‘The worst is yet to come’: IMF issues stark recession warning
2 years, 2 months ago

‘The worst is yet to come’: IMF issues stark recession warning

CNN  

London CNN Business — The International Monetary Fund has once again downgraded its forecast for the global economy with a sharp warning: “The worst is yet to come, and for many people 2023 will feel like a recession.” The agency said Tuesday that it expects global growth to slump to 2.7% next year, with a 25% probability it could fall below 2%. “More than a third of the global economy will contract this year or next, while the three largest economies — the United States, the European Union, and China — will continue to stall,” said Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF’s chief economist. The IMF believes that global inflation will peak late this year, but will “remain elevated for longer than previously expected,” even as central banks work aggressively to bring it under control. “Given the size of China’s economy and its importance for global supply chains, this will weigh heavily on global trade and activity,” the IMF said.

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History of this topic

China's Economic Stability: A Steady Beacon Amid Global Uncertainty
1 month, 3 weeks ago

China's Economic Stability: A Steady Beacon Amid Global Uncertainty

China Daily  

China's economy remains a stabilizing force in the global economy, despite the challenges of global geopolitical rivalries and rising government debt. The country's structural reforms and high-quality development strategies have contributed to its stability and growth. China's commitment to high-quality development and its willingness to engage in global trade and cooperation remain crucial for maintaining its economic prosperity and stability …

IMF Chief: Shift to Domestic Consumption-Led Growth for China
Trending News
1 month, 4 weeks ago

IMF Chief: Shift to Domestic Consumption-Led Growth for China

China Daily  

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva emphasizes the importance of boosting domestic consumption in China to achieve sustainable growth. She believes that China's reliance on exports has led to a decline in consumer confidence, which is a major obstacle to growth. The IMF projects China's GDP to grow by 4.8 percent in 2024 and 4.5 percent in 2025, down from its …

IMF Chief: Shift to Domestic Consumption-Led Growth for China to Propel Growth
1 month, 4 weeks ago

IMF Chief: Shift to Domestic Consumption-Led Growth for China to Propel Growth

China Daily  

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva emphasizes the importance of boosting domestic consumption in China to achieve sustainable growth. She believes that China's reliance on exports has led to a slowdown in consumer confidence, which is hindering economic activity. Georgieva suggests that China focus on stimulating domestic consumption through measures such as social security and pension reforms, which would give people …

IMF Warns of Global Economic Headwinds, Downgrading Growth Projections
2 months ago

IMF Warns of Global Economic Headwinds, Downgrading Growth Projections

China Daily  

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded its global growth projections for 2024, with a revised forecast of 3.2 percent for this year and 4.5 percent for 2025. The IMF warns about the global economic outlook, highlighting geopolitical risks, trade protectionism, and challenges in the real estate sector.

US Economy Booms, Outperforming Global Leaders
2 months ago

US Economy Booms, Outperforming Global Leaders

Live Mint  

The U.S. economy is leading the world in terms of productivity and wages, with a surge in investment boosting output and wages. The IMF projects U.S. gross domestic product to expand 2.5% in the fourth quarter, higher than the previous July forecast, while global output is projected to grow 3.3%. The U.S. is also expected to grow faster than all …

IMF's economic view: A brighter outlook for US but still-tepid global growth
2 months ago

IMF's economic view: A brighter outlook for US but still-tepid global growth

The Independent  

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ …

IMF praises China for its resilient growth
4 months, 2 weeks ago

IMF praises China for its resilient growth

China Daily  

The International Monetary Fund welcomes China's "resilient economic growth and the post-pandemic recovery in private consumption", according to a new report. Driven by China's strong economic data from the first quarter, the IMF increased its forecast for the nation's annual economic growth to 5 percent this year, an upward revision of 0.4 percentage points compared with the projections released in …

Responsive economic policies have mitigated risks and shock waves
5 months ago

Responsive economic policies have mitigated risks and shock waves

China Daily  

The skyline of Beijing. The IMF, as well as other international institutions such as Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and UBS, all raised their forecast for China's economic growth this year, mainly because of the overall performance of the Chinese economy in the first half of the year and the effectiveness it has displayed in preventing and resolving risks. Since March, …

China's economic performance resilient amid challenges
5 months ago

China's economic performance resilient amid challenges

China Daily  

The skyline of Beijing. China's economy demonstrated a stable expansion in the first half of 2024, achieving a year-on-year GDP growth of 5 percent, equivalent to 61.68 trillion yuan, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday. Key economic indicators GDP growth The first half of 2024 saw China's GDP grow by 5 percent year-on-year. China's …

Strong consumption, exports spur IMF's brighter outlook for nation
5 months ago

Strong consumption, exports spur IMF's brighter outlook for nation

China Daily  

The Inner Street Culture Creative Park is bustling with activity during the night market in Qingxiu district, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region, on April 16, 2024. Jean-Marc Natal, deputy chief of the World Economic Studies Division at IMF's Research Department, said at the briefing that one of the reasons for the upward revision "is that we expect that the new …

China's economic performance resilient amid challenges
5 months ago

China's economic performance resilient amid challenges

China Daily  

The skyline of Beijing. China's economy demonstrated a stable expansion in the first half of 2024, achieving a year-on-year GDP growth of 5 percent, equivalent to 61.68 trillion yuan, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Monday. Key economic indicators GDP growth The first half of 2024 saw China's GDP grow by 5 percent year-on-year. China's …

IMF boosts China's growth outlook to 5 percent for year
5 months, 1 week ago

IMF boosts China's growth outlook to 5 percent for year

China Daily  

Workers assemble doors for new energy vehicles at the Dayun New Energy Vehicle Production Base in Yuncheng, Shanxi province, on Jan 25, 2024. The International Monetary Fund raised its forecasts for China's economic growth to 5 percent this year and 4.5 percent next year, according to its July 2024 World Economic Outlook Update released on Tuesday. Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF's …

'Risk of major financial fallout' as IMF sounds the alarm on persistent global inflation
5 months, 1 week ago

'Risk of major financial fallout' as IMF sounds the alarm on persistent global inflation

ABC  

The message seems to have been lost in all the noise. The biggest risk is that higher American interest rates "disrupt capital flows and impede planned monetary policy easing, which could adversely impact growth". Even worse, "persistently high interest rates could raise borrowing costs further and affect financial stability if fiscal improvements do not offset higher real rates amid lower …

Interest rate cuts under threat from ‘stubbornly high inflation’
5 months, 1 week ago

Interest rate cuts under threat from ‘stubbornly high inflation’

The Telegraph  

Interest rate cuts by the Bank of England and Federal Reserve are at risk of being derailed by stubbornly high inflation, the International Monetary Fund has warned. Pierre Olivier Gourinchas, the IMF’s chief economist, warned that underlying inflation remained “persistent”, with global growth likely to suffer if the US keeps borrowing costs at their highest level since 2001. Speaking at …

How the US mopped up a third of global capital flows since Covid
6 months, 1 week ago

How the US mopped up a third of global capital flows since Covid

Live Mint  

In the face of calls around the world to diversify out of the dollar in recent years, the US has nabbed almost one-third of all the investment that flowed across borders since Covid struck. An International Monetary Fund analysis sent by request to Bloomberg News shows that the share of global flows has climbed — not fallen — since a …

IMF predicts India’s GDP growth to be 7% in 2024, 6.5% in 2025 as pent-up demand fades
6 months, 2 weeks ago

IMF predicts India’s GDP growth to be 7% in 2024, 6.5% in 2025 as pent-up demand fades

Firstpost  

“In India, the outlook is for GDP growth to moderate from 8.2 per cent in 2023 to 7 per cent in 2024 and 6.5 per cent in 2025, because pent-up demand accumulated during the pandemic has been exhausted” the IMF said in the World Economic Outlook The IMF on Tuesday said India's GDP would grow 7% in 2024-25. India’s GDP …

Policy and resilience raise confidence in stable economic growth this year
6 months, 3 weeks ago

Policy and resilience raise confidence in stable economic growth this year

China Daily  

Photo shows a view of Nansha Port in Guangzhou, South China's Guangdong province. The International Monetary Fund has raised its forecast for China's economic growth for 2024 to 5.0 percent from the previous 4.6 percent. The IMF also raised its forecast for China's economic growth to 4.5 percent for next year, up 0.4 percentage points compared with its April projection. …

IMF upgrades its forecast for China’s economy, but says reforms are needed to support growth
6 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF upgrades its forecast for China’s economy, but says reforms are needed to support growth

Associated Press  

The International Monetary Fund has upgraded its forecast for China’s economy, while warning that consumer-friendly reforms are needed to sustain strong, high-quality growth. The IMF’s report, issued late Tuesday, said the world’s second-largest economy will likely expand at a 5% annual rate this year, based on its growth in the first quarter and recent moves to support the property sector. …

Data show general upward growth trend holds firm
8 months ago

Data show general upward growth trend holds firm

China Daily  

The skyline of Beijing. A comprehensive analysis of the first quarter data shows that more indicators reflect the general trend of high-quality economic development. For example, investment in high-tech industries increased by 11.4 percent year-on-year, 2 percentage points higher than that from January to February, and 6.9 percentage points higher than all investment; the added value of industries such as …

The real reason behind fluctuations in global foreign exchange market
8 months ago

The real reason behind fluctuations in global foreign exchange market

China Daily  

In recent days, the currencies of emerging market countries have caught everyone's attention because of a weak streak, with the Indonesian rupiah falling to a four-year low, the Malaysian ringgit tumbling to its lowest exchange rate since 1998, and the Indian rupee dropping to a record low. According to the IMF, if the US Federal Reserve keeps its benchmark interest …

Sobering assessment: On the IMF forecast, World Bank report
8 months ago

Sobering assessment: On the IMF forecast, World Bank report

The Hindu  

The global economy has avoided the spectre of a debilitating recession, with the IMF last week raising its forecast for worldwide aggregate growth in 2024 to 3.2%, from the 2.9% it had projected in October. The IMF has underlined the fact that the global economy has, with surprising resilience, ridden out several adverse shocks as well as ‘significant central bank …

Debt, fiscal challenges facing low-income countries worry IMF
8 months ago

Debt, fiscal challenges facing low-income countries worry IMF

The Hindu  

Shareholders of the International Monetary Fund agreed on the importance of addressing challenges faced by low-income countries, many of which are facing unsustainable debt burdens, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on April 19. Impact of high debt levels on low-income countries Ms. Georgieva, in a meeting of the Global Sovereign Debt Roundtable hosted by the IMF and the World …

IMF’s Georgieva says there’s ‘plenty to worry about’ despite recovery for many economies
8 months ago

IMF’s Georgieva says there’s ‘plenty to worry about’ despite recovery for many economies

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The head of the International Monetary Fund said Thursday that the world economy has proven surprisingly resilient in the face of higher interest rates and the shock of war in Ukraine and Gaza, but “there is plenty to worry about,’' including stubborn inflation and rising levels of government debt. In the United States, she said, “the flipside’’ of …

IMF forecasts India’s economy to grow 6.8% this fiscal year
8 months, 1 week ago

IMF forecasts India’s economy to grow 6.8% this fiscal year

The Hindu  

The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday raised its growth projection for India’s GDP in the current fiscal year 2024/25 to 6.8%, and forecast a 6.5% expansion next year. The global economy had remained “remarkably resilient” with steady growth and inflation returning to target and had “defied expectations of stagflation and global recession” in the wake of the post-pandemic supply disruptions, …

US economy to outpace G7 peers with double GDP growth rate this year, claims IMF
8 months, 1 week ago

US economy to outpace G7 peers with double GDP growth rate this year, claims IMF

Hindustan Times  

US has a 2x rate of GDP growth relative to any other G7 country this year, as per International Monetary Fund projections, while its economy gains the upper hand globally, creating wild market swings by itself. International Monetary Fund Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas holds the IMF's World Economic Outlook during a press briefing at the IMF-World Bank Group spring meetings …

IMF: Outlook for world economy is brighter, though still modest by historical standards
8 months, 1 week ago

IMF: Outlook for world economy is brighter, though still modest by historical standards

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund has upgraded its outlook for the global economy this year, saying the world appears headed for a “soft landing” — reining in inflation without much economic pain and producing steady if modest growth. In its latest outlook, the IMF, a 190-country lending organization, notes that the global expansion is being powered by unexpectedly strong …

IMF head projects slightly stronger global growth in 2024 and warns of potential long-term pitfalls
8 months, 1 week ago

IMF head projects slightly stronger global growth in 2024 and warns of potential long-term pitfalls

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Strong economic activity in the United States and emerging markets is projected to help drive global growth by about 3% this year, the International Monetary Fund’s chief said Thursday, below the annual historic average and a warning sign about potential lackluster performances through the 2020s. “Without a course correction, we are indeed heading for ‘the Tepid Twenties’ -– …

Debt, trade barriers and uncertainty will drag on Asian economies in 2024, World Bank report says
8 months, 3 weeks ago

Debt, trade barriers and uncertainty will drag on Asian economies in 2024, World Bank report says

Associated Press  

BANGKOK — Asian economies are not doing as well as they could and growth in the region is forecast to slow to 4.5% this year from 5.1% in 2023, the World Bank said in a report released Monday. Debt, trade barriers and policy uncertainties are dulling the region’s economic dynamism and governments need to do more to address long-term problems …

IMF head: China's high-quality growth depends on pro-market reforms
9 months ago

IMF head: China's high-quality growth depends on pro-market reforms

China Daily  

International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva delivers a speech at China Development Forum 2024 on March 24. "China is determined to choose transition from high rates to high quality of growth, as its government recognizes that high-quality development ultimately depends on reforms", International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said at China Development Forum 2024 in Beijing on March …

China says economy got a strong start in 2024, sets sights on latest technology, upgrading factories
9 months, 2 weeks ago

China says economy got a strong start in 2024, sets sights on latest technology, upgrading factories

Associated Press  

BEIJING — China has plenty of room to maneuver to attain its annual target for robust economic growth of about 5% after a strong start for the year, top economic officials said Wednesday, though they acknowledged it’s a challenge. It’s hard to fully meet needs using existing funding channels and there’s an urgent need to increase support,” he said at …

China seen as largest engine for world economic growth
10 months ago

China seen as largest engine for world economic growth

China Daily  

Photo shows a view of Nansha Port in Guangzhou, South China's Guangdong province. China's GDP exceeded 126 trillion yuan in 2023, up 5.2 percent over the previous year, making it the largest engine of global growth. As China's growth is likely to exceed expectations, emerging Asian economies as a whole are projected by the IMF to grow by 5.2 percent …

China to remain top contributor to global growth in 2024: IMF
10 months, 3 weeks ago

China to remain top contributor to global growth in 2024: IMF

China Daily  

Despite a moderate slowdown, China's economy will remain the largest contributor to global growth in 2024, said Steven Barnett, senior resident representative of the International Monetary Fund in China. "China would still be the single-largest contributor to contribute over one-quarter of global growth this year," Barnett said in an exclusive interview with China Daily, adding that the over-a-quarter contribution is …

China to remain top contributor to global growth in 2024: IMF
10 months, 3 weeks ago

China to remain top contributor to global growth in 2024: IMF

China Daily  

Despite a moderate slowdown, China's economy will remain the largest contributor to global growth in 2024, said Steven Barnett, senior resident representative of the International Monetary Fund in China. "China would still be the single-largest contributor to contribute over one-quarter of global growth this year," Barnett said in an exclusive interview with China Daily, adding that the over-a-quarter contribution is …

IMF: China to stay big contributor to growth
10 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF: China to stay big contributor to growth

China Daily  

Despite a moderate slowdown, China's economy will still contribute more than a quarter of global economic growth this year and remain the largest contributor to worldwide growth, said a senior official at the International Monetary Fund. The country's real estate sector is undergoing a needed adjustment to address oversupply, which can ultimately help stabilize economic growth, with more supportive policy …

Report: US economy grew faster than any other G7 country last year
10 months, 3 weeks ago

Report: US economy grew faster than any other G7 country last year

Daily Mail  

America's economy is growing at a faster pace than any other G7 country in part thanks to a post-pandemic productivity boom, experts say. The IMF World Economic Outlook report estimates the US economy grew by 2.5 percent in 2023 - and is set for a similar 2.1 percent growth in 2024. Figures released today show US worker productivity grew at …

IMF projects Indian economy to grow at 6.7 per cent in FY24
10 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF projects Indian economy to grow at 6.7 per cent in FY24

India Today  

The International Monetary Fund has changed its growth forecast for India, expecting the economy to expand by 6.7 per cent in the fiscal year 2024, up from the previous estimate of 6.3 per cent. In addition to the upgraded forecast for India, the IMF projects a steady growth rate of 6.5 per cent for the subsequent fiscal years, FY25 and …

IMF raises growth forecast for global economy
10 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF raises growth forecast for global economy

Firstpost  

The two biggest economies in the world, China and the United States, have improved economic prospects, according to the International Monetary Fund, which raised its prediction for global growth on Tuesday. Although a “soft landing” appeared to be imminent, according to the IMF’s most recent World Economic Outlook, head economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas noted that global trade and overall GDP were …

IMF sketches a brighter view of global economy, upgrading growth forecast and seeing lower inflation
10 months, 3 weeks ago

IMF sketches a brighter view of global economy, upgrading growth forecast and seeing lower inflation

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — The International Monetary Fund has upgraded its outlook for the world economy this year, envisioning resilient growth led by the United States and a slower pace of inflation. But Gourinchas said that for now, the Red Sea disruptions don’t seem to be “a major source of reigniting supply side inflation,” which arose from far more severe shipping backlogs …

Global economy will slow for a third straight year in 2024, World Bank predicts
11 months, 2 weeks ago

Global economy will slow for a third straight year in 2024, World Bank predicts

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Hobbled by high interest rates, persistent inflation, slumping trade and a diminished China, the global economy will slow for a third consecutive year in 2024. “Near-term growth will remain weak, leaving many developing countries — especially the poorest — stuck in a trap: with paralyzing levels of debt and tenuous access to food for nearly one out of …

The global economy in 2024: Key clues to watch out for
11 months, 3 weeks ago

The global economy in 2024: Key clues to watch out for

Al Jazeera  

US interest rates, oil prices and the Chinese economy will determine the global economy next year. “And once an economic slowdown gets under way, it risks feeding on itself,” he said, adding that while falling inflation will be an important factor in determining monetary policy, “weakening growth will almost certainly determine when the Fed will pivot.” Federal funds futures are …

After bumpy recovery, China’s economy faces serious headwinds in 2024
1 year ago

After bumpy recovery, China’s economy faces serious headwinds in 2024

Al Jazeera  

The world’s second-largest economy is heading into 2024 on a precarious footing amid deep-seated structural issues. China’s reopening after the lifting of its harsh “zero-COVID” restrictions in January coincided with challenging economic conditions overseas, as soaring inflation made consumers less inclined to buy Chinese goods. “The all too often near-anarchic environment of the past two decades has led to such …

The world economy will slow next year because of inflation, high rates and war, OECD says
1 year ago

The world economy will slow next year because of inflation, high rates and war, OECD says

LA Times  

A crane lifts a shipping container at an automated container port in Tianjin, China. The global economy, which has proved surprisingly resilient this year, is expected to falter next year under the strain of wars, still-elevated inflation and continued high interest rates. China’s “consumption growth will likely remain subdued due to increased precautionary savings, gloomier prospects for employment creation and …

From deflation to high debt burden: Here’s 5 things happening in Chinese economy
1 year, 1 month ago

From deflation to high debt burden: Here’s 5 things happening in Chinese economy

Live Mint  

China is facing the challenges of an economic deceleration and a substantial debt crisis within its real estate industry. “Combating persistent disinflation amid weak demand remains a challenge for Chinese policymakers,” Bruce Pang, chief economist for Greater China at Jones Lang LaSalle Ltd told Bloomberg. Better growth forecasts- Despite a slowdown, the future doesn't look very bleak for the Chinese …

Asian economies under cosh as China's property woes bite: IMF
1 year, 2 months ago

Asian economies under cosh as China's property woes bite: IMF

Firstpost  

Meanwhile, the strength of the U.S. economy has offered less support to Asia than in the past because it has been focused on the service sector, which does not fuel demand for exports, the Fund said in a blog on the region’s outlook. China’s weak recovery and the risk of a more protracted property crisis could further dent Asia’s economic …

IMF sees economic growth in the Mideast improving next year. But the Israel-Hamas war poses risks
1 year, 2 months ago

IMF sees economic growth in the Mideast improving next year. But the Israel-Hamas war poses risks

Associated Press  

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — Middle East economies are gradually recovering as external shocks from the war in Ukraine and global inflation fade, the International Monetary Fund said Thursday, but the escalating war between Israel and the Hamas militant group could dampen the outlook. The IMF expects economic growth to slow to 2% this year in the Middle East and …

IMF projects faster economic growth for Pakistan; sets growth rate at 2.5 per cent for 2023
1 year, 2 months ago

IMF projects faster economic growth for Pakistan; sets growth rate at 2.5 per cent for 2023

Firstpost  

The International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook for October, released on Tuesday, forecasts a growth of 2.5 per cent for the country’s economy in the current year, doubling to 5 per cent in the next fiscal year The IMF expects Pakistan’s economy to perform better in the current and next fiscal years compared to other multilateral agencies’ projections despite the …

IMF raises India’s growth forecast to 6.3% for 2023-24, cites strong consumption
1 year, 2 months ago

IMF raises India’s growth forecast to 6.3% for 2023-24, cites strong consumption

India TV News  

The International Monetary Fund has revised its GDP growth projection for India for the financial year 2023-24 to 6.3%, marking the second upward revision since April. Inflation and global growth outlook The IMF estimated India's consumer inflation for the fiscal year at 5.5%, slightly above the Reserve Bank of India's forecast of 5.4%. Globally, the IMF predicts a slowdown in …

IMF raises India growth forecast for FY24 to 6.3%
1 year, 2 months ago

IMF raises India growth forecast for FY24 to 6.3%

Live Mint  

The International Monetary Fund lifted its 2023-24 growth projection for India to 6.3% from its July estimate of 6.1%, citing “stronger-than-expected consumption” during the June quarter. The five emerging market economies—Brazil, China, India, Indonesia and Russia—have contributed about 0.9% percentage points to the decline in medium-term global growth prospects between 2008 and 2023, the IMF report added. In its global …

Amid Israel-Hamas conflict, IMF outlook worsens for a 'limping' world economy
1 year, 2 months ago

Amid Israel-Hamas conflict, IMF outlook worsens for a 'limping' world economy

Hindustan Times  

The world economy has lost momentum from the impact of higher interest rates, the invasion of Ukraine and widening geopolitical rifts, and it now faces new uncertainty from the war between Israel and Hamas militants, International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday. “The global economy is limping along, not sprinting," IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said at a news conference during the …

IMF outlook worsens for a ‘limping’ world economy. Mideast war poses new uncertainty
1 year, 2 months ago

IMF outlook worsens for a ‘limping’ world economy. Mideast war poses new uncertainty

Associated Press  

The world economy has lost momentum from the impact of higher interest rates, the invasion of Ukraine and widening geopolitical rifts, and it now faces new uncertainty from the war between Israel and Hamas militants, International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday. “The global economy is limping along, not sprinting,” IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said at a news conference during the …

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