Donald Trump or Kamala Harris? Why the Daily Mail's election model is your best chance of predicting who will win
2 months, 4 weeks ago

Donald Trump or Kamala Harris? Why the Daily Mail's election model is your best chance of predicting who will win

Daily Mail  

We are headed for the closest election in decades. You can follow along with the best election model available The long-term part uses presidential election data from the past 76 years to estimate the vote shares. Jill Stein's votes arguably cost Hillary Clinton the 2016 election, amounting to more than Trump’s winning margin in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. We use our independent research to determine how votes flow from these third-party candidates to the two main contenders - answering the question of how their supporters would vote if they weren’t on the ballot. That unique algorithm ends up helping Trump in states where RFK Jr isn’t on the ballot, but Jill Stein and Cornel West - who take more support from Harris - are.

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History of this topic

US pollsters miss the mark. Donald Trump defies predictions in historic win
1 month, 2 weeks ago

US pollsters miss the mark. Donald Trump defies predictions in historic win

Live Mint  

In a stunning Election Night victory, President-elect Donald Trump outperformed expectations, securing a decisive win over Kamala Harris in both the Electoral College and the national popular vote. Pollsters misjudged Trump’s popularity Leading National Poll outlets such as FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver’s projections, the Washington Post, and the New York Times have all shown Vice President Kamala Harris with a narrow …

US Election 2024: Decoding 5 possible outcome scenarios in Harris vs Trump fight
1 month, 2 weeks ago

US Election 2024: Decoding 5 possible outcome scenarios in Harris vs Trump fight

Live Mint  

The voting is underway across the United States of America to elect the nation's 47th President. Kamala Harris Becomes First Female President of US If Harris, 60, wins, she would be the first female president of the United States of America and the first US president of South Asian origin. This means the two presidential hopefuls – Kamala Harris nor …

Harris emerges as frontrunner in White House election forecast
1 month, 2 weeks ago

Harris emerges as frontrunner in White House election forecast

Hindustan Times  

Kamala Harris emerges as the front-runner to win the White House in a surprising turn of events. FiveThirtyEight's polling model predicts Harris as the winner, with 50 out of 100 simulations showing her victory. Despite Nate Silver's final prediction favoring Trump, Harris's campaign gains momentum in key battleground states, including Pennsylvania, which holds significant electoral votes. The outcome of the …

US Elections 2024: How will America choose between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris? Know more about poll process
1 month, 2 weeks ago

US Elections 2024: How will America choose between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris? Know more about poll process

Live Mint  

Millions of Americans will cast their ballots in favour of Donald Trump or Kamala Harris on Tuesday — with the race for the White House down to the wire. Opinion polls show a historically close race, and a New York Times/Siena College poll published on Sunday showed Harris and Trump neck-and-neck in the seven states that are likely to determine …

A Diverse Field of Candidates Contend for the 2024 US Presidential Election
1 month, 2 weeks ago

A Diverse Field of Candidates Contend for the 2024 US Presidential Election

ABP News  

The 2024 US presidential election features a diverse field of candidates vying for the Democratic and Republican nominations. While Kamala Harris and Donald Trump remain the main contenders, a number of other candidates are making their presence felt. Chase Oliver, Jill Stein, and Cornel West are among the candidates seeking to capture the support of voters who feel disenfranchised by …

Harris's Lead Tightens as Election Draws Near
Trending News
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Harris's Lead Tightens as Election Draws Near

India Today  

Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris leads a slight poll with 50% support, compared to Republican nominee Donald Trump's 47%, with a margin of error of one percentage point. The poll highlights the competitive nature of the race, with both candidates focusing on crucial swing states to secure victory.

Harris and Trump Battle It Out in Pennsylvania and New York City
1 month, 3 weeks ago

Harris and Trump Battle It Out in Pennsylvania and New York City

Al Jazeera  

The article focuses on the upcoming US election and the campaigns of Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. It highlights the close race between the two candidates, with a recent poll showing a tie at 49 percent each. The poll also indicates that Harris's unfavourable rating edged up to 47.8 percent, while her favourable rating was at …

Harris and Trump Target Latino Voters in Crucial Georgia Election
2 months ago

Harris and Trump Target Latino Voters in Crucial Georgia Election

Al Jazeera  

The article focuses on the upcoming US presidential election and the current political landscape. It highlights the tight race between Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican contender Donald Trump, with both candidates maintaining a close lead in national polls. The article also provides a detailed overview of the key campaign activities and events taking place in key battleground states, such …

US Presidential polls 2024: Will Donald Trump be next US President? Here's what betting markets predict
2 months ago

US Presidential polls 2024: Will Donald Trump be next US President? Here's what betting markets predict

Live Mint  

With under three weeks until the presidential election, Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in prediction markets, showing a 60% chance of victory. Election Betting Odds, which aggregates data from the major markets, shows Trump has a 57% chance, the largest margin in his favour since 29 July, up from about 48% at the end of September. Groups supporting Trump and …

Presidential polls live updates: Donald Trump extends his lead over Kamala Harris in Daily Mail's election prediction model
2 months, 1 week ago

Presidential polls live updates: Donald Trump extends his lead over Kamala Harris in Daily Mail's election prediction model

Daily Mail  

With 25 days to go until the election, Donald Trump is appearing to build momentum in the polls over Kamala Harris. Donald Trump has slightly extended his lead, with a 59.8 percent chance of winning. The swing states of Michigan and Wisconsin have also moved in Trump's favor, increasing the chance of the former president sweeping the battlegrounds. Meanwhile, a …

Donald Trump opens up big lead in our election model
2 months, 4 weeks ago

Donald Trump opens up big lead in our election model

Daily Mail  

Kamala Harris may have enjoyed her most successful campaign weeks, according to our J.L. Partners/DailyMail.com election model which shows Donald Trump opening up a 10-point lead. Vice President Kamala Harris has fallen behind former President Donald Trump in our election model. But the election model suggests that her advantage in the popular vote is balanced by Trump's support in some …

Sign up to the Daily Mail's U.S. politics newsletter for the 2024 presidential election
3 months ago

Sign up to the Daily Mail's U.S. politics newsletter for the 2024 presidential election

Daily Mail  

The 2024 presidential election could be one of the closest in history. Polls show former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck-and-neck during one of the most unprecedented campaigns in recent memory. As the United States races toward Election Day on November 5, DailyMail.com is launching its first politics newsletter to keep you up to date with …

Donald Trump v Kamala Harris: What do polls indicate of who is winning the US elections? Check here
3 months, 1 week ago

Donald Trump v Kamala Harris: What do polls indicate of who is winning the US elections? Check here

Live Mint  

Donald Trump v Kamala Harris: What polls indicate of which presidential candidate is leading among voters in the 2024 US Elections scheduled for November. Donald Trump v Kamala Harris: Republican presidential nominee and former United States President Donald Trump, and Democratic presidential candidate and US Vice President Kamala Harris are facing-off in their first debate today. The New York Times/Siena …

Kamala Harris could win the popular vote by millions — but still be caught short in the states that count
3 months, 2 weeks ago

Kamala Harris could win the popular vote by millions — but still be caught short in the states that count

ABC  

It has been a dream start to Kamala Harris's bid for the White House. Electoral college gives Republicans an advantage, expert says In reliably blue states like California, which happens to be Harris's home state, the vote haul for the Democrats could be huge. "Racking up big majorities in New York and California doesn't help if you can't win these …

Kamala Harris leads Trump in polls on eve of Democratic National Convention
4 months ago

Kamala Harris leads Trump in polls on eve of Democratic National Convention

Al Jazeera  

United States Vice President Kamala Harris is leading former President Donald Trump as she prepares for her headline moment at the Democratic National Convention, opinion polling shows. Harris is ahead of Trump by 49-45 percent among registered voters and 51-45 percent among likely voters in a two-way race, according to an ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll. In a five-way race that …

US election: Kamala Harris' winning odds hit an all time high against Trump, in betting market
4 months, 3 weeks ago

US election: Kamala Harris' winning odds hit an all time high against Trump, in betting market

Hindustan Times  

Kamala Harris' prospects of clinching the 2024 presidential race have skyrocketed to an unparalleled height in the betting markets. Donald Trump donated to Kamala Harris’ re-election campaign in the past, as per reports According to Polymarket, Harris currently has a 45% chance of winning the election, compared to Trump's 54%. Kamala Harris' winability increases Since Kamala Harris jumped into the …

Donald Trump or Kamala Harris? Veteran forecaster who has predicted nearly every presidential winner for 40 YEARS reveals which candidate is on course to win
4 months, 3 weeks ago

Donald Trump or Kamala Harris? Veteran forecaster who has predicted nearly every presidential winner for 40 YEARS reveals which candidate is on course to win

Daily Mail  

A forecaster known as the 'Nostradamus' of presidential elections has revealed who is currently best placed to win the White House in November. Lichtman updated his complicated prediction model to reflect President Joe Biden dropping out of the race and Vice President Kamala Harris become the presumptive Democratic nominee. Professor Allen Lichtman believes Kamala Harris is on track to win …

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