
Newly discovered asteroid has a 1.2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032
CNNSign up for CNN’s Wonder Theory science newsletter. “If the asteroid turns out to be on the large end of its estimated size range, the impact could produce blast damage as far as 50 kilometers from the impact site,” Chodas said. “The discovery happened while the asteroid was in the Earth’s neighborhood, which made it bright enough to be detected,” Farnocchia said. Given that the impact probability is only 1%, it is 99% likely that the Earth will eventually fall outside the swath of possible positions and that the probability would fall to zero.” It’s not uncommon for an asteroid’s impact probability to rise shortly after its discovery before that probability drops to zero after scientists learn more about its size and trajectory, according to the European Space Agency. Tracking a potential threat Two international asteroid response groups endorsed by the United Nations — the International Asteroid Warning Network, chaired by NASA, and the Space Mission Planning Advisory Group, chaired by ESA — have activated in response to the threat level.
History of this topic

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