A Republican win on November 8 does not mean a Trump comeback
Al JazeeraRepublicans have been able to win back some voters they lost in 2020 for the midterms; but that can change by 2024. In the 2018 midterm election, suburban and college-educated women helped the Democrats win back the House of Representatives from the Republicans, a major electoral defeat for the Trump administration. Rather, a Republican victory would be a consequence of the slump in support for Biden amid an economic crisis and the failure of the Democratic Party to defend its economic policies and rally support for issues they advocate for, such as gun control and abortion rights. If Trump returns to his divisive rhetoric, the Democratic Party would need to have a candidate that can inspire the liberal base to get out and vote without alienating centrists and independents. Trump struggled electorally in 2020 even in historically red states like Texas, Georgia, and Arizona, and his loyal base alone might not be enough to carry him back to the White House.
History of this topic
Republicans win House majority after victories in California, Arizona
LA Times
Week in politics: Democrats reckon with a bruising defeat, Trump in the White House
NPR
If Republicans Want to Win, They Need Trump to Lose — Big
Politico
Column: Biden as the comeback kid, Trump as the biggest loser: Takeaways from the midterm election
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