News Muncher - category projections

4 days, 18 hours ago

Trump isn’t president yet. He’s already spooking the Fed.

The Federal Reserve can no longer deny that it is beginning to think about what Donald Trump will do as president. These showed that Fed policymakers’ median expectation is now for inflation, as measured by the core personal-consumption expenditures index, to come in at 2.5% next year, up from September’s projection of 2.2%. “It’s hard to justify trimming the number …

Inflation Trump Fed Rate Powell

US Fed cuts interest rates but cautions for year ahead

Al Jazeera

Slower progress on inflation translates into a slower pace of rate cuts, especially as economic growth is brisk. “Economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace” with an unemployment rate that “remains low” and inflation that “remains somewhat elevated”, the central bank’s rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee said in its latest policy statement on Wednesday. That is half …

Policy Inflation Monetary Policy Trump Fed Rate Rate Cuts

1 week ago

Two men face trial over extremist projections on Erasmus bridge

NL Times

Two men accused of projecting far-right and discriminatory slogans on the Erasmus Bridge in Rotterdam during the 2022-2023 New Year’s Eve celebrations are set to appear in court in Rotterdam on Tuesday. During the New Year’s incident, slogans such as “White Lives Matter” and “We must secure the existence of our people and a future for white children” were projected …

Rotterdam Erasmus Bridge

1 week, 5 days ago

ADB lowers growth projections for India to 6.5% in FY25, 7% in FY26

Deccan Chronicle

The Asian Development Bank has lowered India’s GDP growth projections for FY25 to 6.5 per cent from 7 per cent estimated in September as well as the projection for FY26 to 7 per cent from 7.2 per cent predicted earlier owing to tighter prudential norms and lower than expected industrial growth in Q2. Inflation estimates for the current fiscal has …

Growth Inflation Next Year Lower Fy26 7 Per Cent Cent India

2 weeks ago

AI weather models can now beat the best traditional forecasts

Raw Story

A new machine-learning weather prediction model called GenCast can outperform the best traditional forecasting systems in at least some situations, according to a paper by Google DeepMind researchers published today in Nature. According to the GenCast paper, this probabilistic approach creates more accurate forecasts than the best numerical weather prediction system in the world – the one at the European …

Weather Nature Machine Learning Future Climate Data Learning

Staying the course: On the RBI and inflation

The Hindu

The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee, in its latest bi-monthly review, has decided to maintain status quo on the benchmark interest rate of 6.50% for the eleventh consecutive time. India’s retail inflation, after trending below the median 4% target, for the first time in five years, for two months, spiked over September and October, with food prices leading …

Growth Inflation Interest Rates Rbi Mpc

3 weeks, 3 days ago

RBI’s GDP projections on test as India’s Q2 GDP growth falls short

Live Mint

The Indian economy experienced a big jolt in the July-September quarter of 2024-25, with the real GDP growth rate slowing to 5.36%, the lowest in seven quarters, data released by the statistics ministry on Friday showed. A back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests GDP growth will have to average 8.3% in the second half of the year to align with the RBI’s full-year …

India Growth Quarter Rbi Gdp Chief Economist Gdp Growth

4 weeks ago

S&P Global Slashes GDP Growth Forecast For India For FY26 To 6.7 Per Cent

ABP News

S&P Global Ratings on Monday cut down the growth estimates for Indian economy in the next two fiscal years. Issuing an update to its economic growth projections for Asia-Pacific economies post US elections, the ratings agency estimated the Indian economy to clock a GDP growth rate of 6.7 per cent in the 2025-26 fiscal year and 6.8 per cent in …

India Growth Interest Rates Cent Fiscal Gdp Growth Fy26

1 month ago

Pradeep Gupta's Axis My India gets exit polls ‘spot on’ for Maharashtra, Jharkhand elections

Hindustan Times

Pradeep Gupta-led exit poll agency Axis My India had reasons to smile on Saturday as it correctly predicted the outcome of Maharashtra and Jharkhand assembly elections. Axis My India had predicted a Mahayuti sweep in Maharashtra, with the BJP-led alliance winning 172-200 seats in the 288-member assembly. Axis My India got Lok Sabha 2024 polls, Haryana and J&K projections wrong …

India Maharashtra Congress Haryana Jharkhand Bjp Seats

Maharashtra exit poll highlights: With 120-186 seats, Mahayuti 2.0 Likely, projections say

Hindustan Times

Maharashtra exit poll highlights: Most pollsters on Wednesday gave an edge or predicted a comfortable victory for the Mahayuti alliance, comprising the Chief Minister Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena, the Ajit Pawar faction of the Nationalist Congress Party and the Bharatiya Janata Party in the Maharashtra Assembly elections 2024, while some have projected a close fight with the MVA with an …

Shiv Sena Mahayuti Poll Ncp

1 month ago

2025 NFL Draft order projections: Cowboys, Bears tumbling toward top-10 picks

New York Times

How did Week 11 shake up the potential 2025 NFL Draft order? The simulation then runs 100,000 times after each day of games to give us, in this case, our projected top 10 draft order, plus each team’s projected win total and playoff chances. And here’s the latest projected top 10 for April’s draft: A few thoughts on this week’s …

Chicago Dallas Nfl Cowboys Jacksonville Williams Draft

1 month, 1 week ago

IEA lifts 2024 oil demand forecast but trims 2025 projections

Live Mint

The International Energy Agency lifted its forecast for this year’s oil-demand growth but slightly trimmed next year’s estimates, citing the impact of China’s economic slowdown on consumption. “China’s marked slowdown has been the main drag on demand, with its growth this year expected to average just a tenth of the 1.4 million barrels a day increase in 2023," the IEA …

Growth Oil Supply Countries Month Demand Million

1 month, 1 week ago

Earth’s projected warming hasn’t improved for 3 years. UN climate talks are still pushing

Associated Press

BAKU, Azerbaijan — For the third straight year, efforts to fight climate change haven’t lowered projections for how hot the world is likely to get — even as countries gather for another round of talks to curb warming, according to an analysis Thursday. “Fossil fuels and emissions are not peaking,” said Sherry Rehman, chair of climate and environment committee in …

Climate Change France United Nations Climate Talks Rehman Warming

1 month, 2 weeks ago

The Fed’s next moves are now anyone’s guess

Live Mint

Take the Federal Reserve’s projections from September and throw them into the trash. The Fed cut rates by a quarter point on Thursday, as universally expected and following a half-point cut in September. Take for instance Fed policymakers’ longer-term economic projections released at their September meeting. But the chance that the Fed could cut rates by just a quarter point …

Economic Fed Powell Point Cut

1 month, 2 weeks ago

EV maker Rivian falls short of revenue projections for third quarter

LA Times

Irvine-based EV maker Rivian attributed its failure to meet third-quarter revenue projections to a production disruption and “a more challenging consumer environment.” Electric vehicle maker Rivian missed Wall Street’s expectations for revenue on Thursday with sales coming in lower than anticipated in the third quarter. In a shareholder letter, Rivian attributed the revenue drop to a production disruption and “a …

Vehicles Company Revenue Electric Quarter Rivian Maker

1 month, 2 weeks ago

Big Ten bowl projections, and how the top four’s CFP hopes could blur the postseason picture

New York Times

The College Football Playoff may be bigger than ever this year, but there will be nearly six times as many FBS teams playing in non-CFP bowl games as there will be participants in the new 12-team bracket. Early November projection: Illinois ReliaQuest Bowl Particulars: Tampa, Fla., Dec. 31, Noon ET Opponent: A pool of SEC teams ranging from second to …

Georgia Teams Texas Iowa Sun Wisconsin Duke

1 month, 2 weeks ago

When is a poll not a poll?

Live Mint

No, the election polls weren’t wrong. In this year’s New York Times/Siena College surveys, pollsters received a response from only 2% of the people they contacted, the Times reports. Sampling error is an important statistical metric, typically framed as studying the variations in selecting balls from an urn with 1,000 red balls and 1,000 blue balls. But when response rates …

Poll Polls Pollsters Sampling Error

1 month, 2 weeks ago

Immersive Light Show Illuminates Saint-Sulpice Church in Paris

Associated Press

The Church of Saint-Sulpice in Paris shines in an immersive light show that reimagines the church's interiors through advanced video mapping and projection technology. The show blends centuries of intrigue, revolution and family drama, showcasing the church's rich history and its significance in French history.

Entertainment History Performance Light and Sound Paris

1 month, 2 weeks ago

Predicting the first 12-team College Football Playoff selection committee rankings

New York Times

The first College Football Playoff rankings will be revealed Tuesday night, and once again I’ll be using my projections model to try to predict how the selection committee will rank the teams each week. Here’s what I expect Tuesday’s rankings to be: Next five: Missouri, South Carolina, UNLV, Arizona State, Tulane Biggest question: What to do with Notre Dame? There …

Rankings Committee Notre Dame Playoff Irish Dame Notre

1 month, 3 weeks ago

UK economic growth upgraded this year amid ‘temporary boost’ from spending

The Independent

For free real time breaking news alerts sent straight to your inbox sign up to our breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails Sign up to our free breaking news emails SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy The UK economy is set …

Growth Inflation Budget Economic Growth Sign Obr Expected

2 months, 1 week ago

College football midseason bowl projections: How new CFP format impacts rest of bowl season

New York Times

The expanded College Football Playoff will give this sport something that previously was unrivaled by the other sport: a true Selection Sunday. Texas Clemson-Alabama winner 8:45 p.m. ESPN Orange Jan. 9 Miami, Fla. Quarterfinal winner Quarterfinal winner 7:30 p.m. ESPN Cotton Jan. 10 Arlington, Texas Quarterfinal winner Quarterfinal winner 7:30 p.m. ESPN Championship Jan. 20 Atlanta Semifinal winner Semifinal winner …

Georgia Football College Football Miami Teams Texas Iowa

2 months, 2 weeks ago

MLB Playoffs odds, model projections, schedule for Wednesday’s four games: Dodgers, Phillies face elimination

New York Times

Wednesday will be a feast of playoff baseball. Sign Up Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers — Game 3 Series odds: Tigers -115, Guardians -105 Series tied 1-1 Game 3 pitching matchup: Alex Cobb vs. Keider Montero How to watch Guardians at Tigers Venue: Comerica Park — Detroit Comerica Park — Detroit Time: 3:08 p.m. ET TV: TBS Philadelphia Phillies at …

Game Detroit Value Win Dodgers Odds Kansas City

2 months, 3 weeks ago

Delay in IPL expansion may cut revenue projections by ₹4,720cr

Hindustan Times

Mumbai: The Board of Control for Cricket in India hasn’t said it in so many words but enough is known to say that broadcast market realities will prevent an IPL expansion from 74 to 94 matches in the current rights cycle. All the player salary computations communicated to the franchises for the next three years at Saturday IPL’s governing council …

India Players Matches Ipl Crore Bcci Lakh

3 months ago

ArcLight and Academy Museum lighted up with Gaza protest projections

LA Times

The art collective Indecline projected images of the war in Gaza onto the side of a Hollywood building Monday evening. An activist art collective called Indecline projected a series of graphic videos onto several symbolic local buildings, including the ArcLight Cinema off Sunset Boulevard, on Monday night, calling attention to the humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip. Titled “For Your …

Gaza Indecline

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Articles for Projections

Trump isn’t president yet. He’s already spooking the Fed.

US Fed cuts interest rates but cautions for year ahead

Two men face trial over extremist projections on Erasmus bridge

ADB lowers growth projections for India to 6.5% in FY25, 7% in FY26

AI weather models can now beat the best traditional forecasts

Staying the course: On the RBI and inflation

RBI’s GDP projections on test as India’s Q2 GDP growth falls short

S&P Global Slashes GDP Growth Forecast For India For FY26 To 6.7 Per Cent

Pradeep Gupta's Axis My India gets exit polls ‘spot on’ for Maharashtra, Jharkhand elections

Maharashtra exit poll highlights: With 120-186 seats, Mahayuti 2.0 Likely, projections say

2025 NFL Draft order projections: Cowboys, Bears tumbling toward top-10 picks

IEA lifts 2024 oil demand forecast but trims 2025 projections

Earth’s projected warming hasn’t improved for 3 years. UN climate talks are still pushing

The Fed’s next moves are now anyone’s guess

EV maker Rivian falls short of revenue projections for third quarter

Big Ten bowl projections, and how the top four’s CFP hopes could blur the postseason picture

When is a poll not a poll?

Immersive Light Show Illuminates Saint-Sulpice Church in Paris

Predicting the first 12-team College Football Playoff selection committee rankings

UK economic growth upgraded this year amid ‘temporary boost’ from spending

College football midseason bowl projections: How new CFP format impacts rest of bowl season

MLB Playoffs odds, model projections, schedule for Wednesday’s four games: Dodgers, Phillies face elimination

Delay in IPL expansion may cut revenue projections by ₹4,720cr

ArcLight and Academy Museum lighted up with Gaza protest projections