Pradeep C. Nair | After Rakhine’s fall to Arakan rebels, the consequences for Myanmar to be dire
Deccan ChronicleOn December 9, 2024, the Arakan Army, one of the most powerful ethnic armed organisations and one from the three Brotherhood Alliance, battling the Myanmar Army captured one of the last Army outposts in the strategic western town of Maungdaw, thereby gaining full control of the 271-km-long border with Bangladesh. Rakhine state does not border India, but the key port of Sittwe and Sittwe-Paletwa road of the KMTTP pass through Rakhine. While Myanmar’s Rakhine state has drawn the world’s attention now due to the AA offensive, the unique role Rakhine plays in China’s Belt and Road Initiative must be understood. Rakhine state is the host to China’s largest investment projects in the country: the $2.5 billion Sino-Myanmar oil and gas pipelines, the $7.3 billion Kyaukphyu deep-sea port and the $2.7 billion special economic zone. China sees India’s Act East Policy and in it, the major KMTTP project, as one that clashes with its strategic and economic interests, particularly because Sittwe and Kyaukphu are both in Rakhine.