressed that the Fed’s policymakers need “greater confidence” that inflation is falling to their 2% …

US employers scaled back hiring in April. How that could let the Fed cut interest rates
7 months, 3 weeks ago

US employers scaled back hiring in April. How that could let the Fed cut interest rates

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The nation’s employers pulled back on their hiring in April but still added a decent 175,000 jobs in a sign that persistently high interest rates may be starting to slow the robust U.S. job market. Even with the April hiring slowdown, last month’s job growth amounted to a solid increase, though it was the lowest monthly gain since …

Federal Reserve says interest rates will stay at two-decade high until inflation further cools
7 months, 3 weeks ago

Federal Reserve says interest rates will stay at two-decade high until inflation further cools

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve on Wednesday emphasized that inflation has remained stubbornly high in recent months and said it doesn’t plan to cut interest rates until it has “greater confidence” that price increases are slowing sustainably to its 2% target. Despite the recent setbacks, he said, “My expectation is that over the course of this year, we will see …

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