Could third-party voters spoil the 2024 election?
The IndependentSign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Top elections analyst Nate Silver has predicted that this year’s vote is “a toss-up” and could go either way, giving the Republican a 51.5 percent chance of winning to Harris’s 48.1 percent. Addressing the likely role of third-party candidates, Trump declared at a rally in Philadelphia in June prior to Biden’s decision to step aside: “Cornel West – he’s one of my favorite candidates, Cornel West. Kennedy’s probably 50/50, but he’s a fake.” While Stein and West might pose a threat to Harris, RFK Jr threatens to do the same to Trump. Trump has duly spent the final weeks of the election cycle talking about giving RFK Jr free rein to do “anything he wants” and “go wild” over women’s health, food and medicines but the eccentric Kennedy dynasty heir could yet cause him a problem at the polling booths.