Surprise spike: On the Consumer Price Index
The HinduIndia’s consumer prices have gained fresh momentum over September and October, rendering the tangible softening in inflation to a pace below the official median target of 4% in the two months preceding them, a fleeting reprieve. A sharp surge in vegetable prices, particularly tomato, from the onset of the festival-packed month of October, and an uptick in edible oil prices after nearly two years of decline, had stoked anticipation that the inflation may end up a tad higher than September. However, the Consumer Price Index for October beat all economists’ projections by a wide margin, to rise 6.2%, the highest since August 2023 when it was up 6.8%. Core inflation has been well under the headline inflation rate and continued to be comfortable, and sufficient food grain buffers with a healthy kharif harvest, it said, would alleviate price pressures.