Three experts make shocking final predictions in the election
Daily MailPolling guru Nate Silver says his gut tells him Donald Trump will retake the White House - but two other top pollsters are still backing Kamala Harris. Polling 'Nostradamus' Allan Lichtman, a historian who’s successfully predicted every presidential election since 1984, said he stands by his earlier prediction that Harris will win While Trump has enjoyed some momentum in recent polls, veteran political strategist James Carville listed three overarching reasons he believes the Democrats will emerge victorious Silver's own model has the candidates essentially tied in the race, as he wrote this week that '50-50 is the only responsible forecast' In his piece, Silver stressed that the election is looking likely to be incredibly close, with the result hinged on just a few battleground states. Silver said his 'gut' tells him Donald Trump will win the election, at a time when Kamala Harris has seen a dip in momentum Silver also noted the historic nature of Harris' candidacy as she hopes to become the first female president and second black one, feeling this could hurt her chances through a notion known as the 'Bradley Effect.' Silver pointed to Trump's tendency to underperform in polls and the surge in voters registering as Republican as reasons the former president may squeak out a win But polling 'Nostradamus' Allan Lichtman, a historian who’s successfully predicted every presidential election since 1984, said he stands by his earlier prediction that Harris will win.