China targets 'proactive' fiscal policy
China DailyChina, with more forceful countercyclical adjustments in mind, will steer toward "very proactive" fiscal policy this year — including increasing the deficit-to-GDP ratio and issuing larger-scale government bonds, and will "front-load" its fiscal firepower to better underpin a positive economic growth trajectory, Vice-Minister of Finance Liao Min said on Friday. In particular, China's current real interest rate on government debt is notably lower than the country's actual economic growth rate, further indicating the country's sizable debt tolerance capacity and scope for deficit expansion, Liao added. The scale of ultralong special treasury bonds is expected to be expanded from 1 trillion yuan in 2024 to around 1.5 to 2 trillion yuan this year, to better support the country's large-scale equipment upgrades and consumer goods trade-in initiatives, said Wang Qing, chief macroeconomic analyst at Golden Credit Rating International. The new issuance of local government special-purpose bonds this year is expected to expand from 3.9 trillion yuan in 2024 to around 7 trillion yuan, including a 2.8 trillion yuan debt swap quota, Wang said.