43% Americans say a civil war is at least somewhat likely in next 10 years
Live MintMore than two in five Americans say a US civil war is at least somewhat likely in the next decade, highlighting the deepening political divisions in the country heading into the midterms. A recent poll by YouGov and The Economist found that 43% believe a civil war was either “very” or “somewhat likely.” People who identified as “strong Republicans” were the most likely to anticipate a conflict. “Polarization right now is at the highest level in decades, if not going all the way back to the civil war,” Thomas Gift, director of the University College London’s Center on US Politics said in an interview. But he urged caution interpreting the data; he noted this type of conflict doesn’t typically break out in wealthy, democratic countries and it’s unclear what respondents imagine when they think of a “civil war.” The survey, conducted among 1,500 US adults, also found that two-thirds of Americans—66%—believe political divisions have gotten worse since the beginning of 2021.
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