Is Donald Trump going to win? The coronavirus pandemic, the economy and polling will help us find out
4 years, 5 months ago

Is Donald Trump going to win? The coronavirus pandemic, the economy and polling will help us find out

ABC  

You've been thinking about it. Here's how we'll help you figure out if Trump will win This is the first in a set of monthly check-ins we'll publish as we approach the 2020 US election. They're based on our conversations with three experts who have decades of experience predicting the outcomes of US presidential elections — Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at the UVA Center for Politics, Charles Stewart, founding director of the MIT Election Data and Science Lab and Allan Lichtman, who co-developed the Keys to the White House system of predicting American presidential elections. Starting with… National Polling Averages Donald Trump and Joe Biden will face off at the 2020 US presidential election on November 3. It was Bill Clinton's campaign manager James Carville who coined a famous phrase in 1992 that's been uttered at every US election since: "It's the economy, stupid."

Economy Pandemic Coronavirus Trump Election Donald Trump Donald Voters Biden Help Win Cent Going 2020 Polling Stewart Joe Biden Lichtman Kondik Polling Averages  trump  cent  pandemic  help  going  economy  voters  election  polling  win  donald  coronavirus  2020

History of this topic

Donald Trump's win is a grim reminder: The COVID era hasn't ended
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Donald Trump's win is a grim reminder: The COVID era hasn't ended

Salon  

Now that we've had a chance to catch our breath a little bit and get through the grieving process over last Tuesday's election, the inevitable recriminations have begun in earnest. I suspect we will spend many years dissecting what happened that put Donald Trump back in the White House this year. This campaign was especially fraught with President Joe Biden …

Coronavirus is no longer a top issue for Americans. That’s good news for Republicans
2 years, 8 months ago

Coronavirus is no longer a top issue for Americans. That’s good news for Republicans

CNN  

CNN — This week was more of a normal week for news – something we haven’t had in a long time. The fact that the coronavirus pandemic, now in its third year, is no longer a top news story is where we begin this week’s statistical journey. Americans may be losing interest in Russian invasion of Ukraine Unlike the coronavirus …

AP-NORC poll: Biden approval buoyed by his pandemic response
3 years, 7 months ago

AP-NORC poll: Biden approval buoyed by his pandemic response

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden is plunging into the next phase of his administration with the steady approval of a majority of Americans, according to a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. Those positive marks have fueled the Biden White House’s confidence coming out of the president’s first 100 days in office, a stretch in …

CNN Poll: One year into the coronavirus pandemic, most Americans say the worst has passed
3 years, 9 months ago

CNN Poll: One year into the coronavirus pandemic, most Americans say the worst has passed

CNN  

CNN — After a full year living under the shadow of the coronavirus pandemic, the American public finally sees a brighter future, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. As Biden prepares to stand before the country in a prime-time address marking the one-year anniversary of widespread lockdowns in the United States, most Americans say they have a …

President Joe Biden has started work on his next big battle — stopping the coronavirus pandemic
3 years, 11 months ago

President Joe Biden has started work on his next big battle — stopping the coronavirus pandemic

ABC  

Joe Biden has taken office as President of the United States a year after the pandemic first came to the country's shores. While the Trump administration's "Operation Warp Speed" honed federal ambition on developing a vaccine, Biden knows there's more to disease control than inoculation. As a result, the early rollout of the vaccine was what Biden called a "dismal …

Opinion: Crushing the pandemic could pave the way for Biden’s bold agenda
4 years ago

Opinion: Crushing the pandemic could pave the way for Biden’s bold agenda

CNN  

Editor’s Note: Julian Zelizer, a CNN political analyst, is a professor of history and public affairs at Princeton University and author of the book, “Burning Down the House: Newt Gingrich, the Fall of a Speaker, and the Rise of the New Republican Party.” Follow him on Twitter @julianzelizer. Regardless of the outcome, it seems all but certain that Senate Majority …

Donald Trump’s stunning abdication of leadership comes as coronavirus pandemic worsens
4 years, 1 month ago

Donald Trump’s stunning abdication of leadership comes as coronavirus pandemic worsens

CNN  

CNN — President Donald Trump had predicted in almost every campaign rally that the media would stop talking about the coronavirus pandemic the day after the election. Before the election, White House chief of staff Mark Meadows had signaled the way ahead by claiming on CNN’s “State of the Union” that the pandemic could not be controlled. Vice President Mike …

Biden says ’We’re going to win this race’ as his lead over Trump grows
4 years, 1 month ago

Biden says ’We’re going to win this race’ as his lead over Trump grows

Live Mint  

Democrat Joe Biden predicted victory in the US presidential election as vote counts leaned his way in key states, while President Donald Trump showed no sign of being ready to concede in a contest that has dragged on for days. Biden backers danced in Philadelphia's streets, while armed Trump supporters in Phoenix and Detroit said the election was being stolen, …

US Elections 2020: 'First Responsibility As President Will Be To Control Covid 19', Joe Biden In Midnight Speech
4 years, 1 month ago

US Elections 2020: 'First Responsibility As President Will Be To Control Covid 19', Joe Biden In Midnight Speech

ABP News  

As Democrat Presidential candidate Joe Biden inches towards victory and is short of just 6 electoral votes, Biden vowed to act against the pandemic on "day one" if he wins the presidential election in the world's worst-hit nation. US Elections LIVE RESULT Biden delivered a late-night address with the tone of a president-elect and vowed to tackle the Covid-19 pandemic …

New dawn: The Hindu Editorial on Joe Biden
4 years, 1 month ago

New dawn: The Hindu Editorial on Joe Biden

The Hindu  

After trailing but steadily closing the gap since Election Day, Democrat and former Vice-President Joe Biden has seized the lead in the Republican-leaning swing State of Georgia, and in Pennsylvania, and winning them would guarantee his victory in the 2020 U.S. presidential election. Mr. Biden is also firmly on track to win the popular vote decisively, having secured more than …

Donald Trump Did Shockingly Well In Counties With High COVID-19 Death Rates
4 years, 1 month ago

Donald Trump Did Shockingly Well In Counties With High COVID-19 Death Rates

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING Despite President Donald Trump’s brazen negligence in handling the coronavirus, the president actually performed better this year than he did in 2016 in counties with high COVID-19 death rates, according to an internal analysis from Reuters. “The president has spent months minimizing the virus and the pain of the loved ones of the more than 230,000 Americans …

AP VoteCast: Voters favor Biden on virus, Trump on economy
4 years, 1 month ago

AP VoteCast: Voters favor Biden on virus, Trump on economy

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Voters in the U.S. presidential election faced a public health crisis and a wounded economy, but neither candidate emerged as the clear choice to handle both of those issues, according to AP VoteCast. More voters — both nationwide and in key battlegrounds — said former Vice President Joe Biden would be better able to handle the coronavirus pandemic, …

Voters favor Joe Biden on virus, Donald Trump on economy
4 years, 1 month ago

Voters favor Joe Biden on virus, Donald Trump on economy

India Today  

Voters in the US presidential election faced a public health crisis and a wounded economy, but neither candidate emerged as the clear choice to handle both of those issues, according to AP VoteCast. More voters - both nationwide and in key battlegrounds - said former Vice President Joe Biden would be better able to handle the coronavirus pandemic, the top …

US Election Results HIGHLIGHTS: Joe Biden Defeats Donald Trump, Becomes America's President-Elect
4 years, 1 month ago

US Election Results HIGHLIGHTS: Joe Biden Defeats Donald Trump, Becomes America's President-Elect

ABP News  

US Presidential Elections: The day has come after 2 furious debates and relentless campaigning between the US Elections 2020 presidential candidates Donald Trump and Joe Biden and their vice presidents. Nearly 100 million people have already cast their ballots in early voting, putting the country on course for its highest turnout in a century. The mail-in ballots could take days …

Donald Trump circumstances in 2020 vs 2016: Same but yet so different
4 years, 1 month ago

Donald Trump circumstances in 2020 vs 2016: Same but yet so different

Op India  

Four years have passed since Donald Trump pulled off one of the greatest upsets in the history of American politics when he defeated Hillary Clinton to become the 45th President of the United States. The ‘Intelligence Community’, prominent sections of which attempted to enforce a coup of the democratically elected president of the USA, are openly hostile to Donald Trump …

US Election 2020 Highlights: Economy Critical Issue for One-third of Voters, Shows CNN National Exit Poll
4 years, 1 month ago

US Election 2020 Highlights: Economy Critical Issue for One-third of Voters, Shows CNN National Exit Poll

News 18  

US Presidential Election 2020 Highlights: According to the CNN National Exit Polls, the Economy is the most critical issue in US citizens? Meanwhile, More than 100 million Americans cast their ballots in advance of Tuesday?s Election Day, according to the US Elections Project watchdog, a record figure largely attributed to the Covid-19 pandemic. Polling stations opened in New York, New …

U.S. presidential election | Trump vs Biden | It’s here: What to watch on Election Day in America
4 years, 1 month ago

U.S. presidential election | Trump vs Biden | It’s here: What to watch on Election Day in America

The Hindu  

Election Day is finally here. Here’s what to watch as the final votes for President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden are cast: What do Americans want from a President? Trump’s reelection depends on driving up his margins in rural areas and smaller towns and cities — those expansive swaths of red on the county-by-county results map from 2016. …

Trump and Biden search for last-minute support in key States
4 years, 1 month ago

Trump and Biden search for last-minute support in key States

The Hindu  

U.S. President Donald Trump hunts for support in four battleground States on Monday while Democratic rival Joe Biden focuses on Pennsylvania and Ohio during the final day of campaigning in their race for the White House. Mr. Biden has wrapped up the campaign on the offensive, traveling almost exclusively to States that Mr. Trump won in 2016 and criticizing the …

COVID-19, Unemployment: Factors Riding Against Trump’s Re-Election
4 years, 1 month ago

COVID-19, Unemployment: Factors Riding Against Trump’s Re-Election

The Quint  

Trump, who recently contracted and then recovered from COVID himself, has been roundly criticised for his handling of the pandemic, not just by his opponents but also voters, a majority of whom say that he handled the crisis poorly, according to AFP. Biden has cited Trump’s mishandling of the coronavirus as the primary reason for him not being worthy of …

A fierce contest: The Hindu Editorial on U.S. Presidential election 2020 results
4 years, 1 month ago

A fierce contest: The Hindu Editorial on U.S. Presidential election 2020 results

The Hindu  

With less than two days until voting ends in the 2020 U.S. presidential election, the results of opinion polls gauging voter preferences between the Republican incumbent, President Donald Trump, and his Democratic challenger, former Vice-President Joe Biden, almost uniformly show that the latter is holding onto a firm lead. However, an analysis of politics since January 2017 reveals how voters …

U.S. sees record 90 million early votes as Trump, Biden make late push
4 years, 1 month ago

U.S. sees record 90 million early votes as Trump, Biden make late push

The Hindu  

A record 90 million Americans have voted early in the U.S. presidential election, data on Saturday showed, as President Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Joe Biden campaigned across the country to try to sway the few remaining undecided voters. Polls show close contest Opinion polls show Mr. Trump trailing former Vice President Biden nationally, but with a closer contest …

US Election 2020: Early voting surges as Donald Trump, Joe Biden make late push
4 years, 1 month ago

US Election 2020: Early voting surges as Donald Trump, Joe Biden make late push

Hindustan Times  

A record 90 million Americans have voted early in the US presidential election, data on Saturday showed, as President Donald Trump and his Democratic rival Joe Biden campaigned across the country to try to sway the few remaining undecided voters. Concerns about exposure to the coronavirus at busy Election Day voting places on Tuesday have also pushed up the numbers …

U.S. Presidential Elections | Trump derides doctors as COVID surges, Biden says Trump ‘giving up’ on virus
4 years, 1 month ago

U.S. Presidential Elections | Trump derides doctors as COVID surges, Biden says Trump ‘giving up’ on virus

The Hindu  

President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden on Friday sought support in Midwestern states where the coronavirus has roared back, with Mr. Trump falsely accusing doctors of profiting from COVID-19 deaths while Mr. Biden said Mr. Trump had surrendered to the pandemic. Earlier in the day in Michigan, Mr. Trump attacked the U.S. medical system, falsely saying: “Our doctors …

‘Enough Of The Lies’: Joe Biden Is Done With Donald Trump’s COVID-19 BS In New Ad
4 years, 1 month ago

‘Enough Of The Lies’: Joe Biden Is Done With Donald Trump’s COVID-19 BS In New Ad

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING President Donald Trump’s monthslong lies about the coronavirus pandemic are the focus of a new ad from Democratic nominee Joe Biden’s campaign. The 51-second clip begins with footage of Trump in January claiming COVID-19 will simply “disappear.” Subsequent footage shows Trump repeatedly downplaying the threat of the virus, while acknowledging its danger in private. The United States …

COVID-19 vaccine ready, coming within weeks: Trump at final presidential debate with Biden
4 years, 2 months ago

COVID-19 vaccine ready, coming within weeks: Trump at final presidential debate with Biden

India TV News  

US President Donald Trump on Thursday said that a COVID-19 vaccine is "ready" and going to be announced "within weeks" to combat the deadly disease that has killed over 223,000 Americans, as he debated with his Democratic challenger Joe Biden for the final time before the presidential election. The coronavirus dominated the opening minutes of the Trump-Biden face-off in Nashville …

AP-NORC poll: Americans critical of Trump handling of virus
4 years, 2 months ago

AP-NORC poll: Americans critical of Trump handling of virus

Associated Press  

WASHINGTON — Less than three weeks from Election Day, majorities of Americans are highly critical of President Donald Trump’s handling of both the coronavirus pandemic and his own illness, according to a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. Democratic challenger Joe Biden has sought to make the election a referendum on the Republican president’s handling …

U.S. presidential election 2020 | President Trump back on campaign trail with a roar
4 years, 2 months ago

U.S. presidential election 2020 | President Trump back on campaign trail with a roar

The Hindu  

“Here we are!” President Donald Trump announced with a triumphant roar — made slightly hoarse by his bout with COVID-19 — at the opening of a rally in Sanford, Florida, on Monday. Loud, coarse at times, diving into his well-worn jokes, and freely insulting opponents and journalists, Mr. Trump didn’t sound like a clinically obese man of 74 who only …

US election 2020 (opinion): Desperate Trump is putting democracy at risk
4 years, 2 months ago

US election 2020 (opinion): Desperate Trump is putting democracy at risk

CNN  

Editor’s Note: Julian Zelizer, a CNN political analyst, is a professor of history and public affairs at Princeton University and author of the book, “Burning Down the House: Newt Gingrich, the Fall of a Speaker, and the Rise of the New Republican Party.” Follow him on Twitter @julianzelizer. He repeated falsehoods about Joe Biden wanting to defund the police and …

Viral surge, fiscal fight may sway US voters more than data
4 years, 2 months ago

Viral surge, fiscal fight may sway US voters more than data

Live Mint  

A surge in COVID-19 cases in a number of U.S. states and roller-coaster prospects for new pandemic aid from Congress are threatening to push the importance of traditional economic data to the back burner for voters in the Nov. 3 election. Overall, likely voters continue to say they have more confidence in U.S. President Donald Trump's ability to create jobs …

New CNN National Poll Shows Biden Leading Trump by 16 Points
54 years, 11 months ago

New CNN National Poll Shows Biden Leading Trump by 16 Points

Slate  

A new CNN poll out Tuesday morning shows Joe Biden widening his lead to 16 points over President Donald Trump among American voters, in this case likely voters, taking a commanding advantage into the final month of the campaign. The national poll conducted by SSRS was put in the field just days after the first presidential debate and shows Biden …

Biden aims to expand map as Trump recovers from coronavirus
4 years, 2 months ago

Biden aims to expand map as Trump recovers from coronavirus

Associated Press  

MIAMI — As President Donald Trump recovers from the coronavirus, Joe Biden is capitalizing on having the campaign trail largely to himself by hitting critical swing states and investing in longtime Republican bastions that he hopes might expand his path to victory. The progressive Vermont senator held socially distanced rallies in the battlegrounds of New Hampshire and Michigan, proclaiming, “We …

Is Donald Trump going to win the US election? A coronavirus diagnosis and a presidential debate have upended the race
4 years, 2 months ago

Is Donald Trump going to win the US election? A coronavirus diagnosis and a presidential debate have upended the race

ABC  

It's been less than a week since the world was shocked with the news that US President Donald Trump has tested positive for coronavirus. Below are our previous editions, so you can see how the race has shifted month-to-month: July edition July edition August edition August edition September edition September edition October edition And in two days, they'll get to …

Trump Is Losing Because He Ignored The Coronavirus
4 years, 2 months ago

Trump Is Losing Because He Ignored The Coronavirus

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING First it was China. Another ad promises the “finish line is approaching” in the “race for a vaccine.” The ads amounted to just 14% of the Trump campaign’s broadcast television spending last month. “The White House’s personal handling of the response now matches their public policy handling of the response: dismissing experts and downplaying the threat even …

Analysis: The Trump presidency is now the coronavirus presidency
4 years, 2 months ago

Analysis: The Trump presidency is now the coronavirus presidency

Al Jazeera  

The virus is likely to determine Trump’s political fate, despite his efforts to avoid just that. For better or for worse, and despite US President Donald Trump’s efforts, coronavirus and Trump are forever entwined: It has defined his presidency and may likely decide his political fate. He bulldozed his way through a widely-panned first presidential debate with Biden last week, …

The Trumps Have Coronavirus. What Happens Next?
4 years, 2 months ago

The Trumps Have Coronavirus. What Happens Next?

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING The president has repeatedly downplayed the threat of the coronavirus, even as more than 200,000 Americans have died, but experts have warned that at 74 he is already at a higher risk of falling seriously ill. Here’s what we know so far: Who takes over if Trump is too ill to work? U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson, …

In first Trump-Biden debate, U.S. will finally see its choice
4 years, 2 months ago

In first Trump-Biden debate, U.S. will finally see its choice

The Hindu  

The volatile U.S. presidential election enters a fierce new stage this week when Donald Trump and Joe Biden hold their first debate — a television spectacle finally allowing Americans to witness the two antagonists head to head. Tuesday’s clash, coming right after Mr. Trump defied Democrats and nominated a conservative to replace the late Supreme Court liberal icon Ruth Bader …

Donald Trump is about to force Joe Biden into the debate spotlight. Can the former vice-president keep his lead?
4 years, 3 months ago

Donald Trump is about to force Joe Biden into the debate spotlight. Can the former vice-president keep his lead?

ABC  

Democrats had a chance to choose a person who was very obviously not Donald Trump as their 2020 presidential election candidate. As the primary campaign faded into the past, and the coronavirus pandemic upended everyone's notion of what "normal" life looked like in America, the Biden campaign kept their candidate away from the spotlight. Even Biden's own party started to …

How Donald Trump and Joe Biden have turned the hunt for a coronavirus vaccine into a political football
4 years, 3 months ago

How Donald Trump and Joe Biden have turned the hunt for a coronavirus vaccine into a political football

ABC  

Every nation is waiting with bated breath for any news of a coronavirus vaccine. The President said a vaccine would arrive "sooner than the end of the year, could be much sooner". Dismissing her comments as "reckless anti-vaccine rhetoric" several days later, Trump said Harris's attack was designed to detract from the effort to quickly develop a vaccine. "She's talking …

Donald Trump lauds coronavirus response that left 1.80 lakh dead
4 years, 3 months ago

Donald Trump lauds coronavirus response that left 1.80 lakh dead

India Today  

President Donald Trump is lauding the US response to the coronavirus pandemic, despite the country having by far the highest confirmed case count and the highest death toll in the world. During his Republican National Convention remarks Thursday, Trump claimed that "hundreds of thousands of more Americans" would have died if his Democratic opponent, Joe Biden, had been in office …

Trump would be losing this race in a big way even if there were no pandemic
4 years, 4 months ago

Trump would be losing this race in a big way even if there were no pandemic

Raw Story  

If you’re hoping that a decisive win against Donald Trump and GOP candidates down the ballot would force a reckoning for the Republican Party, you’d likely be disappointed if that outcome comes to pass in November. But more mainstream Republicans would also blame a big loss on factors other than Trump’s corruption, bigotry and narcissism. The conventional wisdom would likely …

Is Donald Trump going to win the election? A Joe Biden wildcard is about to enter the race
4 years, 4 months ago

Is Donald Trump going to win the election? A Joe Biden wildcard is about to enter the race

ABC  

There are 89 days until the US election. Lichtman has a four-decade track record of successfully picking US presidents, and he just announced this year's prediction: "The keys predict that Trump will lose the White House," he said. The bottom line: Biden still holds strong leads in polling averages, and Trump hasn't been able to claw back those leads in …

Donald Trump spinning virus failure as a win again by celebrating ‘encouraging’ progress
4 years, 4 months ago

Donald Trump spinning virus failure as a win again by celebrating ‘encouraging’ progress

CNN  

CNN — Every time President Donald Trump and his political team claim great progress in the pandemic it’s a dangerous sign: things are likely about to get worse. Forever spinning their failure in handling the crisis, Trump and Vice President Mike Pence on Monday made selective claims of “significant” advances and “very encouraging” signs and celebrated “plateauing” cases in sunbelt …

Trump trails Biden in approval rating, virus handling may decide next President
4 years, 5 months ago

Trump trails Biden in approval rating, virus handling may decide next President

Live Mint  

US President Donald Trump faces an uphill task in his reelection bid in November with his approval rating hitting a record low and Democratic nominee Joe Biden taking a double-digit lead in key indicators, according to a survey conducted by the Washington Post and ABC News. Seventy-two per cent of Trump voters say reelecting the president is important, while 62 …

U.S.: Growing rate of disaffection
4 years, 5 months ago

U.S.: Growing rate of disaffection

The Hindu  

THE COVID-19 pandemic seems never-ending in the United States, where a burst of cases from Florida to California threatens to send the numbers of infected well over the three million mark. Dr Anthony Fauci, Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, who is the point person for the fight against COVID-19 in the U.S., said that he …

Donald Trump has been suggesting the coronavirus is under control for 156 days now
4 years, 6 months ago

Donald Trump has been suggesting the coronavirus is under control for 156 days now

CNN  

CNN — On January 22, President Donald Trump did an interview with CNBC from Davos, Switzerland, where he was asked, for the first time, about the coronavirus in America. “It’s going away,” Trump said of the coronavirus during a speech to a conservative students group in Arizona on Wednesday. A week ago, in an interview with Fox News’ Sean Hannity, …

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