More flash droughts in India by end of century
4 years, 2 months ago

More flash droughts in India by end of century

The Hindu  

In 1979, India faced a severe flash drought, affecting about 40% of the country and taking a toll on agriculture. If we can meet the ‘Paris Agreement’ goals and limit global warming to well below 2 degrees C, the numbers and frequency of the projected flash droughts may go down,” says Vimal Mishra from the Civil Engineering and Earth Sciences at IIT Gandhinagar. The top five flash droughts based on the overall severity score occurred in 1979 followed by 2009,1951,1986 and 2005. To predict the future flash droughts the team used a Community Earth System Model which simulates the summer monsoon precipitation, sea surface temperature, role of El Nino Southern Oscillation, and air temperature over India. “The frequency of concurrent hot and dry extremes is projected to rise by about five-fold, causing an approximately seven-fold increase in flash droughts like 1979 by the end of the 21st century,” adds the paper.

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