Tracking China's economy and commodity needs is getting harder
1 week, 3 days ago

Tracking China's economy and commodity needs is getting harder

The Hindu  

Gavin Maguire Until 2020, commodities traders and economists needed only a handful of data points to gauge the health and direction of China's economy, and the volumes of raw materials needed to fuel the world's largest trading partner and goods producer. Old timers In the good old days, commodity traders needed only a quick glance at China's imports of crude oil and iron ore to discern the health of its overall economy. Within the current decade, however, two important trends have collided to render oil and iron ore import data significantly less pertinent: the electrification of China's vehicle fleets and the debt crisis within its property sector. China's output of cement, crude steel, insulating glass and welded steel pipes has also trended lower since 2020 as the broader construction sector downshifted. Shipping out China's exports of key manufactured items have also scaled new highs within the past year, but may face stiffer headwinds going forward under the new tariff regime set by U.S. President Donald Trump.

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