NFL Draft order 2024 projections: Three-team race for No. 1; Bengals fall
1 year ago

NFL Draft order 2024 projections: Three-team race for No. 1; Bengals fall

New York Times  

How did Week 12 of the NFL schedule shake up the possible 2024 NFL Draft order? The simulation then runs 100,000 times after each day of games to give us, in this case, our projected top-10 draft order, plus each team’s projected win total and playoff chances. But with Monday night’s comically awful 12-10 win in Minnesota, the Bears now have taken two of three, while the Fighting Tommy DeVitos — projected to land the No. Speaking of the Bears’ moderate surge, the NFC’s uninspiring wild-card race — and the 14-team playoff bracket — has a lot of bubble teams dreaming of some late-season magic. Mock’s latest projections have the Bengals at just 6.7 wins — they’re already sitting on five victories — and a 0.4 percent playoff chance.

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History of this topic

NFL Week 13: Steelers-Bengals and 4 more games with biggest impact on playoff odds
3 weeks, 5 days ago

NFL Week 13: Steelers-Bengals and 4 more games with biggest impact on playoff odds

New York Times  

Thanksgiving is here, and that means it’s time to really start diving into the NFL playoff picture. So, let’s get started: Team Current playoff odds Playoff odds with win Playoff odds with loss Dolphins 32.8% 49.2% 23.2% Packers 93.9% 96.5% 89.5% The Dolphins have the third-highest swing in playoffs odds going into Week 13 at 26%. GO DEEPER NFL best …

2025 NFL Draft order projections: Cowboys, Bears tumbling toward top-10 picks
1 month ago

2025 NFL Draft order projections: Cowboys, Bears tumbling toward top-10 picks

New York Times  

How did Week 11 shake up the potential 2025 NFL Draft order? The simulation then runs 100,000 times after each day of games to give us, in this case, our projected top 10 draft order, plus each team’s projected win total and playoff chances. And here’s the latest projected top 10 for April’s draft: A few thoughts on this week’s …

2024 NFL win total projections for all 32 teams: Experts react to our model
3 months, 3 weeks ago

2024 NFL win total projections for all 32 teams: Experts react to our model

New York Times  

The Detroit Lions have never won 10 or more games in consecutive seasons. — Brooks Kubena Win total: 10.0 Despite Dallas’ three consecutive 12-win seasons, the model’s 10-win projection is right on line with what most would expect from the Cowboys. — Zac Jackson GO DEEPER Browns restructure Watson's contract, release Huntley Win total: 8.2 The Saints entered last year …

NFL projection model: Ranking all 32 rosters ahead of the draft
8 months ago

NFL projection model: Ranking all 32 rosters ahead of the draft

New York Times  

The Athletic has live coverage of NFL Draft Rounds 4-7. GO DEEPER Dane Brugler's 7-round 2024 NFL mock draft: Predicting all 257 picks I’ve used my NFL Projection Model to rank each roster ahead of next week’s draft. Last year’s Super Bowl runner-up sits atop the list due to having a good quarterback, incredible offensive skill talent — though it …

2024 NFL Mock Draft: Could quarterbacks go 1-2-3-4 atop Round 1?
8 months, 2 weeks ago

2024 NFL Mock Draft: Could quarterbacks go 1-2-3-4 atop Round 1?

New York Times  

Let the trading begin. GO DEEPER NFL Draft 2024 ‘The Beast’ Guide: Dane Brugler’s scouting reports and player rankings Another new era in Chicago begins, this time with the best playmaker in the draft. Arizona Cardinals : Jer’Zhan Newton, DT, Illinois The Cardinals could trade one of these picks — remember, we now have them holding three first-round selections after …

Projecting each NFL playoff team’s odds to win the Super Bowl, with wild-card matchup analysis
11 months, 2 weeks ago

Projecting each NFL playoff team’s odds to win the Super Bowl, with wild-card matchup analysis

New York Times  

Don’t miss a single beat of the playoffs with Robert Mays and the gang on “The Athletic Football Show.” Listen for free wherever you get your podcasts. Are we destined for a San Francisco 49ers–Baltimore Ravens Super Bowl showdown, or will one of the teams playing on wild-card weekend pull off an upset en route to a shot at the …

NFL Week 18 playoff standings and projections: Which teams have best chance to make postseason?
11 months, 3 weeks ago

NFL Week 18 playoff standings and projections: Which teams have best chance to make postseason?

New York Times  

The Bills’ win over the Dolphins on Sunday Night Football clinched the AFC East title and finalized the AFC playoff matchups. You can find the full wild-card weekend schedule here. Clinched playoff berth NFC 1. Texans “The Football 100,” the definitive ranking of the NFL’s best 100 players of all time, is on sale now.

NFL playoff picture after Week 16: Ravens close in on AFC’s top seed; NFC up for grabs
11 months, 3 weeks ago

NFL playoff picture after Week 16: Ravens close in on AFC’s top seed; NFC up for grabs

New York Times  

Read the latest on the NFL playoff picture. Remaining schedule: vs. Miami Dolphins, vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds: To make playoffs: 100 percent | To earn bye: 69.5 percent | To win Super Bowl: 17.2 percent The Ravens’ defense vs. the 49ers on Christmas: ◻️ 5 INT ◻️ 9 QB hits ◻️ 4 sackshttps://t.co/Hh2mfOm6AZ pic.twitter.com/XF8vaN0tuT — The Athletic NFL December 26, …

NFL playoff picture after Week 15: Eagles fall to Seahawks, lose control over NFC’s top seed
1 year ago

NFL playoff picture after Week 15: Eagles fall to Seahawks, lose control over NFC’s top seed

New York Times  

Read the latest on the NFL playoff picture. Remaining schedule: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, vs. Carolina Panthers, at Tennessee Titans Odds: To make playoffs: 72.6 percent | To earn bye: 0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 2 percent Cleveland Browns Quarterback Joe Flacco, who turns 39 next month, has eclipsed 300 yards in back-to-back games, and he’s thrown for …

NFL playoff picture after Week 13: Jaguars lose Trevor Lawrence, control of AFC top seed
1 year ago

NFL playoff picture after Week 13: Jaguars lose Trevor Lawrence, control of AFC top seed

New York Times  

Read the latest on the NFL playoff picture. Remaining schedule: vs. Rams, at Jaguars, at 49ers, vs. Dolphins, vs. Steelers Odds: To make playoffs: 98.6 percent | To earn bye: 23.5 percent | To win Super Bowl: 11.6 percent GO DEEPER NFL Power Rankings Week 14: 49ers make a statement, plus worst-case scenarios The Chiefs are 2-3 over their last …

NFL second-half predictions for all 32 teams: Keep an eye on Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray
1 year, 1 month ago

NFL second-half predictions for all 32 teams: Keep an eye on Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray

New York Times  

The first nine weeks of the 2023 NFL season have come and gone and only one thing is for sure: No one knows with certainty what will happen next. — Adam Jahns GO DEEPER Bears predictions at NFL midseason: Matt Eberflus stays; no Justin Fields decision until May Tee Higgins will outgain Ja’Marr Chase the rest of the way: The …

College Football Playoff projections after Week 8: Michigan is now the favorite
1 year, 1 month ago

College Football Playoff projections after Week 8: Michigan is now the favorite

New York Times  

Read The Athletic’s latest College Football Playoff projections. Here’s how the model works: I have developed a season simulator that produces odds for winning the national title, making the College Football Playoff, and winning conference and division titles. Projected national title and College Football Playoff chances Biggest risers in national title chances Michigan: +5.8% Oklahoma: +5.3% Oregon: +2% Oklahoma’s big …

NFL 2023 over/under win totals: Best bets and picks for all 32 teams
1 year, 7 months ago

NFL 2023 over/under win totals: Best bets and picks for all 32 teams

New York Times  

It’s always entertaining to look back at all the hot stories of the offseason, such as the outrage at how no team was interested in pursuing Lamar Jackson. But I don’t get why they reached for running back Jahmyr Gibbs in the first round — or disbanded last season’s very successful tandem of Jamaal Williams and D’Andre Swift, for that …

NFL Mock Draft 2023: Panthers get QB after trade with Bears, Lamar Jackson gets new team
1 year, 9 months ago

NFL Mock Draft 2023: Panthers get QB after trade with Bears, Lamar Jackson gets new team

New York Times  

The Bears and Panthers agreed to a blockbuster deal on Friday afternoon, with Chicago sending the No. In my opinion, Alabama’s Bryce Young is still the best pure quarterback in this draft, but Frank Reich said it himself at the combine: Young’s size “is a concern.” Enough to pass on him? 1 pick to Panthers: NFL Draft roundtable Both Florida’s …

Potential expanded NFL playoffs impact: Jets, Commanders, Saints back in mix
1 year, 11 months ago

Potential expanded NFL playoffs impact: Jets, Commanders, Saints back in mix

New York Times  

The NFL is still trying to figure out how to proceed after Damar Hamlin’s on-field cardiac arrest resulted in the cancellation of Monday night’s Bills-Bengals game, a matchup between two AFC heavyweights that carries heavy playoff implications. Current playoff teams Entering Week 18, there are 11 NFL teams that have already clinched playoff berths under the seven-team postseason format. That …

NFL Draft order 2023 update: Which teams have the resources to trade up?
2 years, 1 month ago

NFL Draft order 2023 update: Which teams have the resources to trade up?

New York Times  

There isn’t a whole lot currently separating the final NFL wild-card spots and a top-10 draft pick, but the bottom five could be starting to settle. We’ve got details on the top 10 below plus where each team is likeliest to land in Round 1 and their projected odds of securing the No. That trade also included a third-round selection …

NHL Stanley Cup playoff chances and projected standings
3 years, 7 months ago

NHL Stanley Cup playoff chances and projected standings

New York Times  

Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team’s projected record, its probability of making the playoffs, and its odds of advancing to each subsequent round, including winning the Stanley Cup. The projections are based on 50,000 simulations of the remainder of the season, which factors in each team’s projected strength, current health, and their …

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