10 things the IMF numbers tell us about the Indian economy
Live MintMumbai: The International Monetary Fund has released the results of its annual assessment of the Indian economy, with predictions for 2018-19 and 2019-20. Here’s what the IMF numbers tell us: There’s no change in the forecast for India GDP growth—it remains 7.3% for the current fiscal year and 7.5% for 2019-20. This imbalance between domestic savings and investment will result in a higher current account deficit, which the IMF estimates at 2.6% of GDP this fiscal year, up from 1.9% last year. One reason for the higher savings figure is that the IMF believes the general government fiscal deficit, including that of the states, will be 6.6% of GDP, compared to 7% last fiscal. In February 2017, during last year’s assessment, they said real GDP growth in 2016-17 would be 6.6% in 2016-17 and 7.2% in 2017-18.