Reading mutual fund numbers right
How often do you see a sharp downfall or uptrend in the monthly net-inflows of mutual fund schemes? “This is a usual quarter-end phenomena where the industry witnesses temporary redemptions from liquid funds,” said NS Venkatesh, chief executive, Association of Mutual Funds in India. “A month-on-month fall or rise reflects a change in investor sentiment or change in seasonal factors such as tax saving investments that come towards the end of the financial year,” said Jason Monteiro, VP - mutual funds research, Prabhudas Lilladher. However, from November 2016 to October 2018, mutual funds inflows remained strong peaking to as much as ₹20,000 crore in August 2017 and averaging around ₹10,000 crore over the same period. “Analysing y-o-y change in inflows can be highly volatile as it amplifies several variables like sentiment, increase or decrease in household savings, investor’s perception of risk, penetration of mutual funds etc.
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“I wouldn’t be surprised if we start seeing positive FII inflows in March”