Upper castes and minority support spur UDF to massive victory
The HinduThe stunning victory of the Congress-led United Democratic Front was largely unexpected, but seems to be a direct result of the anti-incumbency wave against the National Democratic Alliance government at the Centre and the unhappiness with the Left Democratic Front government in the State. A linked development was the Supreme Court verdict allowing women of all age groups entry into the Sabarimala temple and the State government’s decision to implement it. Table 1: Complete dissatisfaction with the Central government’s performance was four times higher than complete dissatisfaction with State government’s work However, the most important election issue was the Sabarimala verdict. Table 2: Prime Minister Preference of Kerala voters While close to half the respondents in the survey did mention the Sabarimala issue as a critical factor, the sentiment against the Supreme Court judgment did not favour the BJP but the UDF. Table 4: Satisfaction with LDF government’s handling of Sabarimala issue The huge victories of the UDF in the constituencies which had a marginal presence of the BJP and in the minority-dominated areas indicate this factor.