Covid-19 third wave to be less severe than second wave, predicts IIT Kanpur Prof Dr Manindra Agrawal
The new Covid-19 variant omicron remains a cause of concern as India is seeing a sudden spike in the number of cases related to the highly transmissible coronavirus variant that has fuelled record outbreaks in various countries in the world. Number of infections in India during Covid-19 third wave would be half compared to second wave Dr Agarwal said the current contact or beta rate in the UK is 0.52, down from 0.72 in the previous month. In the current situation, if we presume that 20 per cent of the naturally immune people in India lose their body immunity, then the third wave in India may peak in early March with anywhere between 1.8 lakh and 2 lakh Covid infections getting reported from across the country in a single day. — Manindra Agrawal December 23, 2021 The severity of the third wave, in terms of numbers, would, however, be half than what India saw during the second wave of the pandemic, said Dr Agarwal. He said that during the Delta wave, about 1 in 5 reported cases required hospitalization in India whereas during the omicron variant driven Covid third wave it can be assumed that 1 in 10 cases may require hospitalization in India.
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