US election betting odds point to 50-50 chance
4 years, 2 months ago

US election betting odds point to 50-50 chance

Live Mint  

Betting market odds on the US presidential election have begun to tighten once again after clearly flipping overnight in favour of Republican President Donald Trump over Democratic candidate Joe Biden, according to data from three aggregators. Trump earlier falsely claimed victory over Biden on Wednesday with millions of votes still uncounted in a White House race that will not be decided until a handful of states complete vote-counting over the next hours or days. The flip in betting markets overnight was mainly "driven by Trump seemingly holding the key swing state of Florida as a result of a very strong showing for him in the Miami-Dade county with a large Cuban population," said Patrick Flynn, political analyst at Smarkets. Bettors on British betting exchange Betfair were giving Trump a 62% chance of winning a second term in the White House at 0800 GMT, up from 39% when polls opened on Tuesday morning.

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History of this topic

French trader wins $49m in bets on Trump after commissioning unique kind of polls
Trending News
2 months ago

French trader wins $49m in bets on Trump after commissioning unique kind of polls

The Telegraph  

A mystery French trader known as the “Trump whale” is set to reap almost $50 million in profit after betting more than $30 million on the Republican candidate winning the US presidential election. Not only did this help him see Mr Trump winning the race, and the “blue wall” swing states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, it led him to …

Donald Trump sees stunning boost in Polymarket election odds in scary sign for Kamala Harris
2 months ago

Donald Trump sees stunning boost in Polymarket election odds in scary sign for Kamala Harris

Daily Mail  

Donald Trump's chances of victory on the betting site Polymarket surpassed 94 percent on election night. Polymarket showing that Trump has a 94 percent chance of winning The huge movement comes as election results in critical battleground states remain up in the air. On the political betting sire Kalshi, Trump has an 90 percent chance, and Harris 10 percent. Trump's …

Odds on Donald Trump winning US election soar to 62% hours after polls open as Americans pile in on The Don beating Kamala
Top News
2 months ago

Odds on Donald Trump winning US election soar to 62% hours after polls open as Americans pile in on The Don beating Kamala

Daily Mail  

Punters have piled in on Donald Trump winning the 2024 presidential election, with odds of a Republican victory standing at 62 percent on one betting platform. Punters have piled in on Donald Trump winning the 2024 presidential election, with odds of a Republican victory standing at 62 percent on one betting platform On platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, billions of …

The latest betting odds on Trump vs Harris
2 months, 1 week ago

The latest betting odds on Trump vs Harris

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ /verifyErrors }} With …

Nearly 95% of all bets at one site last week picked Trump to win the election
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Nearly 95% of all bets at one site last week picked Trump to win the election

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ /verifyErrors }} Ninety-five …

US Presidential polls 2024: Will Donald Trump be next US President? Here's what betting markets predict
2 months, 3 weeks ago

US Presidential polls 2024: Will Donald Trump be next US President? Here's what betting markets predict

Live Mint  

With under three weeks until the presidential election, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in prediction markets, showing a 60% chance of victory. Election Betting Odds, which aggregates data from the major markets, shows Trump has a 57% chance, the largest margin in his favour since 29 July, up from about 48% at the end of September. Groups supporting Trump and …

Harris sees betting odds shrink over Trump to razor-thin margin less than a month before the election
3 months ago

Harris sees betting odds shrink over Trump to razor-thin margin less than a month before the election

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ /verifyErrors }} Kamala …

Harris’s betting odds surge past Trump in wake of debate
3 months, 3 weeks ago

Harris’s betting odds surge past Trump in wake of debate

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ /verifyErrors }} Kamala …

Trump creeps past Harris in new betting odds as election hits final stretch
4 months ago

Trump creeps past Harris in new betting odds as election hits final stretch

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ /verifyErrors }} Betting …

More money on Trump? Harris loses lead in betting odds despite polling success
4 months, 2 weeks ago

More money on Trump? Harris loses lead in betting odds despite polling success

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ /verifyErrors }} The …

US election: Kamala Harris' winning odds hit an all time high against Trump, in betting market
5 months, 1 week ago

US election: Kamala Harris' winning odds hit an all time high against Trump, in betting market

Hindustan Times  

Kamala Harris' prospects of clinching the 2024 presidential race have skyrocketed to an unparalleled height in the betting markets. Donald Trump donated to Kamala Harris’ re-election campaign in the past, as per reports According to Polymarket, Harris currently has a 45% chance of winning the election, compared to Trump's 54%. Kamala Harris' winability increases Since Kamala Harris jumped into the …

Kamala Harris takes lead over Trump in betting odds for the first time
5 months, 1 week ago

Kamala Harris takes lead over Trump in betting odds for the first time

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ /verifyErrors }} A …

Trump odds dip as Kamala Harris sees huge surge... who are the other runners and riders from Gavin Newsom to Michelle Obama
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Trump odds dip as Kamala Harris sees huge surge... who are the other runners and riders from Gavin Newsom to Michelle Obama

Daily Mail  

Donald Trump's odds to win the Oval Office are now at -156 following Joe Biden's decision to drop out - meaning oddsmakers view him as being 61 percent likely to surface as the next president come November. Donald Trump's odds to win the Oval Office are now at -178 after Joe Biden's decision to drop out - meaning oddsmakers view …

Shock new poll reveals that Biden has the 'same chances of surviving on Mars' as he does winning three key swing states in wake of disastrous two weeks for president
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Shock new poll reveals that Biden has the 'same chances of surviving on Mars' as he does winning three key swing states in wake of disastrous two weeks for president

Daily Mail  

Joe Biden has the 'same chances of surviving on Mars' as he does winning the three key swing states of Georgia, Pennsylvania and Michigan, new polling reveals. The showdown saw Donald Trump edge a 2.5-point lead to 47 percent of support among voters, compared to Biden's 44.45 percent. Joe Biden has the 'same chances of surviving on Mars for 24 …

Biden surges past Trump in latest poll by Fox News one week out from the first presidential debate
6 months, 2 weeks ago

Biden surges past Trump in latest poll by Fox News one week out from the first presidential debate

Daily Mail  

President Joe Biden has jumped past Donald Trump by two points for the first time since October in the latest Fox News poll, just one week before the first presidential debate ahead of the US elections later this year. The Fox News poll, which was published on Wednesday, showed that 50% of respondents said they would vote for Biden in …

Donald Trump or Joe Biden? US stock market expert predicts presidential poll's surprising result basis indices movement
7 months, 2 weeks ago

Donald Trump or Joe Biden? US stock market expert predicts presidential poll's surprising result basis indices movement

Hindustan Times  

So who's winning US election, scheduled for 5 November 2024? On the back of a stiff neck on neck competition between Joe Biden and Donald Trump stock market has proven to be a reliable indicator in the past. Recent surveys of prominent prediction markets have shown a wide range of probabilities regarding President Joe Biden's chances of winning re-election, fluctuating …

US election: Trump leads Biden in 6 of 7 battleground states, says latest opinion poll
9 months ago

US election: Trump leads Biden in 6 of 7 battleground states, says latest opinion poll

New Indian Express  

WASHINGTON: Ahead of the upcoming US election scheduled for November, President Joe Biden is trailing behind his main opponent Donald Trump in six of the seven battleground states, according to a latest opinion poll. Trump leads between two and eight percentage points in six battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina. In every state in the …

Trump leads Biden in four key battleground states, polls find
9 months, 2 weeks ago

Trump leads Biden in four key battleground states, polls find

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Although the overwhelming majority of Democrats and a …

Trump takes 10-point lead over Biden in US presidential race, new poll shows
1 year, 3 months ago

Trump takes 10-point lead over Biden in US presidential race, new poll shows

India Today  

The latest pre-poll survey by ABC News/ Washington Post showed that Republican candidate Donald Trump has surged ahead ofJoe Biden in the race to be the next President of the United States. In the survey by ABC News/ Washington Post, 37 per cent of people approved of his overall work while 56 per cent disapproved of it. People also raised …

The US election result is uncertain — these are Trump and Biden's paths to victory
4 years, 2 months ago

The US election result is uncertain — these are Trump and Biden's paths to victory

ABC  

We have published new version of this article that reflects the current state of the race. The US election is currently too close to call — both Donald Trump and Joe Biden have legitimate paths to victory and it could be days before a winner is confirmed. In North Carolina, Trump is ahead, but the state will continue accepting mail-in …

Joe Biden's Biggest Fan? UK Gambler Bets £1 Million on Donald Trump Losing US Elections
4 years, 2 months ago

Joe Biden's Biggest Fan? UK Gambler Bets £1 Million on Donald Trump Losing US Elections

News 18  

On the final day of the United States Presidential elections 2020, the stakes are really high. And even as the future of Americans hangs in the balance, one ardent Joe Biden supporter in the United Kingdom stands to lose as much £1 million if Donald Trump wins. One such UK bettor seems to have wagered big on Democratic Presidential nominee …

US Election 2020 Polls: Biden leads but Trump closes gap to 4.8%
4 years, 2 months ago

US Election 2020 Polls: Biden leads but Trump closes gap to 4.8%

Daily Mail  

Donald Trump and Joe Biden's race to claim the White House is tightening in the final stages, according to a new poll released on Saturday. The IBD/TIPP tracking poll shows that Biden's national lead is dipping to just under five per cent, and as little as three per cent in battleground states. Biden has 49.5 per cent support nationwide in …

The odds don’t lie: I’m betting on Joe Biden for president
4 years, 2 months ago

The odds don’t lie: I’m betting on Joe Biden for president

The Independent  

The best of Voices delivered to your inbox every week - from controversial columns to expert analysis Sign up for our free weekly Voices newsletter for expert opinion and columns Sign up to our free weekly Voices newsletter SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. The Democrats’ odds of victory are …

Joe Biden’s odds improve on betting markets after first US debate
4 years, 3 months ago

Joe Biden’s odds improve on betting markets after first US debate

Live Mint  

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has gained ground in betting markets over President Donald Trump following their first debate of the 2020 U.S. election campaign, two betting market aggregators said. On UK-based Betfair Exchange, Biden's odds improved to 60% after the debate, up from 56%, while Trump's chances worsened to 40% from 43% pre-debate. "Biden is pitching himself in a …

How is Joe Biden doing in the polls? Ask the Russian ruble
4 years, 3 months ago

How is Joe Biden doing in the polls? Ask the Russian ruble

Al Jazeera  

Traders pondering how to play the Russian ruble have a new metric to follow: betting odds of a presidential election win by Joe Biden. A slump in the currency in recent months has mirrored rising wagers that Biden will beat President Donald Trump on Nov. 3. The market is betting a Democrat in the White House will more likely impose …

Polls 2020: As Biden, Trump begin debates, the races in battleground states are tight
4 years, 3 months ago

Polls 2020: As Biden, Trump begin debates, the races in battleground states are tight

LA Times  

When President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden butt heads during Tuesday night’s presidential debate, they will be hoping to win support from some of the millions of Americans who will be watching. Among likely voters, Quinnipiac University identified a dead heat: Biden 48%, Trump 47% — a split that’s within the poll’s 3-percentage-point margin of error. Fox News …

US Election: Biden steady in national polls; Trump's 'summer swoon over', say pundits
4 years, 3 months ago

US Election: Biden steady in national polls; Trump's 'summer swoon over', say pundits

Firstpost  

Biden, 78, who would be the oldest sitting president if elected, has leads ranging from five to eight points in battleground states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan With little over a month to go for the US presidential election, the pundits seem to be in agreement: While nationwide polls indicate a comfortable lead for Joe Biden over Donald Trump the …

2020 Polls: Biden strong in red states; Collins struggling at home
4 years, 3 months ago

2020 Polls: Biden strong in red states; Collins struggling at home

LA Times  

Joe Biden continues to make inroads against President Trump in states that went Republican four years ago, new polling suggests. But new polls also show Biden winning or trailing close behind in key states that went for Trump last time around, suggesting that Biden’s position in the states is more favorable than Clinton’s was. Two red states that would make …

Poll: Biden Maintains Lead Over Trump With Likely Voters
4 years, 3 months ago

Poll: Biden Maintains Lead Over Trump With Likely Voters

NPR  

Poll: Biden Maintains Lead Over Trump With Likely Voters Enlarge this image toggle caption Drew Angerer/Getty Images Drew Angerer/Getty Images Former Vice President Joe Biden continues to lead President Trump in the 2020 presidential election nationally by a substantial margin, according to the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll. Biden leads Trump by 9 points, 52% to 43%, among likely voters, the …

Trump overtakes Biden as favorite to win in November - Betfair Exchange
4 years, 4 months ago

Trump overtakes Biden as favorite to win in November - Betfair Exchange

Live Mint  

U.S. President Donald Trump has overtaken Democratic rival Joe Biden to stand as the favorite to win the 2020 U.S. Presidential election on Europe-based betting exchange Betfair, the exchange said on Wednesday. Trump's odds, reflecting wagers matched on the peer-to-peer betting network, stood at evens, Betfair Exchange said, versus 21-20 for Biden. Betfair Exchange said four bets of over 10,000 …

New poll puts Joe Biden 14 points clear of Donald Trump
4 years, 6 months ago

New poll puts Joe Biden 14 points clear of Donald Trump

Daily Mail  

President Donald Trump is lagging behind Joe Biden by 14 points in a new poll that also shows him struggling to retain majority support among men, white Americans and older voters - crucial GOP voting blocs. A New York Times/Siena College poll that dropped Wednesday shows that Biden currently has the support of 50 per cent of registered voters, while …

Trump and Biden, potential 2020 rivals, both head to Pennsylvania, a key battleground
5 years, 7 months ago

Trump and Biden, potential 2020 rivals, both head to Pennsylvania, a key battleground

LA Times  

President Trump and Joe Biden have twin obsessions: with each other and with the state of Pennsylvania. Biden, hoping to make up for his party’s 2016 shortfall among black and working-class voters, will hold his first large-scale 2020 campaign rally in Philadelphia, a bastion of black Democratic strength. The Trump campaign officials — including David Urban, who oversaw Trump’s 2016 …

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