Biden builds largest lead this year
4 years, 7 months ago

Biden builds largest lead this year

CNN  

CNN — Our new CNN/SSRS poll jumps right off the screen: Former Vice President Joe Biden has 55% to President Donald Trump’s 41%. Not once had Biden’s advantage in this rolling average hit higher than 8 points before Monmouth published their poll last Wednesday. Biden holds an astounding 96% to 2% among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents in CNN’s poll. The ABC/Washington Post poll, right in line with the average of recent polls, had Biden up by a 93% to 4% margin among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents in the most recent poll.

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History of this topic

7 charts and maps show where Kamala Harris underperformed and lost the election
Trending News
1 month, 2 weeks ago

7 charts and maps show where Kamala Harris underperformed and lost the election

CNN  

A version of this story appeared in CNN’s What Matters newsletter. Zooming in on the hotly contested battleground states where the election was much closer, Harris and Trump both gained votes compared with 2020 in Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina and Nevada. Harris got fewer votes there compared with Biden in 2020, and Trump carried it with his largest margin of …

Biden’s polling said Trump would win at least 400 electoral votes before president quit the race, Obama’s aide claims
2 months ago

Biden’s polling said Trump would win at least 400 electoral votes before president quit the race, Obama’s aide claims

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Get our free Inside Washington email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. “The Biden campaign’s own internal polling at the time when they were telling us …

Biden won big with young voters. This year, they swung toward Trump in a big way
2 months ago

Biden won big with young voters. This year, they swung toward Trump in a big way

NPR  

Biden won big with young voters. This year, they swung toward Trump in a big way toggle caption Mario Tama/Getty Images In past years, voters under 30 have proved essential on the margins, especially for Democrats, where even minimal shifts in support can decide an election. Young voters prioritized pocketbook issues After years of Trump hammering home his agenda, Harris …

Biden won big with young voters. This year, they swung toward Trump in a big way
Trending News
2 months ago

Biden won big with young voters. This year, they swung toward Trump in a big way

NPR  

Biden won big with young voters. This year, they swung toward Trump in a big way toggle caption Mario Tama/Getty Images In past years, voters under 30 have proved essential on the margins, especially for Democrats, where even minimal shifts in support can decide an election. Young voters prioritized pocketbook issues After years of Trump hammering home his agenda, Harris …

How the polls accurately forecast a Trump victory
2 months ago

How the polls accurately forecast a Trump victory

Salon  

Donald Trump’s shocking Election Day victory wasn’t the only comeback on Election Day. “The key characteristic is a decline in the Democratic vote, not an increase in the Republican, suggesting that Democrats were unable to reassemble the winning coalition from 2020.” “They still understated Trump vote share consistently, which is as we’ve seen before, and this led to some incorrect …

'Holy smokes!' CNN's Jake Tapper shocked by one election data point
2 months ago

'Holy smokes!' CNN's Jake Tapper shocked by one election data point

Raw Story  

CNN's Jake Tapper was shocked to learn a crucial data point about Kamala Harris' election loss to Donald Trump. The former president defeated the vice president in Tuesday's election by performing better than polling suggested, and Harris was unable to build on president Joe Biden's vote count from 2020 in any single county in the nation. King said there were …

Trump sees enormous surge from group that backed Biden by a 23-point margin in 2020 in huge blow to Harris
2 months ago

Trump sees enormous surge from group that backed Biden by a 23-point margin in 2020 in huge blow to Harris

Daily Mail  

Former President Donald Trump dramatically improved his support among African American supporters in Wisconsin – a crucial battleground that is part of the Democrats' 'Blue Wall.' Donald Trump was getting about a 20 percent support among black voters, according to an NBC exit poll. Former President Donald Trump made a big play for Black and Hispanic voters, and made gains …

5 numbers to watch as the votes roll in
2 months ago

5 numbers to watch as the votes roll in

NPR  

5 numbers to watch as the votes roll in toggle caption Allison Robbert/AFP via Getty Images 40% The percentage of white voters that Democrats generally need to win in presidential elections. Because of demographic changes and Latinos and Asian Americans siding heavily with Democrats, Obama was the first person to win the presidency with less than 40% in 2012, according …

Trump, Harris polls: Biden would probably still be in the race if not for this.
2 months ago

Trump, Harris polls: Biden would probably still be in the race if not for this.

Slate  

Slate takes final stock of just how Not Normal this election was. It was the first general-election faceoff ever to be held before September, and Biden’s team had reportedly pushed for such a schedule, in fact, because it felt the arrangement would give him “time to recover if he floundered.” Well, things sort of worked out that way. Heading into …

Gender, Race, and Education Divide in US Electorates Ahead of Election Day
2 months, 1 week ago

Gender, Race, and Education Divide in US Electorates Ahead of Election Day

India Today  

The US electorate is divided along lines of gender, race and education. Trump has improved his standing amongst men - particularly Hispanic men - while Harris' support has surged amongst women, helping her cut away at the Republicans' longstanding edge with white voters. Trump's improved standing with male voters was driven in part by his gains amongst Hispanic men. Harris' …

Independents are split evenly between Trump and Harris - and that might be bad news for the VP on election day
2 months, 2 weeks ago

Independents are split evenly between Trump and Harris - and that might be bad news for the VP on election day

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Get our free Inside Washington email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Vice President Kamala Harris is lagging behind the support President …

Why CNN is changing up its polling for 2024
3 months ago

Why CNN is changing up its polling for 2024

Raw Story  

Polls of the 2020 presidential election were at their collective worst in 40 years. As pollster Mark Penn pointed out after the election, polls showing margins of 10 to 12 points in Biden’s favor would have corresponded to “about a 40-state landslide – a result that on its face should have been dismissed as impossible.” The 2020 presidential race was …

A new poll of young voters shows Harris with a commanding 31 point lead over Trump
3 months, 2 weeks ago

A new poll of young voters shows Harris with a commanding 31 point lead over Trump

NPR  

A new poll of young voters shows Harris with a commanding 31 point lead over Trump toggle caption Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images President Biden had a young people problem. In a new poll from the Harvard Kennedy School's Institute of Politics, Harris holds a 31-point lead over former President Donald Trump among likely voters ages 18 to 29. The …

NBC News Flags Historic Gains By Kamala Harris In New Poll: A 'Reshaped' Race
3 months, 2 weeks ago

NBC News Flags Historic Gains By Kamala Harris In New Poll: A 'Reshaped' Race

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING Kornacki said the “biggest” headline is how registered voters viewed the vice president versus how they saw President Joe Biden when they stacked the candidates up against former President Donald Trump. “Absolutely, Kristen, we were seeing numbers like this for years for Kamala Harris,” replied Kornacki, who pointed to the numbers from the July poll. “Now you’re …

NPR poll shows why the stakes are so high for Harris and Trump in the debate
4 months ago

NPR poll shows why the stakes are so high for Harris and Trump in the debate

NPR  

NPR poll shows why the stakes are so high for Harris and Trump in the debate Seven-in-10 Americans say they are going to watch the first presidential debate between Vice President Harris and former President Donald Trump on Tuesday, and 3-in-10 say it will help decide their vote, according to a new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll out. Harris leads with those …

Election 2024 Polls: Biden vs. Trump (Archived)
4 months, 1 week ago

Election 2024 Polls: Biden vs. Trump (Archived)

New York Times  

About our polling averages Our averages include polls collected by The New York Times and by FiveThirtyEight. The estimates adjust for a variety of factors, including the recency and sample size of a poll, whether a poll represents likely voters, and whether other polls have shifted since a poll was conducted. We also evaluate whether each pollster: Has a track …

Kamala Harris turns polls around in swing states — except these two
5 months, 1 week ago

Kamala Harris turns polls around in swing states — except these two

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ /verifyErrors }} Fresh …

Kamala Harris Narrows Gap With Trump In New Poll After Biden Drops Out
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Kamala Harris Narrows Gap With Trump In New Poll After Biden Drops Out

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING Vice President Kamala Harris appears to be reinvigorating voters. A new poll conducted in the wake of President Joe Biden’s decision to end his reelection campaign found Harris, the new presumptive Democratic presidential nominee, in a near-dead heat with former President Donald Trump. The New York Times and Siena College poll released Thursday determined that if the …

US Election: New poll indicates winds of change in Kamala vs Trump battle
5 months, 2 weeks ago

US Election: New poll indicates winds of change in Kamala vs Trump battle

Hindustan Times  

US Vice President Kamala Harris is narrowly leading rival former US President Donald Trump in a national presidential poll released on Tuesday, marking one of the first major surveys conducted since President Joe Biden “stood down” from the presidential race. Donald Trump donated to Kamala Harris’ re-election campaign in the past, as per reports According to the Reuters/Ipsos poll, Harris …

Just In: Harris leads Trump in first poll taken since Biden quit
5 months, 2 weeks ago

Just In: Harris leads Trump in first poll taken since Biden quit

Raw Story  

Vice President Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in the first Reuters poll taken since she became the presumptive nominee, following President Joe Biden's decision to drop out of the race. "Vice President Kamala Harris opened up a marginal two-percentage-point lead over Republican Donald Trump after President Joe Biden ended his re-election campaign and passed the torch to her," the Reuters/Ipsos …

First poll puts Harris ahead of Biden, in striking distance of Trump
5 months, 2 weeks ago

First poll puts Harris ahead of Biden, in striking distance of Trump

Raw Story  

The first national poll released after Vice President Kamala Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee puts her within striking distance of former President Donald Trump, with 47 percent support to Trump's 49 percent. "Harris and former President Trump are in a race that is too close to call with Trump receiving 49 percent support and Harris receiving 47 percent support," …

Polling shows both Harris and Biden tied with Trump
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Polling shows both Harris and Biden tied with Trump

NPR  

Polling shows both Harris and Biden tied with Trump toggle caption Brandon Bell/Getty Images, Hannah Beier/Bloomberg via Getty Images For more updates from the 2024 Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, head to the NPR Network's live updates page. Sponsor Message The latest national NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll, released last week, found that Biden and Trump remain statistically tied, even in the …

Shock poll: Nearly every other Democratic candidate now outperforms Biden
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Shock poll: Nearly every other Democratic candidate now outperforms Biden

Raw Story  

Arriving from Politico Wednesday is a new polling memo circulating among Democratic party officials aiming to convince Joe Biden to end his presidential campaign and bring in a fresh face to compete with former President Donald Trump. In a test of possible candidates that interviewed over 15,000 voters in seven battleground states, nearly every suggested alternative Democrat performed better than …

Nearly two-thirds of Democrats want Biden to withdraw, poll finds
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Nearly two-thirds of Democrats want Biden to withdraw, poll finds

LA Times  

The new poll by the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research underscores the challenges faced within his own party by the 81-year-old president. Nearly two-thirds of Democrats say President Biden should withdraw from the presidential race and let his party nominate a different candidate, according to a new poll, sharply undercutting his post-debate claim that “average Democrats” are still with …

The Biden Campaign Says He's Doing Fine. The Post-Debate Polls Say Otherwise.
5 months, 3 weeks ago

The Biden Campaign Says He's Doing Fine. The Post-Debate Polls Say Otherwise.

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING President Joe Biden in recent days has maintained that he has a strong chance of winning reelection, but surveys in key states show the presidential race tilting toward former President Donald Trump. “We’ve said since the beginning that this will be a close race, which is why we have a campaign that is designed to win a …

Surprise: Trump did not get polling boost after shooting
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Surprise: Trump did not get polling boost after shooting

Raw Story  

Following the failed assassination attempt on Saturday, former President Donald Trump did not see a polling boost, in the first presidential survey taken since the event. In the national Morning Consult poll of 2,045 registered voters, taken Monday, Trump leads President Joe Biden 46 percent to 45 percent. The poll, conducted by Morning Consult of 2,045 registered voters on Monday, …

New polls show Kamala Harris outperforming Biden in two key states
5 months, 3 weeks ago

New polls show Kamala Harris outperforming Biden in two key states

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ /verifyErrors }} Two …

Did Trump shooting just save Biden's place on the ticket?
5 months, 3 weeks ago

Did Trump shooting just save Biden's place on the ticket?

Raw Story  

D.C. gossip stalwarts Politico and Axios are reporting that the failed assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump has stopped calls for Biden to quit the ticket in its tracks. "After dominating the headlines for more than two weeks, the Dump Biden campaign has gone almost entirely quiet since the assassination attempt on Trump," Politico's Playbook wrote Monday. And "Biden …

Shock new poll reveals that Biden has the 'same chances of surviving on Mars' as he does winning three key swing states in wake of disastrous two weeks for president
5 months, 4 weeks ago

Shock new poll reveals that Biden has the 'same chances of surviving on Mars' as he does winning three key swing states in wake of disastrous two weeks for president

Daily Mail  

Joe Biden has the 'same chances of surviving on Mars' as he does winning the three key swing states of Georgia, Pennsylvania and Michigan, new polling reveals. The showdown saw Donald Trump edge a 2.5-point lead to 47 percent of support among voters, compared to Biden's 44.45 percent. Joe Biden has the 'same chances of surviving on Mars for 24 …

Are the polls even reliable? Experts examine election polling predictions from 1980 to 2024
5 months, 4 weeks ago

Are the polls even reliable? Experts examine election polling predictions from 1980 to 2024

Salon  

During the first debate of the 2024 election cycle, President Biden infamously flubbed his words, trailed off mid-sentence, stared off into space and otherwise acted every bit like a mentally incompetent 81-year-old man. With Biden's fellow Democrats determined to save democracy from an election-denying Republican — former President Trump — who was recently empowered by the Supreme Court to be …

Biden opens high-stakes press conference by calling Kamala ‘vice president Trump’
5 months, 4 weeks ago

Biden opens high-stakes press conference by calling Kamala ‘vice president Trump’

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Please enter a valid email address Please enter a valid email address SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Please try again later {{ /verifyErrors }} Joe …

After Biden's debate performance, the presidential race is unchanged
5 months, 4 weeks ago

After Biden's debate performance, the presidential race is unchanged

NPR  

After Biden's debate performance, the presidential race is unchanged Loading. The race for the presidency remains statistically tied despite President Biden’s dismal debate performance two weeks ago, a new national NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds. A race likely to be decided on the margins Since the debate, on average, polls have shown Biden slipping a couple of points, but pollsters generally …

Biden campaign commissions poll on Kamala Harris's chances vs. Donald Trump
5 months, 4 weeks ago

Biden campaign commissions poll on Kamala Harris's chances vs. Donald Trump

Raw Story  

President Joe Biden's campaign has reportedly commissioned a survey to determine whether Vice President Kamala Harris could win against Donald Trump if she becomes the Democratic nominee, according to a new report. Three sources told The New York Times that the campaign had commissioned the head-to-head poll between Harris and Trump after Biden faced pressure to drop out due to …

Biden hit with brutal poll showing almost 70% of Americans want him to drop out... and reveals where he stands in the race against Trump
5 months, 4 weeks ago

Biden hit with brutal poll showing almost 70% of Americans want him to drop out... and reveals where he stands in the race against Trump

Daily Mail  

President Joe Biden was faced with yet another jarring poll as he approaches a crucial press conference amid growing calls by congressional Democrats for him to step back form his reelection campaign. A majority of Democrats, 56 per cent, want Biden to step aside and let someone else run following his debate performance, according to a new ABC News / …

Democratic Sen Michael Bennet says Trump could beat Biden in election ‘landslide’
6 months ago

Democratic Sen Michael Bennet says Trump could beat Biden in election ‘landslide’

The Independent  

Sign up for the daily Inside Washington email for exclusive US coverage and analysis sent to your inbox Get our free Inside Washington email Get our free Inside Washington email SIGN UP I would like to be emailed about offers, events and updates from The Independent. Read our privacy policy Democratic US Senator Michael Bennet has admitted that Joe Biden …

Kamala Harris pulls ahead of Joe in Trump matchup — but Hillary beats them both, poll finds
6 months ago

Kamala Harris pulls ahead of Joe in Trump matchup — but Hillary beats them both, poll finds

The Independent  

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Congressional Democrats are divided over Biden's future after debate performance
6 months ago

Congressional Democrats are divided over Biden's future after debate performance

NPR  

Congressional Democrats are divided over Biden's future after debate performance toggle caption Chris Kleponis/AFP via Getty Images Democrats returned to Capitol Hill Monday still deeply divided over President Biden and his future within the party. Senior Democratic Sen. Patty Murray, D-Wash., said in a statement that "President Biden must do more to demonstrate he can campaign strong enough to beat …

Biden Dismisses Polling, Says Campaign Remains A 'Toss-Up'
6 months ago

Biden Dismisses Polling, Says Campaign Remains A 'Toss-Up'

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING President Joe Biden said in a highly anticipated Friday interview that he doesn’t believe he has fallen behind in the 2024 campaign, calling the race a “toss-up” despite a series of recent polls that have shown him trailing Donald Trump by 2 to 6 percentage points nationally. When ABC’s George Stephanopoulos rattled off some of the recent …

Harris puts focus on beating Trump, not concerns over Biden, as she tries to appeal to Black voters
6 months ago

Harris puts focus on beating Trump, not concerns over Biden, as she tries to appeal to Black voters

CNN  

New Orleans CNN — Vice President Kamala Harris on Saturday put the focus on the dangers of a second Trump administration, rather than the growing concerns over President Joe Biden’s candidacy, as she attempted to convince Black voters to once again deliver a win for the Biden-Harris ticket. “We’ve all had a bad day,” the Ohio Democrat said, later adding: …

Biden Skeptics Debate Whether to ‘Get a Spine’
6 months ago

Biden Skeptics Debate Whether to ‘Get a Spine’

Politico  

Biden’s best hope for survival is the timidity of his skeptics. He isn’t going to be moved by furrowed-brow comments — like former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s rumination about whether Biden’s poor debate performance against former President Donald Trump reflected an unfortunate “episode” or a more worrisome underlying “condition.” Biden isn’t going to change his mind if only party leaders …

Trump, For Now, Is Ceding The Spotlight To Biden As The President's Campaign Reels From Bad Debate
6 months ago

Trump, For Now, Is Ceding The Spotlight To Biden As The President's Campaign Reels From Bad Debate

Huff Post  

LOADING ERROR LOADING NEW YORK — Donald Trump likes to be the one in the spotlight. Brendan Buck, a Republican strategist who’s not a Trump supporter, credited the ex-president for what he called an “uncharacteristically disciplined” response to the debate and for “letting Biden sort of twist in the wind.” But he said challenges remain for the former president as …

Trump has a six point lead over Biden, says WSJ poll
6 months ago

Trump has a six point lead over Biden, says WSJ poll

ABP News  

Washington, July 4 : Presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump has developed a six per cent lead over his Democratic rival incumbent Joe Biden with 80 percent saying that the current White House occupant is too old to run for a second term, according to a latest poll by The Wall Street Journal. The Wall Street Journal said Trump's lead over …

Biden under siege as the THIRD elected Democrat turns on him and issues grim warning after 'very painful' debate against Trump: 'The damage has been done'
6 months, 1 week ago

Biden under siege as the THIRD elected Democrat turns on him and issues grim warning after 'very painful' debate against Trump: 'The damage has been done'

Daily Mail  

A third sitting Democrat has turned on President Joe Biden, saying they believe the 'painful debate' against Trump has cost the Democrats. Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, seen here, told KATU News that she believes the debate performance last week against has cost Biden the election Despite her damning comments, she stopped short of calling on Biden to drop out, and …

Exclusive poll: Media coverage hurt Biden, who leads only among voters who didn't see the debate
6 months, 1 week ago

Exclusive poll: Media coverage hurt Biden, who leads only among voters who didn't see the debate

Salon  

President Joe Biden hoped that a strong debate showing against Donald Trump would reset his struggling campaign, but a new poll shows that he is going in the wrong direction thanks to a disastrous performance and a subsequent news cycle that baked in the image of a tired, mumbling old man. And while respondents choose Trump over Biden by a …

CNN Poll: Most voters think Democrats have a better chance of keeping White House if Biden isn’t the nominee
6 months, 1 week ago

CNN Poll: Most voters think Democrats have a better chance of keeping White House if Biden isn’t the nominee

CNN  

CNN — Three-quarters of US voters say the Democratic Party would have a better shot at holding the presidency in 2024 with someone other than President Joe Biden at the top of the ticket, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. In a matchup between the presumptive major-party nominees, voters nationwide favor former President Donald Trump over Biden …

Exclusive poll: 6 in 10 people who watched the debate don't think Biden can complete another term
6 months, 1 week ago

Exclusive poll: 6 in 10 people who watched the debate don't think Biden can complete another term

Salon  

A survey released Monday by Democratic pollsters BSG and exclusively provided to Salon found that people who watched last week's debate thought Donald Trump did better than President Joe Biden by a more than 2-to-1 margin, with six in 10 respondents saying they don't think the incumbent is likely to finish a second four-year term in office. Some 41% of …

Democrats toe the line, close ranks around Biden
6 months, 1 week ago

Democrats toe the line, close ranks around Biden

Raw Story  

Democratic leaders rallied Sunday behind President Joe Biden following his poor debate performance last week, as the White House denied a report he was meeting with family to assess his candidacy. The wave of party backing follows the 81-year-old’s stumbling performance Thursday in the debate against Republican candidate Donald Trump, in which Biden often hesitated, tripped over words and lost …

Poll reveals number of Americans who believe Biden's cognitive decline affects his ability to serve as president
6 months, 1 week ago

Poll reveals number of Americans who believe Biden's cognitive decline affects his ability to serve as president

Daily Mail  

More and more Americans are growing concerned that President Joe Biden no longer has the cognitive faculties to serve as president. It comes after Biden's car crash performance at the CNN debate in Atlanta, Georgia on Thursday against former President Donald Trump. Before the debate in a June 9 poll, 65 percent said Biden doesn't have the mental fitness to …

Bombshell new poll shows the shocking results of how Trump would perform against several Biden replacements after disastrous debate performance
6 months, 1 week ago

Bombshell new poll shows the shocking results of how Trump would perform against several Biden replacements after disastrous debate performance

Daily Mail  

A majority of voters who watched the debate felt Donald Trump could beat several potential Democratic candidates should Joe Biden be replaced on the ticket. The analysis looked at polls conducted in the wake of Biden's debate performance Thursday, as Democrats mull potentially replacing him In addition to Newsom and Harris, the Data for Progress research, using the responses of …

Hillary Clinton and top Democrats rally around Biden as media pushes drop out message
6 months, 1 week ago

Hillary Clinton and top Democrats rally around Biden as media pushes drop out message

Salon  

After Joe Biden’s mediocre debate performance drummed up immense support from the pundit class for him to drop out of the race, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, and other Democratic lawmakers rallied around the president. While the New York Times editorial board — the paper seemingly looking for any excuse to drag Biden through the mud — called for him to …

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