
NCAA Tournament upsets: Bracket Breakers examines Providence, Oral Roberts vs. Duke and the East Region
New York TimesThe Athletic has live coverage of the finale of March Madness and the National Championship game. Here’s the first installment of our first-round analysis for Bracket Breakers 2023, as we take a game-by-game look at the potential for upsets in the East Region of the NCAA Tournament. East Region Upset chance: 21.3% Yes, Providence won us over, too, with their dogged play in last year’s tournament. 2022 Conference Champion Seed NCAA Result ACC Virginia Tech 11 1st Round Big 12 Kansas 1 National Champ Big East Villanova 2 Final 4 Big Ten Iowa 5 1st Round Pac 12 Arizona 1 Sweet 16 SEC Tennessee 3 2nd Round 2019 Conference Champion Seed NCAA Result ACC Duke 1 Elite 8 Big 12 Iowa State 6 1st Round Big East Villanova 6 2nd Round Big Ten Michigan State 2 Final 4 Pac 12 Oregon 12 Sweet 16 SEC Auburn 5 Final 4 So is Duke another Iowa or another Auburn? Our model didn’t love them, giving them only a 9% chance of beating Ohio State, partly because they didn’t utilize many of the high-risk, high-reward strategies typical of successful Bracket Breakers.
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