
IEA says trade tensions weigh on oil demand, warns of supply surplus
Live MintThe International Energy Agency said the macroeconomic conditions underpinning its oil-demand projections have worsened over the past month due to global trade tensions, and that it sees a bigger-than-anticipated supply surplus if OPEC+ raises output beyond April. But the agency’s projections remain substantially lower than OPEC’s, as the cartel currently expects demand to grow by 1.45 million barrels a day. The agency said it now estimates an overhang of around 600,000 barrels a day–higher than last month’s projections–and that an additional 400,000 barrels a day could be added to the market if OPEC+ proceeds to raise output beyond April and compliance among over-producing members continues to be weak. OPEC+ crude supply rose by 210,000 barrels a day in February, while production from OPEC’s 12 members increased by 40,000 barrels a day, according to the agency’s estimates. Venezuelan supply is instead expected to decline from April when Chevron’s license to operate the country expires, and its crude output estimate for the year was lowered by 190,000 barrels a day.
History of this topic

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