Rishi Sunak would lose seat and Labour set for 314-seat majority, poll finds
2 years, 3 months ago

Rishi Sunak would lose seat and Labour set for 314-seat majority, poll finds

The Independent  

Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour party is on course to win a 314-seat majority at the next general election, according to a shock new polling and seat forecasting. The economic fall-out from Liz Truss’s disastrous mini-Budget has boosted Labour poll leads since then, with polling experts saying a slight “Sunak bounce” seen in November had largely flatlined. “Even the most optimistic Labour supporter would not have foreseen what was to come, such was the subsequent Conservative collapse, and therefore this latest MRP model reflects the position now, of two parties experiencing widely differing electoral fortunes,” said Mr Hopkins. Many seats going to Labour in this model, including a few that could be deemed ‘red wall’, still indicate a 40% or higher chance of remaining Conservative.” The Savanta expert said that while that would have little impact on the overall election result, it show that if Mr Sunak can keep narrowing that Labour lead “the actual results come 2024 could look very different to this nowcast model”. Because of course, they’d lived through the run-up to the 1992 election when Neil Kinnock was the leader and people thought Labour would win because the economy was having a big recession.” Mr Balls said there was a “temptation” to rush out a complete economic plan far in advance of the election.

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