RBI not ‘behind the curve’ in hiking rate; never wise to overreact to shocks: Ashima Goyal
2 years, 7 months ago

RBI not ‘behind the curve’ in hiking rate; never wise to overreact to shocks: Ashima Goyal

The Hindu  

The Reserve Bank of India is not “behind the curve” in hiking interest rate to tackle rising inflation, Monetary Policy Committee member Ashima Goyal said on Sunday and asserted that it is never wise to overreact to shocks when the economic recovery is shaky post the coronavirus pandemic. While acknowledging that India is “especially vulnerable” to the combination of food and crude oil inflation unleashed by the Russia-Ukraine war, Ms. Goyal, also an eminent economist, said rate hikes should be aligned with the economic recovery. While noting that Inflation has just exceeded RBI’s tolerance band due to the protracted Ukraine-Russia war, Ms. Goyal said Indian demand and wages are ‘soft’. Noting that markets overreact to fears and had already priced in large rate hikes, Ms. Goyal said, “MPC action at that juncture may have led to sharp rate rises and excess volatility in markets.” India is “especially vulnerable to the combination of food and crude oil inflation that the war has unleashed,” she noted.

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