Column: American economists and consumers got inflation wrong during its recent surge. They still do
2 months, 3 weeks ago

Column: American economists and consumers got inflation wrong during its recent surge. They still do

LA Times  

Sen. JD Vance tried to blame the $4 price of a dozen eggs on Kamala Harris in this campaign video. The “strong policy response” Powell referred to was the Fed’s raising of short-term interest rates 11 times, a total of 5.25 percentage points, from March 2022 through July 2023. In November 2021, however, Powell told Congress that it was “probably a good time to retire that word.” The Fed’s monetary policy response was launched March 18, 2022, with a quarter-point hike in interest rates. “Publicly reported supply chain bottlenecks and cost shocks,” wrote Isabella M. Weber and Evan Wasner of the University of Massachusetts Amherst, “serve to create legitimacy for price hikes and create acceptance on the part of consumers to pay higher prices.” The Fed’s turbocharged response to inflation — notwithstanding the perception of some economists that its interest rate increases were too late and too small — is understandable. As Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen warned in 2021, “inflation can be a self-fulfilling prophecy.” That’s especially true when an economically illiterate news media stokes consumer fears.

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History of this topic

US Fed’s preferred inflation yardstick edges higher by 2.4% in November, stays within Wall Street estimates
3 days, 9 hours ago

US Fed’s preferred inflation yardstick edges higher by 2.4% in November, stays within Wall Street estimates

Live Mint  

The US Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure rose for a second straight month in November by 2.4 per cent, yet stayed within Wall Street estimates. The US Commerce Department's data showed on Friday that the personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2.4 per cent year-on-year in the 12 months to November, up from 2.3 per cent in October. At 2.4 …

US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, signals slower cuts for 2025
Trending News
5 days, 2 hours ago

US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, signals slower cuts for 2025

India TV News  

The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate by a quarter for the third consecutive time. Future outlook: Moderate reductions expected by 2025 Another quarterly outlook indicated only two rate cuts in 2025, with officials predicting government rates to reach 3.75 per cent-4 per cent by the end of that year. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman warned that inflation would remain …

Feds drop interest rates by another quarter-point easing burden for borrowers
Trending News
5 days, 4 hours ago

Feds drop interest rates by another quarter-point easing burden for borrowers

The Independent  

The latest headlines from our reporters across the US sent straight to your inbox each weekday Your briefing on the latest headlines from across the US Your briefing on the latest headlines from across the US SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. This year's Fed rate reductions have marked a …

US inflation rose for second straight month: What are the challenges for Trump now?
1 week, 5 days ago

US inflation rose for second straight month: What are the challenges for Trump now?

Firstpost  

President-elect Donald Trump has made tackling inflation and reducing the cost of living a cornerstone of his campaign. However, the recent uptick in inflation suggests the road ahead may be more complex than anticipated Inflation in the United States ticked up for the second consecutive month in November. The consumer price index, a key measure of inflation, rose to 2.7 …

Inflation heated up last month as consumer prices rose 2.7%, underscoring the slog ahead
1 week, 6 days ago

Inflation heated up last month as consumer prices rose 2.7%, underscoring the slog ahead

CNN  

CNN — Inflation heated back up again in November, but it likely wasn’t bad enough to keep the Federal Reserve from cutting rates next week. “We have some PTSD around egg prices from the pandemic and certainly lingering avian flu outbreaks; but those prices being up almost 40% year over year certainly is another thing people will look at in …

US consumer price increases accelerated last month with inflation pressures resilient
3 weeks, 5 days ago

US consumer price increases accelerated last month with inflation pressures resilient

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Consumer price increases accelerated last month, the latest sign that inflation’s steady decline over the past two years has stalled in recent months. According to the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, consumer prices rose 2.3% in October from a year earlier, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. Yet excluding the volatile food and energy categories, so-called “core” prices also …

UK inflation hits six-month high of 2.3% on high energy bills; BoE stresses on gradual rate cuts
1 month ago

UK inflation hits six-month high of 2.3% on high energy bills; BoE stresses on gradual rate cuts

Live Mint  

British inflation jumped by more than expected last month to rise back above the Bank of England's 2% target and underlying price growth gathered speed too, showing why the BoE is moving cautiously on interest rate cuts. Consumer prices rose by an annual 2.3% in October, pushed up almost entirely by an increase in regulated domestic energy tariffs, after a …

Inflation behaving more like a magician who tricks you again and again
1 month ago

Inflation behaving more like a magician who tricks you again and again

New Indian Express  

The main culprit is food inflation, which jumped to 10.87%, largely led by vegetable prices that rose by a staggering 42.18% in October. As Deputy governor Michael Patra noted, inflation will likely encounter a hump in the near months largely due to an adverse base and one-off shocks to prices of vegetables, edible oils and gram. The fact that inflation …

US Fed rate cut: First inflation uptick in 7 months does little for Powell-led FOMC’s December plans; here’s why
1 month, 1 week ago

US Fed rate cut: First inflation uptick in 7 months does little for Powell-led FOMC’s December plans; here’s why

Live Mint  

The US Federal Reserve will likely stay on course towards delivering another interest rate cut in its December policy meeting even after the latest inflation print revealed that consumer prices rose for the first time in seven months. Wall Street analysts say that October's inflation data "will change little for the US Fed'' when the Federal Open Market Committee will …

Liberal economist Larry Summers issues frightening warning about inflation to Americans following Trump's election
1 month, 1 week ago

Liberal economist Larry Summers issues frightening warning about inflation to Americans following Trump's election

Daily Mail  

Liberal economist Larry Summers warned that inflation is still not fixed and that a Trump administration could make things even worse. Liberal economist Larry Summers warned that inflation is still not fixed and that a Trump administration could make things even worse Summers is worried that President-elect Donald Trump may only make 'Bidenflation' worse The central bank made a 25 …

US inflation may have picked up in October after months of easing
Trending News
1 month, 1 week ago

US inflation may have picked up in October after months of easing

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Annual inflation may have risen in October for the first time in seven months, a sign that price increases might be leveling off after steadily cooling for more than two years. From September to October, core prices are expected to have risen 0.3% for a third straight month — a pace that, if sustained, would exceed the Federal …

Inflation hit a bump in October after slowing for six straight months
1 month, 1 week ago

Inflation hit a bump in October after slowing for six straight months

CNN  

CNN — The annual rate of inflation moved higher last month for the first time since March, as expected — but economists say the underlying trend remains favorable for another round of interest rate cuts. Consumer prices rose 0.2% last month and were up 2.6% from the year before, according to the latest Consumer Price Index data released Wednesday by …

U.S. inflation rose slightly last month after 2 years of steady cooling but remained low
1 month, 1 week ago

U.S. inflation rose slightly last month after 2 years of steady cooling but remained low

LA Times  

Inflation in the United States ticked up in October, driven by costlier rents, used cars and air fares, a sign that price increases might be leveling off after having slowed in September to their lowest pace since 2021. Consumer inflation, which peaked at 9.1% in 2022, has since fallen steadily, though overall prices are still about 20% higher than they …

Consumer inflation at 14-month high of 6.2%
Trending News
1 month, 1 week ago

Consumer inflation at 14-month high of 6.2%

Hindustan Times  

Retail inflation came in at 6.2% in October, the highest in 14 months, and outside the upper band of the Reserve Bank of India’s tolerance limit, primarily on account of higher food prices with potatoes, onions and tomatoes, stape vegetables all, driving the charge. The higher-than-expected number means that RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee is unlikely to cut rates in its …

Inflation gauge closely watched by the Fed falls to lowest level since early 2021
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Inflation gauge closely watched by the Fed falls to lowest level since early 2021

LA Times  

As a presidential race profoundly shaped by Americans’ frustration with high prices nears its end, the government said Thursday that an inflation gauge closely watched by the Federal Reserve has dropped to near pre-pandemic levels. Inflation peaked at 7.1% in June 2022 after the economy had accelerated out of the pandemic recession at a time of severe shortages of parts …

Inflation set to stay above 2% for next four years, says OBR
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Inflation set to stay above 2% for next four years, says OBR

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy UK inflation is set to …

U.S. inflation reaches a 3-year low as Federal Reserve prepares to cut interest rates
3 months, 1 week ago

U.S. inflation reaches a 3-year low as Federal Reserve prepares to cut interest rates

LA Times  

Wednesday’s report from the Labor Department showed that consumer prices rose 2.5% in August from a year earlier, down from 2.9% in July. The post-pandemic spike in U.S. inflation eased further last month as year-over-year price increases reached a three-year low, clearing the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week. Excluding volatile food and energy costs, …

US inflation reaches a 3-year low as Federal Reserve prepares to cut interest rates
3 months, 1 week ago

US inflation reaches a 3-year low as Federal Reserve prepares to cut interest rates

Politico  

For months, cooling inflation has provided gradual relief to America’s consumers, who were stung by the price surges that erupted three years ago, particularly for food, gas, rent and other necessities. A key reason for last month’s drop in overall inflation was the third decline in gas prices in the past four months: Average gas prices fell 0.6% from July …

Federal Reserve’s favored inflation gauge shows price pressures easing as rate cuts near
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Federal Reserve’s favored inflation gauge shows price pressures easing as rate cuts near

LA Times  

An inflation measure closely tracked by the Federal Reserve remained low last month, extending a trend of cooling price increases that clears the way for the Fed to start cutting its key interest rate next month for the first time in 4 1/2 years. In a high-profile speech last week, Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell attributed the inflation surge that …

Inflation likely stayed low last month as Federal Reserve edges closer to cutting rates
4 months, 1 week ago

Inflation likely stayed low last month as Federal Reserve edges closer to cutting rates

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. For months, cooling inflation has …

U.S. inflation slowed again in July, clearing the way for the Fed to begin cutting rates
4 months, 1 week ago

U.S. inflation slowed again in July, clearing the way for the Fed to begin cutting rates

LA Times  

A sale sign is displayed on a store clothes rack. Wednesday’s report from the Labor Department showed that consumer prices rose just 0.2% from June to July after dropping slightly the previous month for the first time in four years. At a news conference last month, Powell said that cooler inflation data this spring had strengthened the Fed’s confidence that …

Why headline inflation numbers are masking the confronting financial reality facing many households
4 months, 2 weeks ago

Why headline inflation numbers are masking the confronting financial reality facing many households

ABC  

There won't be protest marches in the streets when the Reserve Bank of Australia makes its next decision on interest rates. In the lead-up to Wednesday's inflation reading for the June quarter, there was speculation that if it came in hot, above 4 per cent, a rate rise would be on the cards. In the end, the "headline" annual rate …

PETER VAN ONSELEN: Jim Chalmers' excuses for Australia's inflation crisis spectacularly unravel - with two key stats easily blowing apart the garbage Treasurer is peddling
4 months, 3 weeks ago

PETER VAN ONSELEN: Jim Chalmers' excuses for Australia's inflation crisis spectacularly unravel - with two key stats easily blowing apart the garbage Treasurer is peddling

Daily Mail  

Treasurer Jim Chalmers wants you to believe that rising inflation isn't his fault. Under pressure: Jim Chalmers' excuses for Australia's 'sticky' inflation crisis are unravelling He wants you to focus on the fact inflation is lower now than when Labor came to power. In other words Australia's rising inflation - a quarterly adjusted figure of 3.8 per cent - is …

Inflation figures may give government a rate rise reprieve next week, but the path is not yet certain
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation figures may give government a rate rise reprieve next week, but the path is not yet certain

ABC  

Jim Chalmers faces a nervous wait over the next six days to the Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision even if today's inflation data look to have handed him a brief political 'get-out-of-jail' card. Underlying inflation, which is the Reserve Bank's main guiding measure as it removes outlier and one-off impacts that add volatility to the headline consumer price index, …

Fed’s preferred inflation gauge cools, adding to likelihood of a September rate cut
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Fed’s preferred inflation gauge cools, adding to likelihood of a September rate cut

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve’s favored inflation measure remained low last month, bolstering evidence that price pressures are steadily cooling and setting the stage for the Fed to begin cutting interest rates in September. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core inflation rose 0.2% from May to June, up from the previous month’s 0.1%. Lower interest rates and weaker …

Something is happening to the US economy only seen once before
4 months, 4 weeks ago

Something is happening to the US economy only seen once before

Daily Mail  

The US economy accelerated last quarter, with consumers and businesses increasing their spending despite the continual pressure of high interest rates. GDP rose at an annual rate of 2.8 percent for the quarter from April through June 2024 The GDP report showed that businesses are continuing to invest and household spending remains strong. Alongside the growth of the economy, inflation …

Powell says Federal Reserve is more confident inflation is slowing to its target
5 months, 1 week ago

Powell says Federal Reserve is more confident inflation is slowing to its target

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Chair Jerome Powell said Monday that the Federal Reserve is becoming more convinced that inflation is headed back to its 2% target and said the Fed would cut rates before the pace of price increases actually reached that point. “We’ve had three better readings, and if you average them, that’s a pretty good pace,” Powell said of inflation …

US inflation cools again, Fed may cut interest rates soon
5 months, 1 week ago

US inflation cools again, Fed may cut interest rates soon

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Inflation in the United States cooled in June for a third straight month, a sign that the worst price spike in four decades is steadily fading and may soon usher in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. “This confirms that there is very little chance of inflation re-accelerating and that it’s time for some rate cuts from …

US inflation cools again, potentially paving way for Fed to cut interest rates soon
5 months, 1 week ago

US inflation cools again, potentially paving way for Fed to cut interest rates soon

New Indian Express  

WASHINGTON: Inflation in the United States cooled in June for a third straight month, a sign that the worst price spike in four decades is steadily fading and may soon usher in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. In a better-than-expected report, consumer prices declined 0.1% from May to June after having remained flat the previous month, the Labor …

Powell stresses message that US job market is cooling, a possible signal of coming rate cut
5 months, 1 week ago

Powell stresses message that US job market is cooling, a possible signal of coming rate cut

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday reinforced a message that the Fed is paying growing attention to a slowing job market and not only to taming inflation, a shift that signals it’s likely to begin cutting interest rates soon. “We also have an employment mandate.” On Tuesday, when Powell addressed the Senate Banking Committee, he suggested that …

Fed’s Powell Testifies as Inflation, Hiring Cool
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Fed’s Powell Testifies as Inflation, Hiring Cool

Live Mint  

-- Jerome Powell is likely to tell lawmakers that Federal Reserve officials need further confirmation inflation is slowing before they’re in a position to cut interest rates, even with evidence building of softer growth and employment. Asia China may get some mildly positive news on prices, with data Wednesday expected to show consumer inflation ticked higher in June and factory-gate …

Federal Reserve minutes: Inflation is cooling, but more evidence is needed for rate cuts
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Federal Reserve minutes: Inflation is cooling, but more evidence is needed for rate cuts

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials at their most recent meeting welcomed signs that inflation is slowing and highlighted data suggesting that the job market and the broader economy could be cooling. Rate cuts by the Fed would likely lead, over time, to lower borrowing costs for mortgages, auto loans and credit cards as well as business borrowing, and could also …

Federal Reserve minutes: Inflation is cooling, but more evidence is needed for rate cuts
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Federal Reserve minutes: Inflation is cooling, but more evidence is needed for rate cuts

LA Times  

A May news conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell appears on a monitor on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange. Federal Reserve officials at their most recent meeting welcomed recent signs that inflation is slowing and highlighted data suggesting that the job market and the broader economy could be cooling. The minutes of the Fed’s June 11-12 …

U.S. job openings went up in May despite high interest rates
5 months, 3 weeks ago

U.S. job openings went up in May despite high interest rates

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — U.S. job openings rose slightly to 8.1 million in May despite the impact of higher interest rates intended to cool the labor market. AP AUDIO: US job openings rise to 8.1 million despite higher interest rates AP correspondent Rita Foley reports on job openings in May. The U.S. economy and job market have been remarkably resilient in the …

Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge shows price pressures easing further
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge shows price pressures easing further

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — A measure of prices that is closely tracked by the Federal Reserve suggests that inflation pressures in the U.S. economy are continuing to ease. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core inflation rose 0.1% from April to May, the smallest increase since the spring of 2020, when the pandemic erupted and shut down the economy. The presumptive …

Anxiety over persistent inflation helps drive down US consumer sentiment for third consecutive month
6 months, 1 week ago

Anxiety over persistent inflation helps drive down US consumer sentiment for third consecutive month

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — U.S. consumer sentiment fell in June for the third straight month as Americans took a dimmer view of their own finances and worried about persistent inflation. The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index, released Friday in a preliminary version, dropped to 65.6 this month from a final reading of 69.1 in May. AP AUDIO: Anxiety over persistent inflation …

US inflation eases to 3.3% in May, defying expectations for slight rise
6 months, 1 week ago

US inflation eases to 3.3% in May, defying expectations for slight rise

Hindustan Times  

Stock markets surged Wednesday after data showed US inflation slowed in May, raising hopes the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year. "The cool inflation numbers should boost investor confidence for a Fed rate cut in the second half of 2024," said Bret Kenwell, US investment analyst at trading platform eToro. With inflation slowing and other recent data …

Federal Reserve sees some progress on inflation but envisions just one rate cut this year
6 months, 1 week ago

Federal Reserve sees some progress on inflation but envisions just one rate cut this year

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials said Wednesday that inflation has fallen further toward their target level in recent months but signaled that they expect to cut their benchmark interest rate just once this year. The policymakers’ forecast for one rate cut was down from their previous projection of three cuts, because inflation, despite having cooled in the past two months, …

US inflation cooled in May in a sign that price pressures may be easing
6 months, 1 week ago

US inflation cooled in May in a sign that price pressures may be easing

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Inflation in the United States eased in May for a second straight month, a hopeful sign that an acceleration of prices that occurred early this year may have passed. Consumer prices excluding volatile food and energy costs — the closely watched “core” index — rose 0.2% from April to May, the government said Wednesday. Fed officials, who will …

Inflation eases in May, but major relief on interest rates not coming soon
6 months, 1 week ago

Inflation eases in May, but major relief on interest rates not coming soon

LA Times  

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell and his colleagues at the central bank have kept interest rates at a more than 20-year high to fight inflation. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates to the highest level in more than two decades to fight inflation, and on Wednesday policymakers said the fight wasn’t over. “But we don’t see ourselves as …

An inflation gauge closely tracked by Federal Reserve rises at slowest pace this year
6 months, 3 weeks ago

An inflation gauge closely tracked by Federal Reserve rises at slowest pace this year

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — A price gauge closely tracked by the Federal Reserve cooled slightly last month, a sign that inflation may be easing after running high in the first three months of this year. Overall inflation increased 0.3% from March to April, the same as in the previous month, and 2.7% from a year earlier, also unchanged from March’s figure. Friday’s …

An inflation gauge closely tracked by the Federal Reserve rises at slowest pace this year
6 months, 3 weeks ago

An inflation gauge closely tracked by the Federal Reserve rises at slowest pace this year

LA Times  

A price gauge closely tracked by the Federal Reserve cooled slightly last month, a sign that inflation may be easing after running high in the first three months of this year. Inflation fell sharply in the second half of last year before sticking well above the Fed’s 2% target in the first few months of 2024. Friday’s report also showed …

Inflation pressures lingering from pandemic are keeping Fed rate cuts on pause
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation pressures lingering from pandemic are keeping Fed rate cuts on pause

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Hopes for interest rate cuts this year by the Federal Reserve are steadily fading, with a stream of recent remarks by Fed officials underscoring their intention to keep borrowing costs high as long as needed to curb persistently elevated inflation. But with inflation remaining stubbornly above the Fed’s target level, Wall Street traders now expect just one rate …

Inflation rises slightly in April to 3.6pc but economists say that should ring 'alarm bells' for RBA
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Inflation rises slightly in April to 3.6pc but economists say that should ring 'alarm bells' for RBA

ABC  

In short: The annual rate of inflation ticked up to 3.6 per cent in April, from 3.5 per cent in March. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, an underlying measure of inflation — called "trimmed mean" inflation — also picked up again in April, from 4 per cent to 4.1 per cent. "It does not appear that the RBA …

US inflation eased last month in the first slowdown of 2024
7 months, 1 week ago

US inflation eased last month in the first slowdown of 2024

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Led by lower food and auto prices, inflation in the United States cooled slightly last month after three elevated readings, likely offering a tentative sigh of relief for officials at the Federal Reserve as well as President Joe Biden’s re-election team. Instead, he stressed that the Fed’s policymakers need “greater confidence” that inflation is falling to their 2% …

US consumer sentiment drops to 6-month low on inflation, unemployment fears
7 months, 1 week ago

US consumer sentiment drops to 6-month low on inflation, unemployment fears

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — U.S. consumer sentiment fell sharply in May to the lowest level in six months as Americans cited stubbornly high inflation and interest rates, as well as fears that unemployment could rise. AP AUDIO: US consumer sentiment drops to 6-month low on inflation, unemployment fears AP Washington correspondent Sagar Meghani reports American consumer sentiment has fallen amid high inflation, …

High inflation is pinching, 'consumers more discriminating with every dollar', McDonald's says
7 months, 3 weeks ago

High inflation is pinching, 'consumers more discriminating with every dollar', McDonald's says

Hindustan Times  

Inflation remains a pressing concern for some of America's most prominent corporations, with rising prices impacting consumers and bottom lines. McDonald’s CEO, Chris Kempczinski, highlighted the ongoing challenges faced by consumers during the company's recent earnings call, noting that elevated prices are prompting individuals to be more discerning with their spending. Other firms, including 3M and Newell Brands, have also …

Federal Reserve says interest rates will stay at two-decade high until inflation further cools
7 months, 3 weeks ago

Federal Reserve says interest rates will stay at two-decade high until inflation further cools

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve on Wednesday emphasized that inflation has remained stubbornly high in recent months and said it doesn’t plan to cut interest rates until it has “greater confidence” that price increases are slowing sustainably to its 2% target. Despite the recent setbacks, he said, “My expectation is that over the course of this year, we will see …

Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows price pressures stayed elevated last month
7 months, 3 weeks ago

Fed’s preferred inflation gauge shows price pressures stayed elevated last month

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — A measure of inflation closely tracked by the Federal Reserve remained uncomfortably high in March, likely reinforcing the Fed’s reluctance to cut interest rates anytime soon and underscoring a burden for President Joe Biden’s re-election bid. Friday’s inflation data showed that excluding volatile food and energy costs, “core” prices rose by an elevated 0.3% from February to March, …

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