Articles for Our Model

Bloomberg Open Interest 11/21/2024
1 month ago

Bloomberg Open Interest 11/21/2024

Bloomberg  

00:00 And it is up after disappointing on a sales forecast. You have the people of BlackRock promoting a couple of ETF space as one and tech is another, which I think you know that's thematic content considering NVIDIA was last night down the Nasdaq. I don't think we're completely out of the woods yet, though, you know, and I …

China Ukraine Russia Market Tesla Trump Google
Donald Trump or Kamala Harris? Why the Daily Mail's election model is your best chance of predicting who will win
2 months, 4 weeks ago

Donald Trump or Kamala Harris? Why the Daily Mail's election model is your best chance of predicting who will win

Daily Mail  

We are headed for the closest election in decades. You can follow along with the best election model available The long-term part uses presidential election data from the past 76 years to estimate the vote shares. Jill Stein's votes arguably cost Hillary Clinton the 2016 election, amounting to more than Trump’s winning margin in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. We use …

Trump Election Model Harris Jill Stein Vote Polls
NCAA Tournament upset picks: Oregon, McNeese look to bust brackets in Midwest Region
9 months ago

NCAA Tournament upset picks: Oregon, McNeese look to bust brackets in Midwest Region

New York Times  

If you’re looking for chaos in this year’s bracket, start in the Midwest. Upset Chance: 30.8 percent Spread: Gonzaga favored by 6.5 points We’ve been on the McNeese bandwagon for much of the season, and now Slingshot wants to come along for the ride. 14 Akron Zips Upset Chance: 20.4 percent Spread: Creighton favored by 12.5 points When targeting upsets, …

Shooting Region Teams South Carolina Model Kansas Oregon
NCAA Tournament Bracket Breakers: 8 power conference teams that make great underdog picks
9 months, 1 week ago

NCAA Tournament Bracket Breakers: 8 power conference teams that make great underdog picks

New York Times  

The full NCAA Tournament bracket has been released with UConn leading the way as No. TCU Horned Frogs Conference: Big 12 Underdog Rating: 42.7 Last year, TCU belonged to a cluster of teams called “Gambling Giants,” which work to seize buckets of turnovers and clamp down on opponents’ long-range shooting while also hitting the offensive boards. Texas A&M Aggies Conference: …

Shooting Team Teams Minnesota Model Tournament Houston
Do we live in a giant void? It could solve the puzzle of the universe’s expansion
1 year ago

Do we live in a giant void? It could solve the puzzle of the universe’s expansion

The Hindu  

One of the biggest mysteries in cosmology is the rate at which the universe is expanding. Outflows would arise when denser regions surrounding a void pull it apart – they’d exert a bigger gravitational pull than the lower-density matter inside the void. The overall cosmic expansion history in MOND would be similar to the standard model, but structure would grow …

Local Light Expansion Model Universe Cmb Standard
NCAA Tournament upsets: Bracket Breakers examines Providence, Oral Roberts vs. Duke and the East Region
1 year, 9 months ago

NCAA Tournament upsets: Bracket Breakers examines Providence, Oral Roberts vs. Duke and the East Region

New York Times  

The Athletic has live coverage of the finale of March Madness and the National Championship game. Here’s the first installment of our first-round analysis for Bracket Breakers 2023, as we take a game-by-game look at the potential for upsets in the East Region of the NCAA Tournament. East Region Upset chance: 21.3% Yes, Providence won us over, too, with their …

Sweet Iowa Duke Providence Tournament East Sec
2023 March Madness upsets: Bracket Breakers picks its 10 most likely first-round upsets
1 year, 9 months ago

2023 March Madness upsets: Bracket Breakers picks its 10 most likely first-round upsets

New York Times  

The Athletic has live coverage of UConn vs. Miami in the Final Four. As always, we’ll have detailed analysis of every game with giant-killing implications in the lead-up to Thursday’s action, plus our annual lookahead at potential second-round Bracket Breaker matchups. So, below, you’ll find the list of the top-10 most likely first-round upsets according to our statistical model. East …

Chance Our Model Upset Chance Bracket Breaker Upsets
A neuroscientist explains the problem of ignorance and how we can fight it
1 year, 9 months ago

A neuroscientist explains the problem of ignorance and how we can fight it

Raw Story  

The great paradox of modern times is that we have access to more information than ever, but ignorance seems to be growing. According to an influential new neuroscience theory called “ the Bayesian Brain Hypothesis,” our ability to update the model and reduce our ignorance is central to intelligence. Minimizing your model’s ignorance means changing your beliefs when evidence and …

World Evidence Reality Earth Model Believe Reasoning
NFL playoff picture after Week 16: Chargers, Justin Herbert clinch postseason berth
2 years ago

NFL playoff picture after Week 16: Chargers, Justin Herbert clinch postseason berth

New York Times  

With Week 16 in the books, only half of the wild-card spots remain up for grabs — two in the NFC and one in the AFC. Remaining schedule: vs. Broncos, at Raiders Odds: To make playoffs: 100 percent | To earn bye: 35.7 percent | To win Super Bowl: 12.8 percent GO DEEPER Mahomes improves MVP chances in Chiefs win …

Miami Detroit Super Bowl Panthers Schedule Titans Washington
NFL playoff picture after Week 14: Patriots hang tight with league’s toughest schedule ahead
2 years ago

NFL playoff picture after Week 14: Patriots hang tight with league’s toughest schedule ahead

New York Times  

Week 14 has featured a loss for one team in the hunt for a No. Remaining schedule: at Chargers, vs. Texans, vs. Cowboys, at Jaguars Odds: To make playoffs: 88.3 percent | To earn bye: 0.0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 4.0 percent Cincinnati Bengals The Bengals didn’t have Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd or Hayden Hurst, but they still …

Miami Super Bowl Panthers Schedule Titans Bengals Giants
The prognosis for school reopenings
3 years, 3 months ago

The prognosis for school reopenings

The Hindu  

Schools began opening in a phased manner across several Indian States on September 1. Editorial | Learning safely: On schools reopening Mathematical models With schools opening across India, will we observe an increase in cases in school children? We start with children at home and then study how cases spread in children and in adults when schools open. Findings of …

India Children Disease School States Cases Indian
How we built our covid-19 risk estimator
3 years, 9 months ago

How we built our covid-19 risk estimator

The Economist  

You can explore our interactive covid-19 risk estimator here, and read a summary of our findings here. The vast majority of people aged under 25 with covid-19 in our modified dataset were “flipped”, rather than having actual positive tests—which implies, intuitively, that most people in this group who contract the disease never seek medical care. The University of Oxford operates …

Death Data Positive Age Risk Model Cdc