News Muncher - category pollsters

1 week ago

History Will Be Kinder to Joe Biden Than the Pollsters

Now that pollsters are declaring President Joe Biden a “failure,” historians will reckon with too many economic signals rendering the prevailing narrative little more than media noise. From the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 that ushered in the longest period of unemployment below 4% since the 1960s to the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 that paved the …

Pandemic Inflation Trump Harris President Rate Bloomberg

1 week, 3 days ago

Top Pollsters Agree Democrats Should Cater Less To The Far Left, Work With Republicans

Huff Post

LOADING ERROR LOADING WASHINGTON — Two of the country’s most prominent political pollsters — a Republican and a Democrat — came to virtually the same conclusion for Democrats after last month’s election handed Republicans control of the White House and both chambers of Congress. “My advice — other than find a moderate voice, which is where America is — is …

Trump Election Work Democrats Republican Pollster Harris

2 weeks, 4 days ago

Pollsters warn Keir Starmer too few Britons know about his more popular policies

The Independent

Sign up for the View from Westminster email for expert analysis straight to your inbox Get our free View from Westminster email Get our free View from Westminster email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Leading pollsters have warned Keir Starmer that too few Britons know …

Independent Labour Ministers Popular Campbell Keir Starmer His Government

3 weeks, 2 days ago

Pollsters who got Trump wrong say they've 'cracked challenge of pinning down his voters'

Raw Story

Political pollsters who underestimated Donald Trump's popularity in 2016 and 2020 said they finally cracked the challenge, a report suggests. "For pollsters hoping to accurately forecast an election with Donald Trump at the top of the ticket, the third time may have been the charm — but it was still somewhat unsatisfactory," Politico reported. "Pollsters argue that they finally cracked …

Trump Trump Voters Pollsters Polls Saying Trust Polls

3 weeks, 5 days ago

Here’s how to rescue the opinion polling business in India

Live Mint

Elections in India have become a trial by fire for pollsters. Still others have questioned whether sampling weights used to adjust the raw polling data have led pollsters astray. Pollsters will now hand over their raw data to the American Association for Public Opinion Research, a self-regulatory organization of pollsters that investigates polling practices after each presidential election. The inability …

Business India Political Data Polls Pollsters Polling Data

1 month ago

Reminder: Treat Exit Polls Like Popcorn

The Quint

Pollsters talk to the same set of voters. If the NDA wins Maharashtra and loses Jharkhand, as some pollsters suggest, it means that the Ladki Bahin/Maiya Samman scheme has worked in both states. If the NDA wins both states, it means that Ladki Bahin Yojana worked in Maharashtra, but a similar scheme did not work in Jharkhand, which is counterintuitive. …

Maharashtra Jharkhand Bjp Polls Exit Polls Nda Wins

1 month ago

Maharashtra, Jharkhand: Will Exit Polls Prove Right This Time?

India TV News

Maharashtra recorded 62.05 per cent polling, while Jharkhand, in its second phase, recorded 68.01 per cent voting on Wednesday, according to Election Commission of India, which described these figures as "approximate trend". All eyes were on exit polls from Maharashtra and Jharkhand, which hinted at advantage for BJP-led NDA in both the states, while some pollsters predicted neck-and-neck contests. Exit …

India Maharashtra Jharkhand Bjp Polls Exit Polls Exit

1 month ago

Maharashtra Exit Poll: Pollsters Predict Win For Ruling Mahayuti, Shinde Preferred Choice For CM

ABP News

The exit poll predictions on Wednesday predicted a lead for the ruling Mahayuti alliance- consisting of the Bhartiya Janata Party, CM Eknath Shinde's Shiv Sena and Ajit Pawar's Nationalist Congress Party in Maharashtra. While the Matrize and Chanakya Strategies gave at least 150 seats to the ruling alliance, led by Chief Minister Eknath Shinde, the opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi was …

Maharashtra Shiv Sena Mahayuti Bjp Seats Alliance Poll

1 month ago

Jharkhand exit polls 2024: Most pollsters predict NDA win; Axis My India says INDIA ahead

Hindustan Times

The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance has been projected to win the 2024 Jharkhand Assembly polls, with exit polls predicting 42-53 seats in the saffron party's kitty. The Times Now-JVC pollster predicted a 40-44 seats win for the NDA, while the INDIA bloc has been projected to bag a close second of 30-40 seats, leaving Others with one. In contrast to …

India Congress Jharkhand Upa Voters Bjp Seats

1 month ago

Maharashtra exit poll results: BJP-led Mahayuti will retain power, predict pollsters

Hindustan Times

The ruling BJP-led Mahayuti alliance will retain power in Maharashtra by scoring a comfortable victory in the assembly election, exit polls predicted on Wednesday. According to the Peoples Pulse exit poll, the BJP-led alliance will win 175-195 seats. In the Maharashtra assembly election 2019, the BJP won 105 seats, the undivided Shiv Sena won 56 seats and the undivided NCP …

Maharashtra Congress Shiv Sena Mahayuti Sena Bjp Seats

1 month ago

Exit poll highlights: Mahayuti likely to retain Maharashtra, close fight in J'khand

Hindustan Times

Exit poll result live: In contrast to the majority of the pollsters, Axis My India projected a massive victory for the JMM-Congress alliance. Exit poll result highlights: Thousands of voters cast their ballots on Wednesday to elect new state governments in the crucial assembly battleground states of Maharashtra and Jharkhand, marking a big test for the Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA …

Maharashtra Congress Jharkhand Bjp Poll Exit Exit Poll

1 month ago

Exit poll highlights: Mahayuti likely to retain Maharashtra, close fight in J'khand

Hindustan Times

Exit poll result live: In contrast to the majority of the pollsters, Axis My India projected a massive victory for the JMM-Congress alliance. Exit poll result highlights: Thousands of voters cast their ballots on Wednesday to elect new state governments in the crucial assembly battleground states of Maharashtra and Jharkhand, marking a big test for the Bharatiya Janata Party-led NDA …

Maharashtra Congress Jharkhand Bjp Poll Exit Exit Poll

1 month ago

What are exit polls and how they are conducted?

India Today

Voting is underway in Maharashtra and Jharkhand for the high-stakes Assembly elections that will shape the political landscape in both states. Exit polls are surveys conducted immediately after voters leave polling stations. Exit polls involve multiple steps to ensure representative and accurate results: Sampling: Polling organisations select a diverse set of polling stations to reflect the demographic and political makeup …

Results Data Maharashtra Jharkhand Demographic Polls Voter

1 month ago

Opinion: Time to get over the addiction, exit the exit polls

India Today

Is it actually a cure for the itch to know, or is it the itch itself? Year after year, election after election, TV channels turned exit polls into a high-volume ritual. In the 2024 Lok Sabha election, all exit polls predicted that the BJP would be getting a majority with some even declaring that the NDA would score "400 paar". …

Results Maharashtra Election Jharkhand Right Bjp Polls

1 month ago

Maharashtra, Jharkhand exit polls soon. Will pollsters get it right this time?

India Today

Another cycle of elections has ended today, and again all eyes will be on the exit polls to give an insight into which alliance -- the NDA or INDIA -- will win this round of polls. Ahead of the Lok Sabha election results on June 4, at least 10 major exit polls forecast a landslide victory for the BJP-led NDA, …

Maharashtra Congress Election Haryana Jharkhand Bjp Polls

1 month, 1 week ago

The polls underestimated Trump's support — again. Here's why

NPR

The polls underestimated Trump's support — again. Here's why toggle caption Kamil Krzaczynski/AFP via Getty Images President-elect Donald Trump presents unique challenges for pollsters. Polling has underestimated Trump's support in the last three presidential elections. Trump's result — which looks like it will land at around 50% of voters when all ballots are counted — is about 3 points higher …

Trump White Harris Polls This Election Polling Npr

1 month, 1 week ago

Your US election questions answered – from why pollsters got it wrong to the truth behind Project 2025

The Independent

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Get our free Inside Washington email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Donald Trump has secured a second term in the White …

Trump Senate Harris Project 2025 Inside Washington Washington Email

1 month, 2 weeks ago

'Garbage men of pollsters' take a swipe at 'quality' competitors after Trump win

Raw Story

The self-described "garbage men of pollsters" took a victory lap Friday night on Fox News and boasted that they picked the battleground states correctly in the 2024 election, over other prominent industry experts. "So many of America's major polling organizations got it wrong so often," said Hannity, calling out renowned pollster Ann Selzer's poll that ended up being off by …

Trump Hannity Garbage Men Cahaly Towery

1 month, 2 weeks ago

US pollsters miss the mark. Donald Trump defies predictions in historic win

Live Mint

In a stunning Election Night victory, President-elect Donald Trump outperformed expectations, securing a decisive win over Kamala Harris in both the Electoral College and the national popular vote. Pollsters misjudged Trump’s popularity Leading National Poll outlets such as FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver’s projections, the Washington Post, and the New York Times have all shown Vice President Kamala Harris with a narrow …

Trump Harris Kamala Harris Pollsters Election Predictions

1 month, 2 weeks ago

Pollsters were blindsided by breadth of Trump win

Live Mint

WASHINGTON : Pollsters as a group had prepared Americans for a very close presidential race, and that is the way it turned out in several battleground states. Yet many surveys didn’t signal that Trump would end up making such broad gains compared with 2020, including his improved margins among both college-educated and working-class voters, in exurbs as well as rural …

Trump Journal Harris Voters Clinton Polls Final

How Trump won the White House race defying the pollsters yet again

Firstpost

The 2024 US presidential race was predicted to be a neck-and-neck affair, with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris tightly contesting in key battleground states. However as Election Day unfolded, the predictions quickly fell short of reality as the Republican leader clinched victory by a comfortable margin Donald Trump is now US president-elect. File image/AP As the 2024 US Presidential race …

Trump Iowa Republican Harris Donald Trump Kamala Harris Polls

1 month, 2 weeks ago

Jon Stewart sends furious message to pollsters after US election results

The Independent

Sign up to our free IndyArts newsletter for all the latest entertainment news and reviews Sign up to our free IndyArts newsletter Sign up to our free IndyArts newsletter SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Jon Stewart sent a blunt message to pollsters during his US …

Trump Election End Going Free Stewart Palm Beach

1 month, 2 weeks ago

US pollsters underestimate Trump support - again

New Indian Express

WASHINGTON: Opinion polls underestimated the level of Donald Trump's support for the third US presidential election in a row, predicting a neck-and-neck race with Kamala Harris when in the end the Republican edged the vice president across battleground states. Trump's win involved surging support in a number of demographics and regions, but experts said pollsters failed to accurately predict races …

Trump Polls

Jon Stewart sends furious message to pollsters after US election results

The Independent

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Jon Stewart sent a blunt …

Trump Election End Going Free Palm Beach Jon Stewart

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Articles for Pollsters

History Will Be Kinder to Joe Biden Than the Pollsters

Top Pollsters Agree Democrats Should Cater Less To The Far Left, Work With Republicans

Pollsters warn Keir Starmer too few Britons know about his more popular policies

Pollsters who got Trump wrong say they've 'cracked challenge of pinning down his voters'

Here’s how to rescue the opinion polling business in India

Reminder: Treat Exit Polls Like Popcorn

Maharashtra, Jharkhand: Will Exit Polls Prove Right This Time?

Maharashtra Exit Poll: Pollsters Predict Win For Ruling Mahayuti, Shinde Preferred Choice For CM

Jharkhand exit polls 2024: Most pollsters predict NDA win; Axis My India says INDIA ahead

Maharashtra exit poll results: BJP-led Mahayuti will retain power, predict pollsters

Exit poll highlights: Mahayuti likely to retain Maharashtra, close fight in J'khand

Exit poll highlights: Mahayuti likely to retain Maharashtra, close fight in J'khand

What are exit polls and how they are conducted?

Opinion: Time to get over the addiction, exit the exit polls

Maharashtra, Jharkhand exit polls soon. Will pollsters get it right this time?

The polls underestimated Trump's support — again. Here's why

Your US election questions answered – from why pollsters got it wrong to the truth behind Project 2025

'Garbage men of pollsters' take a swipe at 'quality' competitors after Trump win

US pollsters miss the mark. Donald Trump defies predictions in historic win

Pollsters were blindsided by breadth of Trump win

How Trump won the White House race defying the pollsters yet again

Jon Stewart sends furious message to pollsters after US election results

US pollsters underestimate Trump support - again

Jon Stewart sends furious message to pollsters after US election results